I have to say…..I’ve just accepted Ryan Day’s ridiculously bad game management.
This is where I am at with him at this point in his tenure.
He's taken the machine handed down through the coaching generations and won a NC with it. He's made it more of an NFL factory that it's ever been but regardless of his win %- he is not the first coach I would want in charge to go win one big game. People can argue the definitions and how to quantify it but to me he is not a top "X&O" type coach. He and his teams seem very nervous and wound up in big games a la Cooper.
Until he finally broke through I didn't think he ever would break through and was of the opinion, while risky, you make the coaching change because you see the ceiling.
Now I look around and just think he is what he is. Like all coaches imperfect. Yes, you could find someone else and likely win 70+% of games at OSU but that guy would have flaws too.
If I was his boss or the owner of the OSU Football pro sports team, I would try to come up with a way to judge him on two axis:
1) vs his peers. He doesn't have to be better than Saban or Meyer, he has to beat the Kirby Smart/Cignetti/ type of coach threshold.
2) relative performance to what he inherited (and this would be the tough one). Just keeping up with the absolute wins isn't enough.
For instance earl started out with a lot of wins. He was still the active wins leader in the B1G during his tenure when he got fired and he was fired for the 3 head scratchers every year, for falling out of National level program and into regional which gets me to the unit economics of how that happened if you will. The individual talent under Earle was some of the best ever at OSU up to that point in time but as a group, in the aggregate, they got very bad. Especially in the trenches. So that is the best way I can explain what I would call some kind of RSI relative strength indicator.
Long winded but that's where I am at in this morning after a pretty predictable storm if I am being honest. Day is still the best guy for the program vs his peers but he isn't untouchable and his flaws are pretty obvious. My worry is that his strength up to this point, talent, has been heavily concentrated in the WR and QB room. This is the first time we have started to see the rest of the team (on a unit by unit basis-not individuals) start to be very ordinary.
-NIL budgets are not going to allow for the Hartline depth of 1st round WR's.
-It looks like that absurd outlier of room talent has possibly been masking a steady deterioration of group talent across the rest of the roster.
-Day is not the right guy to win with equal or less talent.
-NIL and the NFL-lite reality of new CFB playoff format may make coaching and QB play the ultimate difference makers. If so Day's QB chops are obviously a huge plus. His big game issues are an obviously a huge negative.
So my proceed with caution statement is- make sure that deterioration is real and not a blip but
IF IT IS then Day is more like Earle and Coop than Tress and Urban. You better get out in front of it no matter the shiny win % and no matter the temporary pain.