INSIDE THE BOX: USC'S RUSHING OFFENSE RANKS HIGH BUT OHIO STATE'S DEFENSE MATCHES MORE THAN FAVORABLY AGAINST IT
Ohio State's path to beating USC may involve Ronald Jones II more than Sam Darnold.
Sam Darnold will be the focal point of strategic discussions about how the underdog Trojans compare with the Buckeyes. Darnold set a Rose Bowl record last year for total offense and led the Pac-12 in passing yards. He could be the No. 1 overall pick the 2018 NFL Draft if he 1) comes out early and 2) is okay playing in Cleveland. He will pose a special challenge to Ohio State's defense given how smart he is at identifying blitzes and beating them.
However, Ohio State's chances may hinge more on the favorable matchup against USC's rushing offense. Simply put, USC's rushing offense is mediocre at best and does not consistently surpass expectations against its opponents. Further, its disappearance in the middle of the season and overall meager showing against what are some dreadful rushing defenses in the Pac-12 should give some optimism to Ohio State fans in advance of the Cotton Bowl on the 29th.
Ronald Jones II effectively is USC's rushing offense. The junior tailback from Texas leads USC's rushing attack with 1,486 yards on the season. This is 58% of all USC's rushing yards in 2017. Further, he averages a respectable 6.14 yards per carry, 123 yards per game, and has 18 of USC's 28 rushing touchdowns. Nationally, he ranks No. 49, No. 9, and No. 5 in those respective categories.
However, the overall statistics belie a pattern we also observe in USC's team overall this season. Jones started hot against Western Michigan but his production petered from there. The nadir was the Notre Dame loss in which the Irish routed the Trojans by 35 points and held Jones to a season-low 32 rushing yards (i.e. excluding the California game in which he did not play).
Thereafter, Jones caught fire against the two Arizona schools that were next on USC's schedule. However, his performance effectively regressed to the (overall good) mean in the remaining three games.
Jones' per-game rushing yardage is emblematic of USC's rushing offense through the course of the season. The Trojans started hot but disappeared in the middle of the season. This resulted in two losses to Washington State and Notre Dame that ultimately cost the Pac-12 champions a berth in the playoff.
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Sam Darnold is going to occupy a lot of attention from Greg Schiano as the Buckeyes prepare for what will be the second-best passing offense it has seen all season. He should; he's probably the best pro prospect Ohio State has seen at any position all year.
However, Ohio State fans should be excited about the matchup with USC's rushing offense. USC's ground game, led by Ronald Jones II, seems like an an auxiliary part of the offense that puts more emphasis on Sam Darnold. However, USC's struggles in the ground game reliably coincide with USC's mid-season struggles notwithstanding the high-volume passing output from Sam Darnold. Cramping USC's ground game may be the difference in holding USC's overall offense in check.
Fans should be doubly excited in comparing Ohio State's defense to what USC has seen all season. As much as USC has the second-best passing offense Ohio State will have seen all season, the Trojans haven't quite seen a defense like Ohio State all year. It fared poorly against the closest comparisons (Texas, Washington State, Notre Dame).
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https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...io-states-defense-matches-more-than-favorably