SI
High stakes
No. 1 ranking, title hopes on line in OSU-Texas clash
Posted: Friday September 8, 2006 11:47AM; Updated: Friday September 8, 2006 12:33PM
Though always a threat to run, Ohio State QB Troy Smith will lead the Buckeyes to the win with his arm.
John Biever/SI
This, if there ever was one, is a big-money weekend in college football. Only those with bulging bankrolls can afford to buy their way into Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium for Saturday night's epic showdown between Ohio State and Texas. On eBay Thursday, someone forked over
$1,575 for two prime seats on the 40; another dropped
$2,400 for four tickets in the end zone (and a parking pass). For just $25 more that afternoon on the auction site, that guy could have become the proud owner of a
1989 Mercedes.
Buckeyes fans, undeterred by the demand for seats, are arriving in Austin in droves -- so many that the OSU alumni association paid $10,000 to rent out Texas'
basketball arena for a Friday-night pep rally. Of course, those willing to ante up for ducats will not only see a meeting of No. 1 vs No. 2, but also have the privilege of viewing replays on UT's brand new, $8 million
Godzillatron, which offers 7,370 square feet (55-by-134) of high-def viewing pleasure. And if you think that's expensive, consider how much money is at stake when these amateur athletes finally get down to business in Austin: The inside track to the BCS title game in Glendale, Ariz. That'll earn your conference a cool $17 million. Enough to erect a Godzillatron at both ends of the field, put a flatscreen in every stadium bathroom, and still have cash left over to hire a guy whose sole responsibility is to fill out the coaches' poll ballot
exactly the way you want it -- with Texas at No. 1.
Coach Tressel, is that something you might be interested in?
Marquee Matchup
(1) Ohio State at (2) Texas 8 p.m. ET (ABC)
Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium Things You Should Care About
1. Is too much emphasis being put on Troy Smith's mobility? He is arguably the nation's best dual-threat quarterback, and when he made the assertion in the offseason that he prefers to pass, "every time," rather than run, it was easy to write off as NFL Draft-stock posturing more than anything else. This was a QB, after all, who ran 136 times in 2005 (an average of 12.4 carries per game), and never took off fewer than seven times in one contest.
And then, Smith went out in the season opener against Northern Illinois last Saturday, passed 25 times and ran ... once. For negative-one yard. The designed run played no role in the Ohio State offense. As long as Smith has adequate protection -- against NIU it was superb, as he was never sacked -- it seems that he prefers to act more like
Matt Leinart than
Vince Young. "It feels good when Troy is not saying, 'I need a little more time,'" center
Doug Datish told the
Columbus Dispatch after beating the Huskies 35-12. "That was never mentioned today."
If Smith has time, he will try to pick teams apart. Given the state of Texas' secondary (more on that in item No. 2), that could very well happen. If Smith does get flushed from the pocket by the 'Horns, however, they are uniquely equipped to stop it. They're the fastest defense he'll face all year. Many of them have spent years practicing against Young. They even have a fleet-footed freshman QB,
Sherrod Harris, simulating Smith on the scout team.
The bottom line: Smith is more capable of shocking Texas through the air than on the ground. Which means the 'Horns' pass rush and secondary are more important factors than Troy's toes.
2. How much do you believe in the Tarell Brown Effect? It's never a good week when the Austin police find you passed out in the back of a car with a gun on your lap, and then they taser you prior to making their arrest. But this week was a particularly bad one for it to happen to Brown, a stud freshman corner who was supposed to draw the 'Horns' paramount defensive duty: marking Buckeye burner
Ted Ginn Jr. Brown is now suspended. And smaller backups
Brandon Foster and
Ryan Palmer are being thrust into one hell of an assignment. Did I mention neither of them has ever started a college game?
The absence of one key cover corner can have a mammoth impact. Just ask Cal, which was embarrassed right out of the top 10 by Tennessee last week. The Bears lost capable DB
Tim Mixon to an ACL tear in the preseason, and were forced to match freshman
Syd'Quan Thompson up against dangerous Vols wideout
Robert Meachem. Thompson got smoked for two devastating TDs of 42 and 80 yards. Texas, with the brothers Griffin, has better safety help than Cal did -- but Ginn may be the fastest wideout in the country. Covering him will be a multi-man job on nearly every down.
3. How much do you read into Garrett Wolfe's numbers? Northern Illinois' Heisman hopeful served as an illuminator: By gashing OSU for 285 all-purpose yards, he showed that its D, which was breaking in nine new starters, is not in the vintage-Buckeye mold. That's what it looked like to Northern Illinois coach
Joe Novak, at least. "I'll be honest, they're not as good as last year," he said. The Buckeyes let one guy -- Minnesota's
Laurence Maroney, now an NFL starter -- break 100 yards in 2005.
Texas'
Selvin Young and
Jamaal Charles -- both of whom, let's face it, are athletically on par with Wolfe -- are no doubt licking their chops. One would think they'd be able to cause plenty of problems on Saturday. But one would be more confident in that thought had Texas' longest run against North Texas, a 27-yarder, not been by freshman QB
Colt McCoy.
Inside The Scouting Report
How much of a headache is it to defend Ted Ginn Jr.? Let an anonymous assistant from a former Buckeyes opponent fill you in:
"Ginn is a guy who has a lot of secondary coaches on Tylenol PM. Ohio State moves him around a lot -- you're never sure whether he's going to line up in the slot or outside. He's a real difficult receiver to jam [with a cornerback] and then roll up on top of. You always want to have safety help on him over the top, but when they get in two-back sets, there's not as much you can do -- because if you don't bring your safeties up, they'll just run all day on you.
"For the cornerbacks guarding Ginn at the line, I'd tell them that they have to increase their cushion to a different level, because he's not like any other receiver. Most corners have a cushion that's anywhere from 7-9 yards, and they stay in their back pedal until the receiver breaks into the cushion -- normally at about three yards away. Then, the corner has to flip his hips, turn and run at full speed. With Ginn, because it's a different speed, you have to get out of your back pedal a lot faster. If you flip your hips at three yards, he'll run right by you. If you do it at five, you have a better chance to open up and cut him off with your body."
The Pick
One other place where this is a big-money weekend: Vegas. There, Texas is favored by 2.5 points. Plenty of reasonable factors go into that spread. The game is in Austin. The 'Horns beat Ohio State last year. They're the defending national champs. Their defense looked better in its first game than the Buckeyes' did (although UT faced North Texas, not Northern Illinois). The public has faith in McCoy after his smooth debut in the system that was designed for Young in '05. Ohio State's kicking game, for the first time this decade, is suspect.
My gut, though, is telling me to believe in Smith the same way we once believed in Young. It agonized Smith to watch, helplessly, as UT pulled out the win last September, and I suspect he's been obsessing over this rematch. Ohio State's defense isn't going to keep Texas at bay, but Smith -- with a sublime passing performance -- will put as many points on the board as the Buckeyes need. The visitors by six.