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- Thread starter ScriptOhio
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I haven’t done DSA in years, but the biggest takeaway I got from doing it was validation of my decision to never bet real money on football.
I did seriously consider trying to complicate it and turn it into a money-maker, so the first calculations I did were to figure how much work for how big a payoff I could expect.
Turns out it would have been an absolutely enormous amount of work. Payoff could have built to something substantial over time.
Then I asked myself: Is that the life I want?
Hell no was the answer.
I don’t mind doing DSA, but I’m not gonna lie; it’s tedious. I would have been bored to death and working very hard and still would have been susceptible to the odd quarterback with girlfriend trouble that my numbers don’t account for. No thanks.
The biggest mistake the average person makes about numbers is to assume that they tell you nothing. The much more dangerous mistake is to try to use them if you don’t understand what they can’t tell you. Numbers can tell you a lot; but they can’t give you the answers to the questions most people want the answers to.
In short, determining why the numbers are what they are is something that requires a lot of work and a lot of humility and the vast majority of it has nothing to do with math. You can do more complex math to scrape away a layer or two, but only if you are very careful about your assumptions.
In my work as an engineer, I figure out what numbers tell me and what they can’t all the time. If I get it wrong, people die. I’ve never killed anyone, so I have a reasonable expectation that I’d be able to do the gambling thing profitably. I’d just hate my life. Not worth it.
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Perfect explanation. Football is the only team sport that can be played with raw emotion. That doesn't always turn out well but such as last nights Bama vs A&M game, a far lesser talented team can gain super powers for one quarter, one half or one game and screw your eyes out.
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bukIpower
Head Coach
Olave can't be too far back and you have to figure Henderson and Ruckert will be up there soon too.
This offense fellas...
On a side note next year's offense will be disgusting too.
OL- Johnson, Miller, Wypler, Jones, Jones
QB- Stroud
RB- Henderson
TE- Scott and Stover
WR- JSN, Fleming, Harrison and Egbuka
I know this is 2021 but that's 1 big ass WR corps. Hard to replace 2 and 5 but next year's group is going to be one physical bunch.
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https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...the-best-wide-receiver-room-in-school-history
FILM STUDY: OHIO STATE IS TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE BEST WIDE RECEIVER ROOM IN SCHOOL HISTORY
Kyle Jones on October 11, 2021 at 11:20 am @jones
"We had guys looking like they fell out of airplanes, they were so wide open."
Nearly two days have passed since Maryland head coach Mike Locksley made that comment, and it's still unclear where, exactly, he came up with such a strange analogy. But such is life when facing Ohio State's current crop of wide receivers.
Anyone who reads 11W is aware of the talent which Ryan Day and his staff have brought to campus in recent years at the position, and while we here at Film Study don't spend a lot of time talking about recruiting, it's hard to ignore that fact when it comes to the current Buckeye passing game. While much of the conversation surrounding this season's OSU offense focused on the talent at the quarterback position, anyone lining up under center was going to be put in a position to succeed due to who would be catching passes.
Now, at the midway point of the 2021 regular season, it's evident that something special is taking place in Brian Hartline's meeting room. Never before has Ohio State seen two wide receivers eclipse the 1,000-yard mark in the same season, yet three players are currently on pace to do so if the team were to play 14 games this fall.
In their team's 66-17 dismantling of the Terrapins on Saturday, the unique talents of Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba were all on display. The trio hauled in 17 of 22 targets for 304 yards and four touchdowns, each attacking the Maryland defense in different ways.
One of the biggest differences between the offense with Stroud under center compared to Justin Fields the year prior is the former's ability to hit intermediate throws (10-19 yards downfield). 38.9% of Stroud's passes have come been at this distance, while Fields threw just 25% of his passes there in 2020.
Cont'd ...
FILM STUDY: OHIO STATE IS TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE BEST WIDE RECEIVER ROOM IN SCHOOL HISTORY
Kyle Jones on October 11, 2021 at 11:20 am @jones
"We had guys looking like they fell out of airplanes, they were so wide open."
Nearly two days have passed since Maryland head coach Mike Locksley made that comment, and it's still unclear where, exactly, he came up with such a strange analogy. But such is life when facing Ohio State's current crop of wide receivers.
Anyone who reads 11W is aware of the talent which Ryan Day and his staff have brought to campus in recent years at the position, and while we here at Film Study don't spend a lot of time talking about recruiting, it's hard to ignore that fact when it comes to the current Buckeye passing game. While much of the conversation surrounding this season's OSU offense focused on the talent at the quarterback position, anyone lining up under center was going to be put in a position to succeed due to who would be catching passes.
Now, at the midway point of the 2021 regular season, it's evident that something special is taking place in Brian Hartline's meeting room. Never before has Ohio State seen two wide receivers eclipse the 1,000-yard mark in the same season, yet three players are currently on pace to do so if the team were to play 14 games this fall.
In their team's 66-17 dismantling of the Terrapins on Saturday, the unique talents of Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba were all on display. The trio hauled in 17 of 22 targets for 304 yards and four touchdowns, each attacking the Maryland defense in different ways.
One of the biggest differences between the offense with Stroud under center compared to Justin Fields the year prior is the former's ability to hit intermediate throws (10-19 yards downfield). 38.9% of Stroud's passes have come been at this distance, while Fields threw just 25% of his passes there in 2020.
Cont'd ...
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If you discard all games against FCS opponents from the statistics for all FBS quarterbacks, CJ Stroud's 191.157 passing efficiency is #2 in the country and he is the only QB among the top 4 in that ranking who has attempted more than 19 passes per game. If you restrict those rankings to those who have attempted more than 19 passes per game, CJ is #1 by a sizable margin (Matt Corral at Ole Miss is #2 at 181.63).
Similarly, if you discard FCS games from the stats, TreVeyon Henderson's 8.74 ypc is #3 in the country, and he is the ONLY running back among the top 6 in that ranking who has carried the ball more than 8 times per game. If you restrict those rankings to those who have carried the ball more than 8 times per game, TreVeyon is #1 and Zach Evans of TCU is way behind at #2 with 8.10 ypc.
While Ohio State has the #1 player in each of those rankings, the only (other) team with a player in the top 7 of each of those rankings is SMU. The only other (other) team with a player in the top 13 of each of those rankings is MSU.
Considering the defenses Ohio State has played, these numbers come a long way short of proving that Ohio State has the best offense in the country. But A LOT of teams have played bad defenses up to this point in the season. Nobody else approaches Ohio State's rankings on those lists, especially when you look at them together. The only remaining question about this offense is how CJ can hold up when facing a truly elite defense. Considering the fact that he's a freshman who has never done so, that may prove to be the thing that stops the Buckeyes this year. Then again...
Similarly, if you discard FCS games from the stats, TreVeyon Henderson's 8.74 ypc is #3 in the country, and he is the ONLY running back among the top 6 in that ranking who has carried the ball more than 8 times per game. If you restrict those rankings to those who have carried the ball more than 8 times per game, TreVeyon is #1 and Zach Evans of TCU is way behind at #2 with 8.10 ypc.
While Ohio State has the #1 player in each of those rankings, the only (other) team with a player in the top 7 of each of those rankings is SMU. The only other (other) team with a player in the top 13 of each of those rankings is MSU.
Considering the defenses Ohio State has played, these numbers come a long way short of proving that Ohio State has the best offense in the country. But A LOT of teams have played bad defenses up to this point in the season. Nobody else approaches Ohio State's rankings on those lists, especially when you look at them together. The only remaining question about this offense is how CJ can hold up when facing a truly elite defense. Considering the fact that he's a freshman who has never done so, that may prove to be the thing that stops the Buckeyes this year. Then again...
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calibuck
Too soon old, too late smart
then again......maybe the Oline will continue to grow and protect CJ in the pocket, giving him more time to time his throws to his maybe not so quite, but open, receiving corps. And with those holes made by the Oline, Treyveon will still sneak through some of those not-so-gaping holes into the secondary and beyond. And the D will continue to gain confidence in themselves and the play calling, and assert themselves more and more, ultimately making the margins of victory larger and larger. With the margin of defeat against the B10 elite teams becoming smaller, The B10 puts two, possibly three teams into the playoff for the first time in it's seven year history......Go Bucks!
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They are also having a hard time keeping Donovan Jackson off the field. AMD And don't sleep on Miyan Williams.
It's just a sick offense. This year and next.
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bukIpower
Head Coach
As much as I love this year's offense... provided our freshman WRs grow I think next year's offense might be even better. Anytime you can enter a season with a Veteran QB that's big. But when you add in Trey Henderson with another year in the strength program geez it's going to be scary next year even though we lose 2, 5 and 88.
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