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2024 College Football Playoffs Discussion (12 Team Format)

Conferences ‘reach’ new College Football Playoff agreement ahead of US$7.8bn ESPN TV deal​

MoU confirms 12-team CFP and opens door to 14-team tournament.​

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  • ESPN waiting in the wings with new broadcast deal
  • 12-team tournament from 2026 all but confirmed
  • Big Ten and SEC secure greater control over format

All nine Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) college conferences and the independent Notre Dame have agreed to the next College Football Playoff (CFP) contract ahead of a reported US$7.8 billion domestic broadcast deal with ESPN.

The memorandum of understanding (MoU) dictates an expanded 12-team format from 2026 with scope for a 14-team structure to be implemented in the future.

The field would be made up of the five highest-ranked conference champions and the next nine highest-ranked schools from any conference.

In practice, this would mean the winners of the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), Big Ten, Southeastern Conference (SEC) and Big 12 would be included, with the highest ranked ‘group of five’ champion.

The group of five comprises the American Athletic Conference (AAC), Conference USA (CUSA), Mid-American Conference (MAC), Mountain West Conference (MWC), and Sun Belt Conference (SBC).

The Pac-12, which was previously considered a big five conference before its effective implosion, has a scheduling agreement with the MWC for the 2024 season, but will not be able to submit a champion given it has only two remaining teams – six less than the minimum number for consideration. However, Oregon State and Washington State will both be able to qualify for the post-season through other means.

Notre Dame, which is not part of any conference and has its own broadcast deal with NBC, is also said to have been granted certain protections.

The Big Ten and SEC will have the majority of control over the new format. Commissioners at the other FBS conferences and at Notre Dame agreed to such an arrangement in exchange for a series of concessions that safeguarded their positions within the new structure.

ESPN says the group of five, in particular, feared being excluded from the CFP if they didn’t agree to the tradeoff, which ensures the final deal will adhere to certain non-negotiable parameters.

The most significant changes are likely to involve finances, with Big Ten and SEC schools receiving US$21 million, ACC teams US$13 million and Big 12 programmes US$12 million. Group of five schools will receive US$1.8 million. Washington State and Oregon State, both of which earned up to US$7 million as members of the Pac-12, will receive just US$360,000 in the new deal – the only two schools to see their income decrease.

When the deal is finalised, it is expected the CFP will ratify a new television deal with ESPN worth US$1.3 billion a year – more than double the existing US$608 million arrangement.

The Disney-owned broadcaster has shown the semi-finals and finals of the CFP since the first edition of the revamped post-season was held in 2014. Its contract for the latter stages of the tournament was due to expire in 2026.

If confirmed, the deal will mean ESPN has virtually every single NCAA college sports championship apart from the men’s March Madness college basketball tournament, which is aired by CBS and Warner Bros Discovery (WBD).
 
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College Football Playoff expansion: 10 complications fans must prepare for, from seeding to NFL interference

The implementation of an expanded CFP may come with unforeseen complications​

1. Differentiating ranking from seeding

2. More snubs and controversies

3. Load management/opt-outs

4. From on-campus to out-of-town

5. Bowl tie-ins will impact sites

6. Group of Five dilution

7. Problems with scheduling against the NFL

8. The Notre Dame conundrum

9. Conference game rematches

10. Bracket reveal changes

 
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TNT Sports to air select CFP games through sublicense with ESPN​

ESPN and TNT Sports have reached a five-year agreement for TNT Sports to sublicense select College Football Playoff games from ESPN starting this season, the networks announced Wednesday.

TNT Sports will present two first-round CFP games during the 2024 and 2025 seasons. In addition to the first-round games, TNT Sports will add two quarterfinal games each year, starting with the 2026 season through the 2028 season. TNT will be the primary network televising the sublicensed CFP games, among additional TNT Sports distribution platforms.

ESPN will show all other CFP games on its networks, including the national championship game. ESPN will also continue to manage the sponsorship program for the presentation of the CFP.

"We're delighted to reach this agreement with ESPN, providing TNT Sports the opportunity to showcase these College Football Playoff games on our platforms for years to come," TNT Sports Chairman and CEO Luis Silberwasser said in a statement. "TNT Sports aims to delight fans and drive maximum reach and engagement for these marquee games."
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This year, the CFP quarterfinals will be hosted by the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl (Dec. 31), the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl (Jan. 1), the Rose Bowl Game (Jan. 1) and the Allstate Sugar Bowl (Jan. 1). The Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowls will host the CFP semifinals, and the national title game is Jan. 20 in Atlanta, Georgia.

"It is exciting to add TNT Sports, another highly respected broadcaster, to the College Football Playoff family," CFP executive director Bill Hancock said in a statement. "Sports fans across the country are intimately familiar with their work across a wide variety of sports properties over the past two decades, and we look forward to seeing what new and innovative ideas they bring to the promotion and delivery of these games."
 
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SKULL SESSION: BRUCE FELDMAN RANKS OHIO STATE NO. 1 IN 12-TEAM CFP PREDICTION, AND DAN WETZEL SAYS URBAN MEYER GAVE RYAN DAY “A BIG HELPING OF RAT POISON”​

SMITTY WERBENJAGERMANJENSEN. On Thursday, Bruce Feldman of The Athletic became – to my knowledge – the first national college football writer to predict the 12-team College Football Playoff field in 2024. His prediction included Ohio State as the No. 1 overall seed. The Buckeyes ranked ahead of Georgia, Florida State, Utah, Texas, Oregon, Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Alabama, Penn State, Miami and Memphis.

Remember: In the expanded CFP formula, the five highest-ranked conference champions receive automatic bids and seven at-large spots are given to the next highest-ranked teams. The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded 1-4 in the expanded playoff. Those teams have a first-round bye. Seeds 5-8 will host a first-round game, while quarterfinals and semifinals will be played at bowl sites.

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Here are the reasons Feldman picked Ohio State as his No. 1 team:

I love what the Buckeyes have done this offseason. Many stud players return, most notably JT Tuimoloau, Jack Sawyer, TreVeyon Henderson and Emeka Egbuka. Ryan Day struck gold in the portal with Alabama safety Caleb Downs and Ole Miss RB Quinshon Judkins. He also has the nation’s best recruit, WR Jeremiah Smith, a 6-foot-3, 220-pounder who has folks inside the program thinking he’s the most gifted wideout the Buckeyes have ever had. Obviously a huge statement given the NFL talent they’ve developed in the past decade.

The QB spot is a concern. The hunch here is that ex-Kansas State QB Will Howard, a smart, experienced leader, will be the starter. This team is so talented; the Buckeyes don’t need Howard to be CJ Stroud, but he’s a good enough running threat to keep defenses honest and he should be able to exploit the talent around him. Expect a more physical Buckeyes attack in 2024 as OSU reclaims the top spot in the Big Ten. The schedule is challenging, especially with a trip to Oregon right after hosting a physical Iowa team and a trip to Penn State shortly thereafter. Ohio State hosts Michigan this year. I’ll be surprised if the Buckeyes don’t end the streak this year. (Then again, I did think they’d beat Michigan the last time the Wolverines came to Columbus.)
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Gotta believe that there are more folk out there like me, that strongly object to Script's #8 - The ND conundrum. What I strongly object to, are the 'protections' provided the Domers to the playoffs. Why? Loose affiliation or not to the ACC, the B10 and SEC have corraled most of the better teams out there, and as such, will be doing internal scheduling for most if not all. In other words, there won't be as many 'outside' of conference dates available. Ergo, ND's schedule will become as squishy as milquetoast. So the Strength-of-Schedule factor will come into play. the SoS should go up for B10/SEC teams, but decrease for ND. In that case, a 11-1 or 10-2 record shouldn't count as much as a 9-3 SEC/B10 team, correct? But if these 'protections', which I don't believe should be in play, keep a fourth or fifth deserving school from the Big Two conferences from getting in, how fair is that? Realize that ND is a big fan draw, but don't believe it's enough to sway the needle of the playoffs that much. Anyway, does anyone have any more detailed information on this? Thanks in advance, and Go Bucks!
 
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Gotta believe that there are more folk out there like me, that strongly object to Script's #8 - The ND conundrum. What I strongly object to, are the 'protections' provided the Domers to the playoffs. Why? Loose affiliation or not to the ACC, the B10 and SEC have corraled most of the better teams out there, and as such, will be doing internal scheduling for most if not all. In other words, there won't be as many 'outside' of conference dates available. Ergo, ND's schedule will become as squishy as milquetoast. So the Strength-of-Schedule factor will come into play. the SoS should go up for B10/SEC teams, but decrease for ND. In that case, a 11-1 or 10-2 record shouldn't count as much as a 9-3 SEC/B10 team, correct? But if these 'protections', which I don't believe should be in play, keep a fourth or fifth deserving school from the Big Two conferences from getting in, how fair is that? Realize that ND is a big fan draw, but don't believe it's enough to sway the needle of the playoffs that much. Anyway, does anyone have any more detailed information on this? Thanks in advance, and Go Bucks!
I mostly agree with what you’ve said. But the playoffs are supposed to determine a champion. And once a team is in the playoffs, they have a chance. Sure, better seeds theoretically gets you an easier road, but the chance is there for #12 to win it. I’m more than a little annoyed that we’re already fighting for an 8-4 team to have a chance at being champions. If Iowa loses to Ohio state and Oregon and Penn state and Nebraska, but they’re #12, I don’t think they deserve to be considered. And if they go on a run and get to the championship against one of those four teams, why does that rematch count for more? Just because the title “championship game” says it does? Bah.

I know that the NFL has rematches all the time and no one cries. So maybe I’m old. But this isn’t the NFL (yet). The rematches can’t be avoided. But there should be more to keep these teams out of a chance to win a championship.
 
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I mostly agree with what you’ve said. But the playoffs are supposed to determine a champion. And once a team is in the playoffs, they have a chance. Sure, better seeds theoretically gets you an easier road, but the chance is there for #12 to win it. I’m more than a little annoyed that we’re already fighting for an 8-4 team to have a chance at being champions. If Iowa loses to Ohio state and Oregon and Penn state and Nebraska, but they’re #12, I don’t think they deserve to be considered. And if they go on a run and get to the championship against one of those four teams, why does that rematch count for more? Just because the title “championship game” says it does? Bah.

I know that the NFL has rematches all the time and no one cries. So maybe I’m old. But this isn’t the NFL (yet). The rematches can’t be avoided. But there should be more to keep these teams out of a chance to win a championship.
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I mostly agree with what you’ve said. But the playoffs are supposed to determine a champion. And once a team is in the playoffs, they have a chance. Sure, better seeds theoretically gets you an easier road, but the chance is there for #12 to win it. I’m more than a little annoyed that we’re already fighting for an 8-4 team to have a chance at being champions. If Iowa loses to Ohio state and Oregon and Penn state and Nebraska, but they’re #12, I don’t think they deserve to be considered. And if they go on a run and get to the championship against one of those four teams, why does that rematch count for more? Just because the title “championship game” says it does? Bah.

I know that the NFL has rematches all the time and no one cries. So maybe I’m old. But this isn’t the NFL (yet). The rematches can’t be avoided. But there should be more to keep these teams out of a chance to win a championship.
Maybe if they re-seeded teams after each round might help. But that ruins the college brackets people expect.
 
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