W - CN - Shootout win, neither team with much defense.
L @ ND - Close loss, ND's inexperience is nullified by UM's inability to cover. Floyd, Rudolph & Allen all have big days.
W - MA - Blowout victory
W - BG - Win handily
W @ IU- Win by a healthy margin after a close first half.
L. - MS - Loss, Nichol no longer there to slow down Cousins, who picks apart UM's secondary. Boosters & alumni want him gone.
W - IA - Quality upset, though Iowa loses 2-3 more after that game. This makes things even messier, given the contrasting weeks.
L. - PS - Royster & PSU's defense are too much for Michigan. Newsome's youth keeps it close.
W - IL - UM beats a bad ILL team by 10, like they should have done last year.
L. - PU - Robert Marve beats them through the air, and Keith Smith has his way with Floyd & Woolfolk's 10 yard cushions.
L - UW - Clay, Ball & Hendricks beat up on UM's undersized defense.
L - OS - With a shot at a heisman invitation & NC bid, Tressel does not set the offensive cruise control like the last three years*
* - some UM fans will try to claim he ran it up in 08, what with punting frequently on their 30 yd line and calling predictable run, run, pass sequences to close out the 2nd half.
Unless they absolutely implode, I can't see less than 5-6 wins. I expect them to win 6-8 ballgames, but still lose some inexcusable ones that will make it tough to retain RR, like Michigan State.