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2024 Season: Are You Ready For Some Football?


Predicting the Ohio State football team's final ten games after the bye week​

Can Ryan Day's squad continue their dominant run and navigate the rest of the season unscathed? Here's a look at the road ahead.
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Sat, Nov 30 vs Michigan​

MATCHUP HISTORY: Ohio State only has a losing record to Michigan of all the opponents left on its schedule, 61-51-6, with its last win coming in 2019. However, Michigan is undoubtedly in hot water with its recent wins, and if wins are vacated, this record could look different by game time.

The rivalry showdown in “The Game” is always intense, and Michigan will present the toughest challenge on Ohio State’s schedule. With both teams eyeing a spot in the Big Ten Championship and the College Football Playoff, expect a hard-fought battle.

The Wolverines’ struggles in the trenches, however, could be the key difference as Ohio State looks to reclaim supremacy in the rivalry. Ryan Day might not hang 100 on Michigan, but he’ll certainly aim to make a statement.

Prediction: Ohio State wins 35-13​

 
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The Ohio State football team is still establishing its identity

The Ohio State football program is still trying to figure out what kind of identity they'll have in this young season.

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The Ohio State football team has been killing it in this early season. They are 2-0 and their defense has outscored both opponents so far this season. We knew that the defense was going to be great, but the offense was going to be the question. Which part of their offense was going to lead the charge though?

The hope heading into this season was that it wasn't going to have to be a defensively-led team. That's how the Buckeyes were able to win most of their games a year ago. The offense is a lot better than it was because they have multiple options in both the passing game and the running game.

So which portion of the offense will lead this team? Will it be the running game led by TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins? They combined for 174 rushing yards last week against Western Michigan. Or will it be Will Howard and the passing offense with Jeremiah Smith already looking like a star?

The identity of this Ohio State football team is still being figured out

Based on how the team has played early in the year, I would say that the running game is going to be the identifying part of this team on offense. Henderson and Judkins are two of the best running backs in the country. If the offensive line is just halfway decent, both backs should approach 1,000 yards rushing.

The defense is still the best unit on the team. They shut out the Broncos of Western Michigan and scored 14 points against Akron. The defense might be the best unit, but the offense is going to be good enough to now be a reason why this team wins some games.
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Lightning Round: Ryan Day Sees “Confidence Being Built” on Ohio State’s Offensive Line, Says He’s “Not at Liberty to Speak” About Denzel Burke’s Ejection Against Western Michigan

Here are all the news and notes from Day's media session:
  • Day on having a better understanding of third-down efficiency, fourth-down efficiency and other advanced statistics this season: "It's pretty much on par with where we've been. I've got some pretty good feedback on some things last year. I feel like we were right where we needed to be. ... I thought it would be a good idea to have the weekly reports with what's gone on in the NFL and what's gone on in college. ... There's a lot that comes with it. ... It's been great. Another resource to bounce ideas off of. ... We're prepared for different situations."
  • Day on who will be Ohio State's No. 1 kick returner against Marshall: "We've got Brandon (Inniss) back there a little bit this week. He and JB (Jayden Ballard) were back there. ... They'll probably both still return kicks, but who takes the first one will probably be decided tomorrow."
  • On Howard and McLaughlin: "They're not newcomers anymore. They're veterans."
  • On how Ohio State has performed in practice so far this week: "Yesterday was a dynamite practice. Today was a hard practice, but it wasn't all perfect. But we put another brick in the foundation. ... The intensity was good today. ... It was a good day for us to get on the field, get some work in, push through it. ... Noon will come fast (on Saturday)."
  • On Joe McGuire, Ohio State's depth at punter: "We're looking to get those other guys some reps when we can. ... They've done a good job in practice. They have kicked well in practice. Joey's done a good job in practice, too, though."
  • On Ohio State's offensive line, the return of Jackson: "I think there's a little bit of confidence being built there coming off the last game. ... I thought the offensive line had one of their better practices on Tuesday. ... We're an athletic group up there."
  • On Jackson: "Leader, experienced, communicates well — to me, the best guard in the country. ... This is a guy that's played a lot of football, one of the best in the game."
  • On Huff, the head coach's Tudor's NIL comment "I have a lot of respect for him. I think he's very thorough in his approach. ... I thought the way he handled that was great. Sometimes, as coaches, we take ourselves too seriously. I thought he had a great moment there. ,,, They're a good team. He's a good coach. ... We got to be ready for them."
  • On whether he received feedback from the Big Ten about Denzel Burke's targeting call and ejection: "Yeah, I did. I don't think I'm at liberty to speak about that. I don't want to get myself jammed up. ... I can promise you there's nobody on our team that's looking to lead with their head when they tackle."
  • On George Fitzpatrick and Zen Michalski: "George and Zen are putting in good days. ... We got to keep pushing those guys, getting them reps. ... They got to keep coming, too. We got to keep challenging them. We need that."
 
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“We're Going All the Way, Baby”: Archie Griffin Shares His National Championship Expectations for Ohio State on FOX's Big Noon Kickoff

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Archie Griffin and Urban Meyer have very high expectations for Ohio State by season's end.

Many people – both analysts and fans alike – have said this season is "natty or bust" for Ohio State. Those expectations are certainly valid given the amount of talent the Buckeyes have this fall.

With FOX's Big Noon Kickoff in Columbus on Saturday, plenty of former and current members of Ohio State's football team gave plenty of love to the Buckeyes. Two-time Heisman Trophy winner Archie Griffin didn't hold back, telling Meyer, "We're going all the way, baby. ... You don't come out here to play to get in second place."



Meyer was just as confident in Ohio State, as he picked the Buckeyes to win it all in a "National Championship Draft" by the Big Noon Kickoff crew. The other four teams selected were all from the SEC: Georgia (Mark Ingram), Texas (Chris Fallica), Ole Miss (Matt Leinart) and Tennessee (Brady Quinn).



Welcome back home to Columbus, Coach!




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love Ramzy's articles...the bolded part at the end caught my attention

THE SITUATIONAL: Level Up​

By Ramzy Nasrallah on September 25, 2024 at 1:15 pm @ramzy
Oct 8, 2022; East Lansing, Michigan, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Emeka Egbuka (2) heads up field after a catch against Michigan State Spartans cornerback Justin White (30) in the second quarter of the NCAA Division I football game between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan State Spartans at Spartan Stadium.

© Kyle Robertson/Columbus Dispatch / IMAGN NETWORK
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Ohio State fans have a complicated relationship with bye weeks.
Six seasons ago the Buckeyes added to their grisly Purdue Harbor legacy. The bye week which followed meant we all got to think about that game for a couple of weeks. Good times. Let’s never do that again.
When the schedule resumed, Ohio State rolled with home blackout (at noon!) against a very bad Nebraska team which ended up going 4-8 in Scott Frost’s first season. The Huskers went into the locker room up 21-16 at the half.
Of course Ohio State won - West Lafayette was their only blemish that season - but there was something quite unnerving about spending two weeks gargling what the Boilermakers had deposited in their mouths, returning home to a very awkward Alternate Uniform Game against a mediocre opponent and then proceeding to look like that despite the improvement sabbatical.
This was Urban Meyer's last team. Here is how Ryan Day's have fared coming off the in-season breaks:
OHIO STATE BYE WEEKS SINCE 2019
SEASON WEEK GAME BEFORE BYE GAME AFTER BYE AFTERMATH
2019 7 OSU (4) 34, MSU (25) 10 OSU (3) 52, @ N'WESTERN 3 2019 juggernaut didn't stumble
10 OSU (3) 38, UW (13) 7 OSU (1) 73, MARYLAND 14 Chase Young suspended
2020 4 OSU (3) 39, RU 27 OSU (3) 42, IU (9) 35 Maryland forfeit/not a true bye
6 OSU (3) 42, IU (9) 35 OSU (4) 52, @ MSU 12 Ohio State forfeit/not a true bye
8 OSU (4) 52, @ MSU 12 OSU (4) 22, N'WESTERN (14) 10 @ INDY Michigan forfeit/not a true bye
2021 7 OSU (7) 66, MARYLAND 17 OSU (5) 54, IU 7 Defensive cracks began to widen
2022 7 OSU (3) 49, @ MSU 20 OSU (2) 52, IOWA 10 OSU never the same after the bye
2023 5 OSU (6) 17, @ ND (9) 14 OSU (4) 37, MARYLAND 17 Very shaky start coming off bye
2024 3 OSU (3) 56, WMU 0 OSU (3) 49, MARSHALL 14 ??????
8 OSU @ OREGON OSU vs. NEBRASKA TBD
J.T. Barrett's OVI arrest four years earlier had taken place during the bye week. As a senior, he produced the greatest 4th quarter ever by an OSU quarterback - that Penn State game came off a bye week. The 1st quarter was an unmitigated disaster. Sluggish doesn't do it justice. Complicated relationship.
Day broke a 40-year OSU drought for B1G Coach of the Year honors in his first season at the big desk, which has an argument for the cleanest regular season slate in program history. Not even Chase Young's suspension slowed that team down during its second bye week, the last time Ohio State got two of these scheduled breaks.
Since then? During 2021 opponents accumulated enough film to figure out how to attack a unit which had Alex Grinch and Bill Davis coaching it (Michigan accumulated a little more than that). The 2022 Buckeyes looked 2019ish right up until their week off, after which they clenched way too hard in preparation for a Michigan game which, well, even without Connor Stalions it was a masterclass by Jim Harbaugh in getting into an opponent’s head and staying there rent-free.
Last season Ohio State returned to the Horseshoe after a week off and let Maryland push it around before using big plays to overwhelm the visitors. Which kind of also happened on Saturday. One bye week down, one to go. It’s complicated.
Do you know what all of these clunky post-bye week games all have in common? The Buckeyes have lost none of them, going a perfect 9-0 since Day took over. Aggregate score: Ohio State 433, Opponents 122. To recap:
Ohio State fans have a complicated relationship with bye weeks
We also have a complicated relationship with happiness - it’s one of our core values - but that’s an offseason column. We have games to discuss! Welcome back, let’s get Situational..........


They enter the conference schedule without having overextended the top of the roster unnecessarily. Now it will be interesting to see if the defense can make a few tweaks, most of all - and largely lost in the angst over the front seven's performance - getting a takeaway.

The last turnover the Buckeyes forced was Gabe Powers' pick-six against Akron. Eight quarters without a forced turnover shouldn't happen at any point of the season with this defense, let alone in the weakest quadrant of the schedule.


No opponent on Ohio State's schedule has turned it over more than Sparty thus far, so if that drought continues beyond Saturday it might be time to panic. Haha, just kidding - you're going to panic regardless. We have a complicated relationship with anxiety.


Thanks for getting Situational today. Go Bucks. Beat Michigan State.

 
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Ramzy once again (chef's kiss)

THE SITUATIONAL: The End of Poverty​

By Ramzy Nasrallah on October 9, 2024 at 1:15 pm @ramzy
Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Emeka Egbuka (12) is tackled by Oregon Ducks safety Verone McKinley III (23) and Oregon Ducks cornerback DJ James (0) on a punt return during Saturday's NCAA Division I football game at Ohio Stadium in Columbus on September 11, 2021

© Barbara J. Perenic/Columbus Dispatch / IMAGN
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Ohio State suffered its first shutout on Saturday.
The Buckeyes scored zero points in the 2nd quarter against Iowa, marking the first frame all season the top of the depth chart went 15 whole minutes without putting one in the end zone or through the uprights.
Until the 1st quarter in East Lansing ended 3-0 in favor of the visitors, Ohio State had scored at least seven in every quarter regardless of personnel. No points were exchanged in the final quarter, when both teams were just trying to get off Peacock and back home. That was the first goose egg all year.
The second was laid Saturday when Iowa sent the home team into the half with only a 7-0 lead on national television. What was truly alarming - the Buckeyes had more trouble holding onto the ball than moving it.
Jeremiah Smith fumbled what would have been a chunk play, and whatever you want to call Donovan Jackson floundering to recover it might actually count as a second fumble (big fellas on offense, you have clubs for hands - just knock any loose balls you see out of bounds).
Will Howard was Bad Will for a play and telegraphed another pick while Chip Kelly dialed up a 4th & 1 decision which brought back early 2023 PTSD. A healthy fan base might have interpreted that call as deliberate, emotional seasoning to prepare for the stiffer challenges ahead. But healthy is not who we are, baby........




But what we've seen out of the program through five games reflects the classic, corporate adage compensation shapes behavior. Judkins on an income and workplace environment raise is tracking toward 190 carries in a 16-game Ohio State season. He had 271 last year in Oxford and 274 as a freshman.

It's a load management team-first all-in scenario and the Buckeyes are maximizing his efficiency as part of a tandem without having to manage any residual poutiness which traditionally comes from amateurs on a ticking clock desperately trying to nail an NFL interview through an unpaid, televised internship.

It sure doesn't feel like an all-star team, which generally come with spotlight competitions and manufactured interest in advancing the group's goals over personal ones. Early October is premature for having this discussion, but Bucks and Ducks colliding with each other and NFL talent everywhere demands the question - can the same programs pull off a combination of retention and free agency every year?

Is this sustainable? The environment didn't exist a decade ago in the twilight of an era where universities were still retaining revenue-generating student athletes with tuition and cost of attendance. Compensating revenue sports athletes with free school has always been like paying restaurant staff exclusively in food. It never made any sense.

The moment these sports began funding gaudy capital projects and near-seven figure salaries for mediocre administrators it all had to change above the table. And it finally did, but the programs which can successfully address the sustainability question will make this all look unfair. One-hit wonders feel good in the moment. That's not what Ohio State or Oregon are intending to accomplish.

When the newness of this era shakes out, the losers will go all in on blaming or crediting the money they didn't have. That's silly. You don't win with money. You win with people.


Thanks for getting Situational today. Go Bucks. Beat Oregon.

 
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Ramzy spot on as always

THE SITUATIONAL: The Warm Hands of Ghosts​

By Ramzy Nasrallah on November 6, 2024 at 1:15 pm @ramzy
2024 team captains

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Jim Tressel was fond of calling Ohio State's quarterback the most important person in the state of Ohio.
The governor was distant second. Urban Meyer called the offensive line the heart and soul of a football team, which if you put those two together places the state's most important person right behind the identity of the football program.
They're both correct. You have to pick your priorities - if everyone and everything are important, then no one and nothing are important. It's quarterback and offensive line. Defense Wins Championships only works if it can stay off the field long enough.
J.T. Barrett was a lot more than just a distributor in 2014, and the Buckeyes could not have reached Indianapolis without him. The Slobs that season were the karmic and relentless brutes who elevated that team to heights the previous one failed to reach.
QB and OL. Add a difference maker and you're contending. Juice is contagious.
Kyle McCord lives in Syracuse these days for a reason, and the consternation over Justin Frye's offensive line has been more than just warranted, it is necessary. Josh Simmons and Will Kacmarek both falling off of the availability list produced a unit so abruptly rickety that a bye week and a Homecoming game against a rebuilding program which had just lost by 49 points made it look unsalvageable.
They had rest, time and a mediocre opponent and they lowered themselves to the challenge.
the Buckeyes had the Nittany Lions in hell for the final 55 minutes of the game.
For Ohio State in 2024, it bleak a week ago. State media and friendly voices alike were picking the Buckeyes to lose in Pennsylvania (not all of us). This was because the most conspicuous barometer of program health - the Heart and Soul of the program - looked lost.
Were we all being dramatic? Never. Ohio State fans have unmatched domain expertise into what matters. Our scholars can tell you that those Slobs of 2014 were the driving force behind the first-ever CFP national title. Cardale Jones had freedom to operate. Ezekiel Elliott was the difference maker. It started and ended with Slobs.
The OL performance of the 2024 Nebraska game was going to send this team to the Outback Bowl with two dozen opt-outs. Dramatic? This isn't drama club, brother. The team that sent Nebraska home with a moral victory looked dead inside and out.
Talent had nothing to do with it. Those same scholars will remind you the 2013 OSU OL had significantly more talent than that 2014 one. The latter has gawdy rings, though. How did that happen?
OHIO STATE OFFENSIVE LINE: 2013-2014
LT LG C RG RT
2013 MEWHORT NORWELL LINSLEY HALL DECKER
2014 DECKER PRICE BOREN ELFLEIN BALDWIN

 
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It’s representative of a new tradition established by coach Ryan Day and his program. After each practice, Ohio State lays down a new brick – symbolizing the foundation being built throughout the Buckeyes’ season.

“How do you know how your foundation is? You go through a storm and you find out what’s left when you wake up the next morning,” Day said. “Well, it’s the same thing. We knew there were going to be storms along the way.
 
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didnt know where else to put this but its annoying as can be....

11W Forums

I feel this is relevant. I looked up penalty % for opponents, and we are dead last in the nation this year. Link is below, but our opponents only get flagged for 25.5 yards a game on average over the whole season. Ranked 134 out of 134 in the country. Now look back at the same statistic for the previous 8 years. We are almost always near the bottom, and at best like middle of the pack one season. Seems statistically , its improbable for our opponents to always get called for penalties at a very low %. Just saying.

https://cfbstats.com/2024/leader/national/team/defense/split01/category14/sort01.html
 
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didnt know where else to put this but its annoying as can be....

11W Forums

I feel this is relevant. I looked up penalty % for opponents, and we are dead last in the nation this year. Link is below, but our opponents only get flagged for 25.5 yards a game on average over the whole season. Ranked 134 out of 134 in the country. Now look back at the same statistic for the previous 8 years. We are almost always near the bottom, and at best like middle of the pack one season. Seems statistically , its improbable for our opponents to always get called for penalties at a very low %. Just saying.

https://cfbstats.com/2024/leader/national/team/defense/split01/category14/sort01.html
11W READER JIM LACHEY? I think former Ohio State All-American offensive lineman Jim Lachey reads the Skull Session. On The Ryan Day Radio show, the Buckeyes’ radio color commentator asked Day if he’s surprised that Ohio State ranks No. 134 in opponent penalty yards per game, a stat I featured in an article on Wednesday.

To be clear, that’s not the news. Day’s response is the news, but I had to mention Lachey’s (potential) shoutout!

First, Day laughed. Then, he answered, “No comment.”

While Day didn’t continue, Lachey and Paul Keels added their own commentary to the matter.

“Something has to go your way, right?” Lachey asked.

“Really. That’s true,” Keels responded.

It is true.

People think the refs bail out Ohio State because of who Ohio State is, but that’s far from the case – especially this season. There’s been no brand bias or special treatment for the Buckeyes. They’ve had to earn all of their victories. They deserve credit for that, just like they deserve a call every once in a while, dadgummit!
 
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