• Follow us on Twitter @buckeyeplanet and @bp_recruiting, like us on Facebook! Enjoy a post or article, recommend it to others! BP is only as strong as its community, and we only promote by word of mouth, so share away!
  • Consider registering! Fewer and higher quality ads, no emails you don't want, access to all the forums, download game torrents, private messages, polls, Sportsbook, etc. Even if you just want to lurk, there are a lot of good reasons to register!

Cincinnati Reds 2018 season (It's that time of year again)

@Jaxbuck how do you feel about the Reds using all their runs in one week? 10 on Monday, 9 Tuesday and then 15... Fifteen!?!?! yesterday? They probably only have 13 runs left in them for the all of May.

I remember you saying this was their easy stretch, comparative to May... just excited and blowing their wad now, when they can? Dumb luck?
 
Upvote 0
@Jaxbuck how do you feel about the Reds using all their runs in one week? 10 on Monday, 9 Tuesday and then 15... Fifteen!?!?! yesterday? They probably only have 13 runs left in them for the all of May.

I remember you saying this was their easy stretch, comparative to May... just excited and blowing their wad now, when they can? Dumb luck?

Short answer: Dumb luck/random variance.

To wit:
  • They have scored 103 runs this season in 26 games.
  • 35 of those Runs have been scored in 3 of those games (all wins).
  • The other 68 Runs have been spread across the other 23 games for a RS/G average of 2.96
  • They have lost 20 of those 23 games


So about 90% of the time they come to the park, score less than 3 runs and lose. Every once in a while they come to the park and the same futile acts randomly produce a different result so they win.

No team has ever gone 0-162
 
Upvote 0
Well Fernando Rodney tried to outsuck the Reds there in the end but they would have none of it.

They have now lost 21 of 24 games in which they have scored less than 10 runs
 
Upvote 0
Update for games played through 4/21

"Pitching"
  • Runs allowed 108, 5th most in MLB
  • k/9 7.62, 4th worst in MLB
  • BB/9 4.35, 5th worst in MLB
  • ERA 5.34, 3rd worst in MLB
  • WHIP 1.46, 4th worst in MLB
  • HR allowed 31, 2nd most in MLB
Still solidly among the top 5 worst in every category but no longer the unequivocal "worst". The White Sox and Marlins are not just going to roll over and surrender the overall #1 pick folks. This will be a battle.


Team coming to plate with bats in their hands:
  • Runs scored 59, lowest in MLB
  • OBP .306, 21st in MLB (9th worst)
  • ISO, .092, 2nd worst MLB
  • HR's 11, fewest in MLB
  • They are actually just middle of the road in drawing walks and striking out
The problem continues to be a group that ranks in the bottom 1/3 of MLB in making outs, then when they actually do avoid the out they do the least amount of damage possible (Picture Votto taking 4 borderline pitches with RISP, getting his walk and then Scooter coming up to have to drive everyone in).

Team record
  • 3 wins-17 losses, worst in MLB
  • -49 Run Diff, 3rd worst in MLB
  • 2.95 RS/G, worst in MLB
  • 5.4 RA/G, 3rd worst MLB
The changes in negative Run Diff leadership really show how the Marlins and White Sox have stepped up their games. Marlins allowing 6.15 RA/G, CWS a whopping 6.65

These guys aren't fucking around. Sending a clear message that they intend to suck as bad or worse than the Reds all summer.Our boys need to bring it if they want that overall #1 next summer.


EDIT

The upcoming weeks schedule does not have an automatic no loss day in it.
Today @ St Louis
Mon-Thursday vs Atlanta
Fri-Sunday @Minnesota Twins

They better pray for some more bad weather. Odds say they will win 1, maybe 2, in there somehow. This one is a actually a crucial week because its getting to the point where the games remaining are dropping enough to change the win % required to theoretically avoid 100 losses.

EX: say these cock polishers actually raise their win % and find themselves at 5-23 (.179)end of next Sunday. With 134 games remaining they would have to play .426 ball to win 62.

.425 is just a slightly shitty team who wins more than 2 of every 5 they play. There is no way....NO WAY... that these 24 limp dicks and the Fairy Flare king are going to win that much.


EDIT 2

Holy shit. I looked at May schedule:

View attachment 17780

They have 3 games with the Marlins other than that it's 26 times they will go into the game as the decided betting underdog.

:lol: they are so fucked

#121


Update for games played through 4/28

"Pitching"
  • k/9 7.65, 4th worst in MLB
  • BB/9 4.13, 6th worst in MLB
  • WHIP 1.50, 2nd worst in MLB
  • HR/9 1.63, worst in MLB
  • ERA 5.42, worst in MLB
  • Runs Allowed 152, worst in MLB
Low k/9 tells you they don't have any "stuff", high walk rate tells you they don't have any command, high HR/9 tells you their weak shit gets splattered often and (because of all the walks) there are lots of runs scored against,

Stuff-less, command-less and hard hit is no way to go through life son.


Team coming to plate with bats in their hands:
  • OBP .319, 14th in MLB
  • ISO, .117, 2nd worst MLB
  • HR's 21, 3rd fewest in MLB
  • Runs scored 104, 7th worst in MLB
    • 4 outlier games of 10, 10, 9 and 15 this year
    • 44 runs in those 4 games are 42% of their total for the season
    • 60 runs scored in the other 23 games = 2.6 RPG
They scored 34 runs in 3 games this week so the numbers are skewed (and still bad). Just no power at all, although they are doing a decent job of avoiding outs.

Team record
  • 6 wins-21 losses, worst in MLB
  • -48 Run Diff, 4th worst in MLB
  • FanGraphs is predicting 97 losses, tied for 2nd worst record with CWS and 1 worse than the Marlins
  • Royals and Orioles are announcing their presence with authority in the race for #1 as well. Both currently have a worse runs diff than the Reds.
Last week I guessed they'd be 7-20 today, they are 6-21 but I messed up and thought the Marlins series was this week.

May schedule (above) is brutal and they are playing .222 ball going into it. I can't even imagine how bad it could get so I'll just keep going a week at a time:

Today @ Twins
Mon-Wed: Brewers
Fris-Sat: Marlins

Brewcrew is cooling off and the Marlins are on par with the Reds. Fuck it, I say they go crazy and end up 3-3 over the next 6. That would mean 9-24 this time next week.

Lets see

#121
 
Upvote 0
I love listening to Chris Welsh talk about former 1st round pick Blandino, not being real good at any one thing and that you have to see him play a lot to appreciate his being a decent player.

"Doesn't hit for power, isn't real fast, isn't going to hit for high average and struggled a bit defensively...." :lol:

They are actually trying to talk this no talent ass clown up.
 
Upvote 0
I love listening to Chris Welsh talk about former 1st round pick Blandino, not being real good at any one thing and that you have to see him play a lot to appreciate his being a decent player.

"Doesn't hit for power, isn't real fast, isn't going to hit for high average and struggled a bit defensively...." :lol:

They are actually trying to talk this no talent ass clown up.

If that’s not a first round pick, then the Reds don’t know what is.
 
Upvote 0
If that’s not a first round pick, then the Reds don’t know what is.

I remember when they sucked in the early 80's and you heard about all the talent down on the farm. Then you saw guys like Eric Davis, Kal Daniels and Paul O'Neil come up and you could tell they were players.

Now they suck balls and the "help is on the way" guys are fucking Blandino, Perraza and Winker.

It's fucking nauseating
 
Upvote 0
I remember when they sucked in the early 80's and you heard about all the talent down on the farm. Then you saw guys like Eric Davis, Kal Daniels and Paul O'Neil come up and you could tell they were players.

Now they suck balls and the "help is on the way" guys are fucking Blandino, Perraza and Winker.

It's fucking nauseating

At least there aren’t many in the “help is on the way” crowd. Most people know better. Just not the ones who are paid to blow sunshine up our ass.

I have heard decent things about Senzel who can’t be any worse that what we have now. And Hunter Greene!1!1!!11!!!
 
Upvote 0
I don't know what has even possessed me to watch these bums, but this home plate ump is a fucking joke. Probably 10 different pitches off the plate called strike for the Brewers pitchers.
 
Upvote 0
I don't know what has even possessed me to watch these bums, but this home plate ump is a fucking joke. Probably 10 different pitches off the plate called strike for the Brewers pitchers.

0sqnwj86u7lj.jpeg
 
Upvote 0
Back
Top