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2021 CFB Playoff Discussion

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ScriptOhio said:
I'll take this projection in a heartbeat:



ORANGE BOWL (CFB PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL)
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Projection: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Oklahoma

Benefiting from the expected onslaught of teams ahead of them to lose over the final few weeks of the season, the Sooners should reach the final four if they're the unbeaten Big 12 champs at year's send. Oklahoma would have several notable wins in November (including Oklahoma State in Bedlam) and would have a Power Five conference title trump card against the likes of a one-loss Notre Dame or even unbeaten Cincinnati. Ohio State needs to win out to get to the final four and Ryan Day's team knows it.

COTTON BOWL (CFB PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL)
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Projection: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Oregon

Oregon needs to win out to get to the playoff and Ohio State doing so would also help given the fact the Ducks' best win came against the Buckeyes. With Georgia all but locked in as the No. 1 seed with an expected unblemished record, the chase for the No. 4 seed in the playoff is on. It helps Oregon that the Ducks were ranked No. 4 in the first selection committee poll and not outside the top four.

CFB PLAYOFF NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
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Projection: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 2 Ohio State

Your guess is as good as ours at this time on which team advances to play Georgia in the national championship game this season. It could be any one of a handful of teams who appear to be in that second group of elites. The Bulldogs, at this point, are in their own stratosphere with no obvious weakness.
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How do they come up with these projections? The CFP clearly hates what they see from OU.
It's far more likely we get #3 or #4 Georgia in a Semifinal. They've proven incapable of getting past Saban, as all of Saban's underlings (Jimbo has been removed for 15 years, a HC for 10+ years at 2 programs and an NC)

Jaxbuck said:
You see what we all see. The OL is capable but sometimes they misfire and that's the heart of our issues right now. All the skill players are more than good enough to elite.

I will say the trend I notice across CFB is the move back to the bend but don't break, zone defenses that try to make the opponent drive the field philosophy. It doesn't work as well as it used to but offenses are so good at carving up predictable man coverages that they have no choice.

Day has all the tools he needs to get better at beating defenses in the red zone if he can count on his OL more.
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The meta was swinging back towards offenses for awhile now, but I'd posit the real issue is the rules and rules enforcement. The biggest meta change was actually shift towards going for it on 4th downs between the 40s.
Holding, especially in the B1G, is rarely called. They've put so many conditions around "intentional grounding" that it may as well not exist. They trivialized kickoffs and field position. Penalties on offense are so rarely called, and are typically 5 yarders. Penalties on D tend to be back-braking. Resulting in a new set of downs, at least, and frequently 15 yarders.
Players like Katzenmoyer would be indefinitely suspended in today's game. Granted, maybe he also wouldn't get a neck injury and a longer NFL career.
If the powers-that-be wanted to change, they would need heavier punishments for holding and intentional grounding. But I think the tv stations like the explosive offenses. Basketball scores are good for ratings. And so the rules committees have steadily nudged the game in that direction.
OhioState002 said:
So how does the logic work where Oregon is ahead of Ohio State but scum is ahead of MSU? Are these not the same situation except that MSU lost to Purdue which is better than the team Oregon lost to
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Nobody on that committee is actually watching games.

5 STAR U-G-A said:
Bama won't be in the playoffs after Georgia mops the floor with them in the SECCG (if Bama even makes it there). That should move you guys up to #2 or #3, so we'll probably face each other in the finals and a great national title match up between two great teams.
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0-3
You've had better teams than Saban before too. Just couldn't finish.
Regardless of Kirby, you're also on a 6 game losing streak.
1-2 in CCGs, only beating Auburn -- and still losing significantly on aggregate.

I'll believe you can do it, when you do. Until then it's just trash talk.
Jake said:
Imagine if they don't. Suddenly two-loss Bama is watching the SECCG on TV and getting ready for the Peach Bowl.
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Would be glorious, but 0 chance they let that happen.
 
Upvote 0
kujirakira said:
0-3
You've had better teams than Saban before too. Just couldn't finish.
Regardless of Kirby, you're also on a 6 game losing streak.
1-2 in CCGs, only beating Auburn -- and still losing significantly on aggregate.

I'll believe you can do it, when you do. Until then it's just trash talk.


Would be glorious, but 0 chance they let that happen.
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I disagree and still think there is a good chance Auburn will hand Bama their second loss, which would put A&M in there as it stands now, to battle UGA for SEC supremacy. If Bama makes it to the CCG, I don't see UGA having much of a problem.

This isn't the same Tide; maybe Saban finally made some mistakes with respect to the assistants he hired recently. Maybe he is losing it at 70. Will Anderson is the one star on defense that I can think of. The rest of that D is not what we are used to seeing.
 
Upvote 0
kujirakira said:
0-3
You've had better teams than Saban before too. Just couldn't finish.
Regardless of Kirby, you're also on a 6 game losing streak.
1-2 in CCGs, only beating Auburn -- and still losing significantly on aggregate.

I'll believe you can do it, when you do. Until then it's just trash talk.
Click to expand...

That's the case with all teams in every sport. Until they do it, it's just trash talk.
 
Upvote 0
Zem said:
I disagree and still think there is a good chance Auburn will hand Bama their second loss, which would put A&M in there as it stands now, to battle UGA for SEC supremacy. If Bama makes it to the CCG, I don't see UGA having much of a problem.

This isn't the same Tide; maybe Saban finally made some mistakes with respect to the assistants he hired recently. Maybe he is losing it at 70. Will Anderson is the one star on defense that I can think of. The rest of that D is not what we are used to seeing.
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If Bama makes the sec!cg, watch the screw job that happens to uga on the field. No way that shithole conference doesn't do everything in its power to get two teams in, and the committee has made it clear that Bama will not get dropped without a loss regardless of how shitty they look.

Refs hand Bama the SEC championship, and it'll be:

  1. Bama
  2. UGA
  3. Someone
  4. Someone
 
Upvote 0
ORD_Buckeye said:
If Bama makes the sec!cg, watch the screw job that happens to uga on the field. No way that shithole conference doesn't do everything in its power to get two teams in, and the committee has made it clear that Bama will not get dropped without a loss regardless of how shitty they look.

Refs hand Bama the SEC championship, and it'll be:

  1. Bama
  2. UGA
  3. Someone
  4. Someone
Click to expand...

You're probably right. The thing is, Georgia is so far ahead of Bama this year that no matter what the refs try to do, Georgia is going to Roll the Tide and send Sick Old Nick to the retirement home.
 
Upvote 0
ORD_Buckeye said:
If Bama makes the sec!cg, watch the screw job that happens to uga on the field. No way that shithole conference doesn't do everything in its power to get two teams in, and the committee has made it clear that Bama will not get dropped without a loss regardless of how shitty they look.

Refs hand Bama the SEC championship, and it'll be:

  1. Bama
  2. UGA
  3. Someone
  4. Someone
Click to expand...
I agree with 5 Star - 2 or 3 egregious calls would not be enough to pull bama to victory against uga. It won't be Steelers - Bears, or Bengals - Jets, close. Nicky won't be running off to "retirement" anytime soon, though, lol.
 
Upvote 0
ORD_Buckeye said:
If Bama makes the sec!cg, watch the screw job that happens to uga on the field. No way that shithole conference doesn't do everything in its power to get two teams in, and the committee has made it clear that Bama will not get dropped without a loss regardless of how shitty they look.

Refs hand Bama the SEC championship, and it'll be:

  1. Bama
  2. UGA
  3. Someone
  4. Someone
Click to expand...

Won't take much to throw UGAs game off, since they rely so heavily on running the ball. A few BS holding calls to put them in the hole and having to punt could easily give Bama the edge.
 
Upvote 0
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