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Fantasy Football Advice

I have pick #5 this year in a 14 team snake league and am terrified of it.
Lots of ADP's have me landing Jamal Charles - who I just don't think will see the ball a ton in Andy Reid's slap happy passing offense.

I think it's worth it to try and move down to #7 and hopefully flop picks in a later round.
 
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I think with the #4 pick i'm ASSUMING Adrian Peterson & Mr Injury Arian Foster are gone... I think i'm leaning Megatron or Brees/Rodgers.... thoughts... or am i just :smash:
 
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AuTX Buckeye;2362967; said:
I think with the #4 pick i'm ASSUMING Adrian Peterson & Mr Injury Arian Foster are gone... I think i'm leaning Megatron or Brees/Rodgers.... thoughts... or am i just :smash:

depends on if you think doug martin is a fluke or if cj spiller will make the leap to the next level, assuming he stays healthy. you also don't know if russell wilson will be more of the focus of the offense in seattle and paoch some of lynch's numbers.

and since people are posting their FF credentials, I've won my league 3 of the last 4 years and finished runner up the other year. but that is a league where qb play is weighted equally with rb play, making qb's far more important.
 
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BigWoof31;2362966; said:
I have pick #5 this year in a 14 team snake league and am terrified of it.
Lots of ADP's have me landing Jamal Charles - who I just don't think will see the ball a ton in Andy Reid's slap happy passing offense.

I think it's worth it to try and move down to #7 and hopefully flop picks in a later round.

reid's offense isn't that pass happy. and even so, charles will get a ton more receptions out of the backfield. look what reid's offense with two good wr's in jackson and maclin, and a decent TE in Celek, along with scrambling Vick did for Shady Mccoy 2 years ago.
 
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tsteele316;2362969; said:
depends on if you think doug martin is a fluke or if cj spiller will make the leap to the next level, assuming he stays healthy. you also don't know if russell wilson will be more of the focus of the offense in seattle and paoch some of lynch's numbers.

and since people are posting their FF credentials, I've won my league 3 of the last 4 years and finished runner up the other year. but that is a league where qb play is weighted equally with rb play, making qb's far more important.

I dominated back in the early 00's with a bunch of other guys who were fairly decent but since i got back in a few years ago.. i've been getting my ass handed to me. Also Spiller is likely outta play because of our keeper rules

offensive points are as follows in my league not sure if this will change anyways mind
Passing Yards - 20 yards per point
Passing Touchdowns - 6
Interceptions - -2
Rushing Yards - 10 yards per point
Rushing Touchdowns - 6
Receptions - 0.5
Reception Yards - 10 yards per point
Reception Touchdowns - 6
Return Yards - 15 yards per point
Return Touchdowns - 6
2-Point Conversions - 2
Fumbles Lost - -2
Offensive Fumble Return TD - 6
 
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tsteele316;2362970; said:
reid's offense isn't that pass happy. and even so, charles will get a ton more receptions out of the backfield. look what reid's offense with two good wr's in jackson and maclin, and a decent TE in Celek, along with scrambling Vick did for Shady Mccoy 2 years ago.

Brian Westbrook was a legit fantasy option some years ago. Charles, health permitting - will be the same way. #7 overall? A bit high. 3rd round ? Hell yes.
 
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AuTX Buckeye;2362967; said:
I think with the #4 pick i'm ASSUMING Adrian Peterson & Mr Injury Arian Foster are gone... I think i'm leaning Megatron or Brees/Rodgers.... thoughts... or am i just :smash:

gotta go RB, there aren't many, and everyone is going to be going RB to get what good ones are left, there are too many good QB options this year to take one in the first rd, and Megatron is too high at 4
 
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Buckeneye;2362983; said:
Brian Westbrook was a legit fantasy option some years ago. Charles, health permitting - will be the same way. #7 overall? A bit high. 3rd round ? Hell yes.

i'd like to know what league you would be playing in where jamal charles lasts until the 3rd round. i would like to join this league and steal everyone's money.
 
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Bucknut24;2363011; said:
so I just did a draft....


QB: Brady/Romo
RB: AP/Chris Johnson/Bell/Benard/Mathews
WR: AJ Green/Roddy White/Amendola/Brown
TE: Gonzales
Def: Pats


:lol:

mind breaking it down by the first 5 rounds? with the pick number.. if your drafting #1 overall then :tongue2:
 
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tsteele316;2362969; said:
depends on if you think doug martin is a fluke or if cj spiller will make the leap to the next level, assuming he stays healthy. you also don't know if russell wilson will be more of the focus of the offense in seattle and paoch some of lynch's numbers.

and since people are posting their FF credentials, I've won my league 3 of the last 4 years and finished runner up the other year. but that is a league where qb play is weighted equally with rb play, making qb's far more important.

Personally I would say that QBs are deeper than RBs, no matter how they are scored (in terms of offering advice to the original poster). There is a steep cutoff with QBs too (After Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers, etc.) but you can get a guy who throws for 3500 yards and 25 TDs easily (assuming they play all season). Of course the difference is that RBs aren't the value they were in the late 90s and early 00s either as the league has gone full pass retard, but if you can get a guy that stays on the field a lot, take him.

That said, I would still stand by not overpaying (overdrafting) medicore RBs. I see at least one person in every league do it every year. I think a guy like Spiller is a great player, but not only is he injury-prone but they have a popular and experienced veteran (Jackson) behind him, so he won't be on the field as much as an every down, 25-30 carry guy is. I watched a few Buffalo games last year and Spiller took multiple series off (or was given them off), so there were a few games that if he didn't break a big one his numbers sucked because he had somewhat limited touches. Same thing with Sproles, Stephen Jackson in Atlanta, etc.
 
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Bucklion;2363075; said:
Personally I would say that QBs are deeper than RBs, no matter how they are scored (in terms of offering advice to the original poster). There is a steep cutoff with QBs too (After Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers, etc.) but you can get a guy who throws for 3500 yards and 25 TDs easily (assuming they play all season). Of course the difference is that RBs aren't the value they were in the late 90s and early 00s either as the league has gone full pass retard, but if you can get a guy that stays on the field a lot, take him.

That said, I would still stand by not overpaying (overdrafting) medicore RBs. I see at least one person in every league do it every year. I think a guy like Spiller is a great player, but not only is he injury-prone but they have a popular and experienced veteran (Jackson) behind him, so he won't be on the field as much as an every down, 25-30 carry guy is. I watched a few Buffalo games last year and Spiller took multiple series off (or was given them off), so there were a few games that if he didn't break a big one his numbers sucked because he had somewhat limited touches. Same thing with Sproles, Stephen Jackson in Atlanta, etc.

of course, that was last year, before fred jackson's 2nd debilitating leg injury, and he's now 32. i would expect spiller to get the majority of all carries as a close to a feature back as possible.
 
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tsteele316;2363085; said:
of course, that was last year, before fred jackson's 2nd debilitating leg injury, and he's now 32. i would expect spiller to get the majority of all carries as a close to a feature back as possible.

:pissed: in reference to the bolded statement he was my keeper last year... totally screwed me.
 
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tsteele316;2363085; said:
of course, that was last year, before fred jackson's 2nd debilitating leg injury, and he's now 32. i would expect spiller to get the majority of all carries as a close to a feature back as possible.

I didn't say he wouldn't get the majority of the carries.
 
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