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Game Thread Iowa at tOSU, Sat. Oct. 5, 3:30pm ET, CBS

Ohio State Opens As a 24-Point Favorite Over Iowa Prior to Buckeyes' Primetime Win Over Michigan State​

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Before any games in the Saturday slate could kick off yesterday, Ohio State already found itself as a 24-point favorite over the Iowa Hawkeyes a week ahead of the meeting between the teams.

Despite the Buckeyes ultimately finishing the day with a 38-7 primetime win over Michigan State on the road and Iowa sitting out on a scheduled bye, the line has already fallen by at least a field goal across multiple books. DraftKings — first to publish a spread — currently requires a 21-point cover from the Buckeyes, while FanDuel offers a narrowly shallower number of 20.5 points.

If those figures hold to close, the spread would serve as the smallest projected margin of victory in an Ohio State game thus far into the 2024 season. The Buckeyes closed as 23.5-point favorites over the Spartans yesterday after not witnessing any lines lower than 37.5 points in their favor across the team's first three games. Consequently, OSU at the moment owns a 2-2 record against the spread this year.

As for the total, oddsmakers offered an initial projection of 42.5 points between the teams that has yet to budge. After overs hit in all of Ohio State's 2024 nonconference games, the Buckeyes finally saw an under cash in one of their contests this season when the tally between themselves and MSU fell 3.5 points short of the line.

Iowa has also achieved a 2-2 record against the spread so far this year and most recently covered as three-point favorites over Minnesota in a 31-14 victory away from home. The Hawkeyes have somewhat shockingly seen overs take shape in all four of their games this season after earning a reputation for low-scoring slop-fests of late under the direction of head coach Kirk Ferentz. During the 2022-23 seasons, an under hit in 19 of Iowa's 25 regular season games, including a streak of eight in a row from October to December a year ago. This occurred despite the Hawkeyes facing projected totals set by bookies as low as 26 points in some extreme circumstances.
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Ohio State favored by over three touchdowns against visiting Iowa​

Ohio State is favored by 21.5 points over visiting Iowa this Saturday (3:30 p.m. ET; CBS). The No. 3 Buckeyes (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) are coming off of a 38-7 win at Michigan State where OSU covered the 23.5-point spread. The Hawkeyes (3-1, 1-0) were off this past weekend, but were impressive the previous week when they knocked off Minnesota 31-14.

And get this: In all four of Iowa's games this season, the over has covered. Yes, all four times the over for total points covered. The O/U for OSU-Iowa is 43.5 points. Is this the week that trend will change for the Hawkeyes? It's very possible.

Also, Ohio State has a win probability of 89.9 percent over Iowa, according to ESPN's Football Power Index.

Ohio State vs. Iowa odds: Early point distribution released, How to Watch​

Ohio State will look to continue competing in Big Ten play when the Buckeyes host Iowa in Week 6. The Buckeyes started the season 4-0 and won their first conference game against them on Saturday Michigan State.

According to FanDuel, they enter the game as 17.5-point favorites over the Hawkeyes. Additionally, the over/under for the matchup is set at 42.5. For more information on the game and how to watch, see below.

Just sayin': Ohio State is anywhere from 17.5 to 21.5 favorite over Iowa.
 
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