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How's the weather?

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Mike80 said:
This was the worst set of predictions I think I've ever seen. Within a 48 hour period from Thursday morning into Saturday morning, the rain/snow line prediction went from just south of the Ohio river to north of Columbus. Now that same line is almost up to Lake Erie. For the models they use to perform that badly just shows you how much of a guess anything beyond a 24 hour weather forecast really is anymore....
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I think fivethirtyeight had an article on this for last weekends big nor'easter..it's the fact that they get locked into one prediction model instead of considering them all

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/how-meteorologists-botched-the-blizzard-of-2015/
 
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AuTX Buckeye said:
I think thirtyeightfifty had an article on this for last weekends big nor'easter..it's the fact that they get locked into one prediction model instead of considering them all
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Yeah this one was different - every major model other than the NAM had this storm skirting the Ohio River until Friday afternoon or so. The NAM was always furthest north, but even if had it just north of the Ohio River on Friday morning.

All of the models sucked on this one. The storm on the east coast was wrong due to their over-reliance on the European model ECMWF, which is usually decent when it comes to predicting east coast storms. The other "most-reliable" global model, the GFS, didn't have the storm out over the Atlantic at all.
 
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Mike80 said:
This was the worst set of predictions I think I've ever seen. Within a 48 hour period from Thursday morning into Saturday morning, the rain/snow line prediction went from just south of the Ohio river to north of Columbus. Now that same line is almost up to Lake Erie. For the models they use to perform that badly just shows you how much of a guess anything beyond a 24 hour weather forecast really is anymore....
Click to expand...

bigstock-Coin-Flip-5807921.jpg
 
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These insane swings in overnight temps down here need to stop. It was nearly 70 when I got up yesterday, and this morning it was in the upper 30s! This is what prompted my allergies to go nuts and give me a sinus infection around New Years, and I don't need that again.
 
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scarletmike said:
These insane swings in overnight temps down here need to stop. It was nearly 70 when I got up yesterday, and this morning it was in the upper 30s! This is what prompted my allergies to go nuts and give me a sinus infection around New Years, and I don't need that again.
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I am loving the nice cool nights and warm (not hot) days. Lowest we have been down here is lower 50s, so not too bad so far.

As far as the sinus thing goes, yeah, been brutal for me as well with all of those fronts going through the past couple weeks.
 
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We're supposed to get to -8 with wind chills below -25 tonight. I am getting this party started out in my man garage. I will update you the progress of this arctic blast by how cold my dick gets when I piss outside throughout the evening. We are at a balmy 7 degrees right now. Dick just laughed at this temperature and said "bring it on."
 
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We're sitting at 4 degrees. Now that's cold, but its pretty still outside. No wind of which to speak. No wind chill factor at this point. So this Freezeapocolypse is only hype so far. My dick is not concerned yet...We shall see.
 
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