@BB73 posted this in the Mack Brown thread:
I posted this in the games thread.
James Madison played Gardner-Webb in their previous game and had zero points at the half.
They scored 53 in the first half against the Tar Herls.
I brought it here because, as usual, I'm taking this down a statistical rabbit hole.
A quirk in scheduling allows us to use this illustrate what happened in both Chapel Hill and Columbus yesterday. Charlotte and James Madison have both played Gardner-Webb and North Carolina (and, oddly enough, each other).
Charlotte had a higher pass efficiency against Gardner-Webb than against North Carolina
James Madison had a higher PE against North Carolina than against Gardner-Webb
Based on the games played all the way around, by far the biggest outliers are James Madison's QB's (Alonza Barnett III) passing efficiency in the Gardner-Webb game (low) and the North Carolina game (high).
In other words, Alonza Barnett III, in spite of a stupid strong arm, is very streaky. He was ice cold against the FCS Runnin' Bulldogs and crazy hot against the Tarheels. It happens.
While the similarity with the game in Columbus ends there (NC is below average on pass defense), that similarity remains.
The opposing quarterback got hot. It happens.
Was it a disappointing performance? Absolutely
Was it also vanilla defense and a hot opposing quarterback? Without a doubt
Could things have been done that would have made it harder for Marshall's hot QB? Like many of you, I strongly believe so.
But here is the next question that you ought to be asking yourself: Is Jim Knowles as smart about football as I am?
I do sincerely hope that for everyone on this board that is a purely rhetorical question.
The point is best illustrated by continuing this thought experiment with more questions:
Given that JK knows more than we do, is it possible that he had a reason to leave things as they were?
Isn't it possible that he and Day knew that the Buckeyes would win by multiple touchdowns regardless, and it was best to leave the defense as it was, for any of a number of reasons?
Isn't it possible that, in order to put their players in the best position to succeed for the season, it was best to leave them in a situation in this game where they had to struggle a little?
If you were to help a butterfly out of its cocoon, its would be unable to fly. Its wings need the struggle of extricating itself in order to fully develop.
If you don't struggle, you don't grow. Sometimes that struggle has to be allowed to happen.
Do I know for sure this has happened? Of course not. But I know that it has happened, because coaches that have gone on to become authors after their coaching careers have written about this very thing. That's where I first read the butterfly metaphor that I used above, though I don't remember which coach wrote it.
TLDR version: I screamed and yelled all day yesterday too. But yesterday does not mean the defense is broken, nor does it mean that we are utterly screwed without TW (though I said that out loud yesterday). It just might mean that the Buckeye defense still has some growing to do in order to stretch their wings.