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Coronavirus (COVID-19) is too exciting for adults to discuss (CLOSED)

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ORD_Buckeye said:
My number is an apple-to-apple comparison for the US. To use the worldwide flu number relative to the US COVID number is disingenuous.
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The CDC estimate is 24-62,000 if we want to be fair.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm

(I'm drawing a conclusion from that or suggesting any policy because of it, and certainly if we are fortunate enough to get a low end kung flu number that's similar to the high end seasonal flu number, no one wanted flu times two)
 
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AKAK said:
The CDC estimate is 24-62,000 if we want to be fair.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm

(I'm drawing a conclusion from that or suggesting any policy because of it, and certainly if we are fortunate enough to get a low end kung flu number that's similar to the high end seasonal flu number, no one wanted flu times two)
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Also that number of flu deaths is over an entire calendar year correct? where as basically we’ve seen ~40k deaths due to CoVID19 in what 2 months?
 
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AuTX Buckeye said:
gotcha ... so about 6 months (flu) vs 2 months (Covid)
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established virus while unchecked*
vs
brand new strain in a mostly shut down world.

* - particularly among the germ insurgency known as children



There's also the very large detail of that CDC number being an estimate, and including related deaths that lead to great protests and attempts to exclude when it pertains to covid.
 
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jwinslow said:
While unchecked* vs shutting down most of the world

* - particularly among the germ insurgency known as children



There's also the very large detail of that CDC number being an estimate, and including related deaths that lead to great protests and attempts to exclude when it pertains to covid.
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As I understand it, it's mostly estimates for all infectious diseases, other than AIDS.

For example, last flu season in the US, of the 220,000 positive tests for the flu, 22,000 deaths resulted. That's a 10% death rate for the mathematically challenged. Hahaha!
I'm sure none of us would actually believe that 10% of flu cases result in death. Total nonsense.
 
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jwinslow said:
established virus while unchecked*
vs
brand new strain in a mostly shut down world.

* - particularly among the germ insurgency known as children



There's also the very large detail of that CDC number being an estimate, and including related deaths that lead to great protests and attempts to exclude when it pertains to covid.
Click to expand...

The final covid numbers will be estimates too. And they will probably overlap somewhat given the similarity if symptoms and not all will be tested. Think the "I think i had this in December" phenomenon.
 
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