sluTiger;1035273; said:
All three of those teams have played better offenses than OSU. I see OSUs #1 ranking but I am just wondering if it is a paper tiger... But do not take that as an insult, LSU's defense has turned out to be a paper tiger.
Ohio State....Rank..Auburn.......Rank..Va Tech....Rank..Ark.......Rank
YSU............NR...Kansas St.....20...ECU.........75...Troy........30
Akron..........100..South Fl......55...LSU.........54...Bama........60
Washington.....95...Miss. St......65...Ohio........66...UK..........24
Northwestern...11...New Mex. St....5...Bill/Mary...NR...North Tex...16
Minnesota......44...Vandy........106...NC..........58...Chattan.....NR
Purdue.........17...Florida.......34...Clemson.....41...Aub........107
Kent State.....111..Ark..........113...Duke........74...Ole Mis.....65
Mich. St.......59...LSU...........54...BC...........6...Fla Int....118
Penn State.....70...Ole Miss......65...Ga Tech....102...South Car...39
Wisconsin......68...Tenn Tech.....NR...Flast.......47...Tenny.......40
Illinois.......115..Georgia.......84...Miami......109...Miss.St....108
Michigan.......73...Alabama.......60...UVA.........80...LSU.........54
Avg............69.................60..............64...............60
Yes, those three have played better passing offenses, on average... but each has played essentially the same schedule (so far as passing numbers of opponents are concerned.) In this respect, I'm willing to give Auburn more credit than I did earlier, in as much as they played a tougher passing against schedule (60) and only gave up 30 yards per game more. I'm not sure what the difference is, so I guess I'd be willing to call it "even" as between Ohio State and Auburn. Virginia Tech and Arkansas, in my view, are still out of the conversation, although I'd give a bump to Arkansas over my initial idea on the matter. Virginia Tech, however... forget them.
With respect to overall offense against:
Ohio State....Rank..Auburn.......Rank..Va Tech....Rank..Ark.......Rank
YSU............NR...Kansas St.....42...ECU.........72...Troy........17
Akron.........112...South Fl......39...LSU.........20...Bama........76
Washington.....62...Miss. St.....113...Ohio........81...UK..........25
Northwestern...31...New Mex. St...34...Bill/Mary...NR...North Tex...49
Minnesota......50...Vandy........104...NC.........106...Chattan.....NR
Purdue.........35...Florida.......13...Clemson.....47...Aub........102
Kent State.....80..Ark............16...Duke.......118...Ole Mis.....93
Mich. St.......33...LSU...........20...BC..........27...Fla Int....119
Penn State.....58...Ole Miss......93...Ga Tech.....67...South Car...77
Wisconsin......44...Tenn Tech.....NR...Flast.......83...Tenny.......56
Illinois.......36...Georgia.......71...Miami......111...Miss.St....113
Michigan.......75...Alabama.......76...UVA........101...LSU.........20
Avg..........56.0................56.4............75.7.............67.0
Now, in terms of overall offenses faced, we see that Ohio State has played the harder schedule in terms of offenses against. Slightly over Auburn, and well in front of Va Tech and Arkansas. I suppose what this tells me, and it's just my conclusion, that are surely others, is that yes, Auburn and Ohio State have similar performance against similar schedule types. As above, in my mind the 30 yard per game average difference accounts for the schedule difference, placing - as you originally asserted - Auburn and Ohio State's secondary on a similar level. Arkansas and Virginia Tech, however, are not in the same conversation.
LSU did put 319 on Auburn.... but then, in triple OT they only put 209 on Ark. Which tells me... all this is meaningless and I've wasted an hour. :p
Edit: And the "real" analysis of all this I would have to defer to DaddyBigBucks and his various composites. If you haven't seen
ThisT hread do yourself a favor and look it over. The raw numbers are pressed through important lenses there in ways I don't fully understand, but essentially reveal how, in this case, a defense does as against an opponents average. That is to say, for example, that Ohio State allows opponets to pass per attempt, on average, for 67% of that opponents average per game. Meaning, when facing Ohio State, a team can expect to perform 67% as well as they have during the rest of the season on that metric. LSU opponents, on this same metric can expect a 79% success rate compared to their typical ability, Va Tech 80% Auburn 83% and Ark 89% and so on ending with Navy at 130%, meaning Navy opponents can expect to do 30% better than they usually do....