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Ohio State vs. Rutgers, Jan. 3, 7 PM EST, BTN

BASKETBALL PREVIEW: OHIO STATE OPENS FULL-TIME BIG TEN SLATE AGAINST STINGY RUTGERS DEFENSE​

By Andy Anders on January 3, 2024 at 8:35 am @andyanders55
Clifford Omoruyi

Vincent Carchietta – USA TODAY Sports
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It’s scarlet on scarlet to open full-time Big Ten play for Ohio State.
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTS
rutgers.png

8 - 4
ROSTER | SCHEDULE
JAN. 3, 2024 - 7 PM ET
VALUE CITY ARENA
COLUMBUS, OH
BTNOSU -9.5
On Wednesday night, the Scarlet and Gray will meet the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, a program head coach Steve Pikiell has taken from a 30-year NCAA Tournament drought and brought to back-to-back tourneys in 2021 and 2022. Rutgers just missed the dance last year with a 19-15 record.
The Scarlet Knights are off to an 8-4 start to their 2023-24 campaign. A season-opening defeat at the hands of Princeton and a 19-point shellacking by Wake Forest serve as the biggest blemishes in their loss column, though they do hold a Power 5 win over Seton Hall.
"A really good, tough-minded Rutgers team," Chris Holtmann said. "They are a tough, tough-minded, physical, great length across the board. So it will be a great challenge."

NEED TO KNOW​

STINGY, MULTIPLE DEFENSE​

Rutgers is 15th nationally in points allowed per 100 possessions and it can roll through various schemes to slow opposing attacks down. Its interior defense is particularly effective as the Scarlet Knights collect 5.9 blocked shots per game, 11th-most in the country.
"They change defenses, so we're gonna see a combination of different defenses and they're really good at all of them," Holtmann said. "They press, which can take you out of things. Their press does a good job of being disruptive, yet at the same time shortening the shot clock, making it a situation where you're working with a limited shot clock."

OFF ON OFFENSE​

That No. 15 defensive rating nationally contrasts with an offense that is rated 305th for the Scarlet Knights, scoring just 98.5 points per 100 possessions. The Buckeyes will be the far more prolific attack on the court, ranking 33rd at 116.1 points per 100 trips down the floor.
Only two Rutgers players average at least nine points per game and none average 13 or more. The Scarlet Knights are 345th in two-point shooting percentage and 326th from three-point range, so if the Buckeyes can play with pace and build a lead, it’s going to be hard for their opponents to assemble a run.

THREE IMPORTANT BUCKEYES​

JAMISON BATTLE​

Strong shooting from the perimeter is a surefire way to break through a defense like Rutgers’, and Battle has been the Buckeyes’ best perimeter threat so far. Hitting at least five triples in back-to-back games entering Wednesday, Battle is shooting a team-high 42.5% from outside and making a team-high 2.8 threes per game.

BRUCE THORNTON​

Ohio State will need its star point guard and team galvanizer on point as conference play hits its full swing. He’s on a 10-game streak of scoring in double figures, though he barely cleared that mark in his last two contests, scoring 11 points against both New Orleans and West Virginia and shooting a combined 38.1% from the field, bringing his team-high season average down to 16.9 points per game.

SCOTTY MIDDLETON​

Circling back to shooting, the freshman Middleton is Ohio State’s top sharpshooter off the bench (40.7%) and another player who can create his own shot against a disciplined defense that might demand it.

THREE NOTABLE SCARLET KNIGHTS​

CLIFFORD OMORUYI​

PROJECTED STARTING LINEUP
NO. PLAYER POSITION HEIGHT WEIGHT 2023-24 STATS
2 Noah Fernandes G 5-11 180 8.3 PPG, 1.3 SPG
0 Derek Simpson G 6-3 165 8.9 PPG, 3.0 APG
5 Aundre Hyatt F 6-6 235 12.3 PPG, 5.5 RPG
3 Mawot Mag F 6-7 216 6.8 PPG, 4.0 RPG
11 Clifford Omoruyi C 6-11 240 11.4 PPG, 3.4 BPG
Omoruyi not only paces the Big Ten but is third in the entire country in blocks per game with 3.4. He also leads Rutgers in rebounding with 9.1 boards per game and is second on the squad in points per game at 11.4. The 6-11 center from Nigeria will go up against another 6-11 center from Nigeria in Ohio State’s Felix Okpara.

AUNDRE HYATT​

Hyatt is the Scarlet Knights’ top scorer (12.3 points per game) and most efficient 3-point threat (36.2% from distance). More than half of his scoring comes from behind the arc, as the 6-6 forward hits just 38.8% of his shots overall.

NOAH FERNANDES​

No less than nine players have started a game for Rutgers this year as it has rolled through various opening lineups to try and get the best matchups on the floor. Fernandes is the third of three players who have started every game, joining Hyatt and Omoruyi, and provides some playmaking in the backcourt with 2.4 assists per game. His 1.3 steals per contest also contribute to the Scarlet Knights’ defensive identity.

HOW IT PLAYS OUT​

LINE: OHIO STATE -9.5, O/U 133​

It’s time for Ohio State to find its full form. The Buckeyes have the talent and depth to open January with a conference victory at home if their shotmakers can knock down a few tough ones.
Prediction: Ohio State 65, Rutgers 58

LGHL Is Ohio State going to bring in a transfer quarterback? Looking at the most likely options

Is Ohio State going to bring in a transfer quarterback? Looking at the most likely options
Matt Tamanini
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


NCAA Football: Fiesta Bowl-Liberty at Oregon

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

K-State’s Will Howard and Liberty’s Kaidon Salter seem like the last two possibilities for the Buckeyes to add a QB.

For me, and I assume for many of you as well, I had hoped that the Cotton Bowl would go a long way to determining what Ohio State’s starting quarterback situation in 2024 looked like. Whether that was cementing Devin Brown as QB1 or, after his injury, whether Lincoln Kienholz had grabbed the opportunity to play and refused to let it go. Obviously, neither of those happened, so instead we are back where we were a year ago with an uncertain future at the most important position on the team, just with slightly different pieces in play.

Last year, Kyle McCord was the veteran-most player in the mix with Brown and Kienholz — once he got to campus over the summer — also factoring in. Now, it’s McCord, Kienholz, and Air Noland, who will arrive in Columbus sometime in the next few days, if he isn’t there already.

But they aren’t the only guys who could be a part of the quarterback competition. At this point, we’ve all heard the rumblings about former Kansas State quarterback Will Howard potentially becoming a Buckeye at any time, and yesterday the imminent entrance into the transfer portal by current Liberty quarterback Kaidon Salter got many Buckeye fans excited about the possibility of him becoming a Buckeye as well. While it is believed that he will follow his former coach Hugh Freeze to Auburn, until that is confirmed, we’ll at least entertain the idea of him coming to Columbus.

Of course, given the seeming hesitance that Ryan Day and his staff have had to engage with the transfer portal so far this offseason, there is no guarantee that OSU will add another player to the quarterback competition, despite the apparent need.

Both Howard and Salter are multi-talented quarterbacks who bring more mobility — to varying degrees — to the position than we saw out of McCord this season. However, from a statistical standpoint, neither is a slam dunk major improvement over what the Buckeyes got out of the position in 2023. McCord had a better completion percentage and more yards than both Howard and Salter and had the same six interceptions that the latter did on 58 more passing attempts — Howard finished the season with 10 INTs on nine more passes than McCord.

However, Salter did rack up 25% more touchdown passes than McCord and Howard did, while also rushing for over 1,000 yards and an additional dozen scores — Howard had nine rushing TDs of his own.


Admittedly, Liberty did not play the same level of competition that either Ohio State or Kansas State did, so Salter’s numbers are colored by the Conference USA of it all, but they are no less impressive.

Salter’s Flames were blown out by Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl on Monday as he went 15-for-24 for 126 yards a TD and an INT, but as we (and Florida State fans) know from painful experience, non-playoff bowl games aren’t necessarily the best indication of a team’s capabilities.

Howard had already entered the transfer portal by the time the Wildcats played NC State in the buzziest bowl of the season, the Pop-Tart Bowl. However, I would like to think that if he had known that he would get to partake in the consumption of the recently cooked corpse of the bowl’s mascot after the game, he might have reconsidered the timing of his decision.

Check out highlights from Will Howard’s 2023 Season:



There are certainly pros and cons to bringing in either Howard or Salter. They both have starting experience, they both were all-conference selections (Howard second team in the Big 12, Salter first team in Conference USA), and they both have the added element of being able to pick up yards with their feet that benefited Justin Fields and C.J. Stroud (even if it was never a major part of the OSU offense; but if the Buckeyes don’t figure out how to improve the offensive line in a significant way, the QB run could be more important in 2024 than it has been since the Urban Meyer and J.T. Barrett days.

However, both Brown and Kienholz have enough athletic ability to run as well and have the advantage of having been in Day’s offense longer than any potential transfer. Also, both Howard and Salter would be downgrades from McCord in terms of accuracy, but not by a tremendous amount; and the increased level of offensive skill would presumably help both in that department.

I’m not sure if this sentiment is shared by the bulk of Buckeye Nation, but I am of the opinion that neither fans nor the coaching staff can use the Cotton Bowl as a barometer for either Brown or Kienholz’s future as a starting quarterback. The former seemed to be finally finding his footing before he injured his ankle — he had completed four straight passes and was starting to look somewhat comfortable in the offense. Once he exited the game, Day and the OSU offensive staff did little to give Kienholz an opportunity to succeed.

While he had only been with the team for six months, we saw a number of true freshmen lead their teams in bowl games, so I don’t believe that was the issue. However, it was clear that the Ohio State coaching staff did little to prepare the rookie for the possibility of having to play — either throughout the season or in this bowl game — which is kind of astounding, because he did actually play throughout the season and was the backup against Missouri. But, to me at least, it seemed like Day and company had very little faith in the level of preparedness from Kienholz, which seems like a coaching issue more than a player issue.

The uninformative Cotton Bowl notwithstanding, I think that it is imperative that the Buckeyes add another veteran quarterback into the mix for the fall. Howard has just a single year of eligibility remaining, while Salter has two, but given that he is coming off of a Conference USA Most Valuable Player award, I would imagine that his goal is to transfer to a school in 2024 that will help him make the jump to the NFL in 2025.

Check out highlights from Kaidon Salter’s 2023 Season:


So, that should not be a detriment to keeping either Kienholz or Noland in the room, but it might pose problems for a third-year Brown. While I am sure that Day would like to have four scholarship quarterbacks on the roster, now is not the time for the head coach to be worrying about the long-term implications of roster moves. While any transfer addition will have some level of domino effect across the program, Day has to go all out to win in 2024, or he might no longer be in Columbus to see how those moves play out beyond next season.

Does that mean that Day would be more inclined to roll the dice on the more athletically explosive Salter, even though he has never played at the Power 5 level; or would he be more comfortable with the more traditional Howard who has played against a more consistent level of competition? Your guess is as good as mine.

Since the transfer portal opened, there have been some around the Buckeye program and fandom that have accused the coaching staff of being asleep at the wheel. I have pushed back against that assessment because I was confident that there was more communication going on behind the scenes and I knew that the team was waiting to get word about the NFL futures of nearly a dozen starters. At this point, we still don’t know if Denzel Burke, Emeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson, Lathan Ransom, Jack Sawyer, J.T. Tuimoloau, and Tyleik Williams will return for another season in the scarlet and gray, and from the outside, it feels like that lack of clarity has paralyzed the Buckeye staff.

However, now that no more current players can enter the portal until after spring practice, hopefully, we will start to see more movement from inside the Woody to sure up the roster for next season. Of course, there is no guarantee that either Howard or Salter would even want to be a Buckeye — though there has been far more smoke surrounding Howard than Salter, who has not yet even officially entered the portal. Ultimately, Ohio State has a number of glaring holes that it needs to address over the course of the offseason — and potentially more depending on NFL Draft decisions — and quarterback is towards the top of the list. Whether they do so via the transfer portal or guys already on the roster doesn’t really matter, but Ryan Day has to get it right, or the Buckeyes could be looking for far more than just a QB around this time next year.

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LGHL Ohio State Men’s Basketball vs. Rutgers: Game Preview and Prediction

Ohio State Men’s Basketball vs. Rutgers: Game Preview and Prediction
justingolba
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


NCAA Basketball: Rutgers at Seton Hall

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Buckeyes will look to get above .500 in conference play as the Scarlet Knights come to Columbus

With the calendar flipping to 2024, that means the Ohio State men’s basketball team has 18 conference games remaining on the regular season schedule. The Buckeyes (11-2, 1-1) will start the new year with a home game against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (8-4, 0-1).

Rutgers has been slipping as of late, losing by double-digits to Mississippi State and beating a 2-13 team Stonehill 59-58, thanks to a Derek Simpson go-ahead jumper with 12 seconds left.

Ohio State has had an interesting start to the season, only losing to a solid Texas A&M team early in the season, but let an 18-point lead to Penn State slip on the road to fall to 1-1 in the conference after taking down Minnesota at home, 84-74.

The Buckeyes have only beaten Alabama, Santa Clara, UCLA, and West Virginia, and all of those teams have struggled early on this season. Ohio State seems like a tournament team, but they will need to get some quality wins in conference play to help their seeding.

That starts tonight.


Preview

NCAA Basketball: Stonehill at Rutgers
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Buckeyes are led by their sophomore backcourt duo, Bruce Thornton and Roddy Gayle. Gayle is coming off a sensational game in the Buckeyes’ overtime win against West Virginia, recording a career-high 32 points to go along with six rebounds and five assists.

Thornton is averaging 16.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, as well 1.5 steals per contest. Gayle is averaging 15.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game.

Senior forward sharpshooter Jamison Battle makes up the three-headed scoring trio for Ohio State, adding 14.3 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. Battle is shooting 42 percent from three-point range. The Buckeyes’ centers get involved as well, with sophomore Felix Okpara averaging 6.3 points and 6.4 boards while senior Zed Key averages 9.7 and 5.9.

Rutgers is led by Aundre Hyatt, who is one of two Rutgers players scoring in double-digits, averaging 12.3 points and 5.5 rebounds per game, while center Cliff Omoruyi is averaging 11.4 points and 9.1 rebounds in addition to his 3.4 blocks per game.

Rutgers’ struggles are on offense, ranking No. 240 on KenPom on offense while sitting at No. 16 on defense. They are shooting just 39 percent from the field, 29 percent from the three-point line, and 64 percent from the free-throw line.

The Scarlet Knights are averaging 67.5 points per game and allowing 61.4 points per game. By contrast, the Buckeyes are averaging 79.3 points per game and giving up 64.5 points per game.


Prediction

Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch
Clare Grant/The Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK

This is a sneakily very important game for the Buckeyes. They are 11-2, but they have not beaten anyone of true substance except Alabama and possibly Santa Clara, depending on how their conference season goes. West Virginia will get better as the season goes along, but their year was doomed before it began.

Rutgers has not been good this season as it awaits the arrivals of Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey next season — two top-five recruits who are both committed in the 2024 class. They beat Stonehill — a team with two wins this season— by one point, and the Skyhawks were also missing two starters.

The Buckeyes have not looked overly impressive after the Penn State debacle, but the important part is that they are 3-0 since. It didn’t have to be pretty, but they had to beat UCLA and West Virginia. They did that, and now they need to beat Rutgers to move to 2-1 in Big Ten play.

Another reason this is an important game is the upcoming schedule for Ohio State. After Wednesday night’s contest, the Buckeyes are at Indiana, home against Wisconsin, and at Michigan. Those are likely three toss up games, so a win heading into that stretch would be key.

Rutgers is an elite defensive team, but the Buckeyes have the advantage of featuring multiple weapons on offense. This will be a tough watch offensively, but ultimately, I think the Buckeyes will be able to score enough to separate from the opposition, and the Scarlet Knights’ lack of offensive pop will be the difference maker.



ESPN BPI: Ohio State 80.9%
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Big Ten Network

LGHL Score Prediction: Ohio State 74, Rutgers 65


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LGHL How the NET rankings work, and why Ohio State men’s basketball is lagging behind in it

How the NET rankings work, and why Ohio State men’s basketball is lagging behind in it
Connor Lemons
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


NCAA Basketball: Ohio State at West Virginia

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Buckeyes sit outside the top-30 in the NCAA’s NET rankings despite an 11-2 record.

In 2018, the NCAA replaced the RPI rankings with the NET rankings, which, in essence, value both the quality of opponent and location the game is played over anything else. That year, Ohio State debuted as the No. 1 team in the first-ever NET rankings. This year, despite an 11-2 record, the Buckeyes sit at No. 33 in the NET.

What is the NET, anyway?


The NET is not the only thing the NCAA Selecton Committee uses to create the NCAA Tournament field each year. Strength of schedule, record, and “other qualitative and quantitative factors” are considered as well. Additionally, we may never know to what extent the NET is considered — is it half of the argument? The main factor? Simply one of several things considered on an even plane? Who knows.

What are the NET Rankings?

Here's EVERYTHING you need to know. Be on the lookout for the first release pic.twitter.com/kdZwDEjFPS

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) November 26, 2018

What we do know, however, is that the NET places a heavy emphasis on home/road splits, as well as the ranking of your opponent. The NET does not take any consideration to the venue games are played at, which means playing a game at Mackey Arena or Assembly Hall is looked at the same as a road game played at Penn State, all other things held constant.

To (mostly) no fault of their own, the Ohio State men’s basketball team is not flying high in the 2023-2024 NET rankings. The Buckeyes currently sit at No. 33 with an 11-2 record, with noteworthy non-conference wins over West Virginia, UCLA, Alabama, and Santa Clara. Ohio State has a reasonable loss to Texas A&M on the resume, and an inexcusable road loss to Penn State on the docket as well.

The NET divides all games in four quadrants, or “quads.” Each quad has a specific range based on your opponent’s NET ranking and where the game was played. Once you know what those ranges are, the quad system is pretty easy to follow. To save you a google, here are the four quads:

  • Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75
  • Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135
  • Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240
  • Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353

As you can see, beating a team on the road means more than beating a team at home. If you beat the team ranked No. 98 in the NET at home, that’s a Quad-3 win. If you beat No. 98 on the road, that’s a Quad-2 win. If you want to make your NCAA Tournament resume more impressive, go rack up some Quad-1 and Quad-2 wins.

The only problem with that: the Big Ten doesn’t have a ton of those to offer right now.

The Big Ten is a NET wasteland so far this year


The Big Ten hasn’t had a strong start to the season in the eyes of the NET. There are only four teams in the top-30 of the NET rankings, which coincidentally means that if you want to pick up a Quad-1 home win, it would have to be over Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, or Michigan State. Any other home win in the Big Ten would be Quad-2 or lower.

The Big Ten has suffered a few embarassing non-conference losses — Long Beach over Michigan, Chicago State over Northwestern, San Francisco over Minnesota, UAB over Maryland, Bucknell over Penn State, etc. On top of that, there are a few teams whose non-conference slates were loaded with Quad-3 and Quad-4 games. While they may have won those games and have a solid record (looking at you, Ohio State and Indiana), the NET does not give those teams credit for not challenging themselves in the non-conference.

Is that the team’s fault? Not always. Do you think Chris Holtmann thought that West Virginia and UCLA would have a combined record of 10-10 when the Buckeyes faced them in December? Heck no — Ohio State scheduled what it thought would be two quality opponents. That’s just not how it’s worked out.

Can Ohio State pick up some good wins moving forward, even though the Big Ten has been kind of stinky?


They sure can!

So far, Ohio State is a combined 1-2 in Quad 1 and Quad 2 games, with its lone Quad-1 win being over Alabama and the Quad-2 losses being its losses to Texas A&M and Penn State. The Buckeyes are 10-0 in Quad 3 and Quad 4 games so far, which is good if you’re looking at it from the, “thank goodness we didn’t step on any of these landmines” perspective, but not great that they’ve had so many “insignificant” games so far.

Here is how Ohio State’s Big Ten schedule looks right now, with each game’s classification in parentheses. Quad-1 games are bolded.

These rankings will change as the season rolls on — for example, Ohio State’s loss to Penn State was a Quad-3 loss when it happened, but the Nittany Lions NET ranking went up, and it is now a Quad-2 loss.

Home against Rutgers (January 3) - Quad 3
At Indiana (January 6) - Quad 2
Home against Wisconsin (January 10) - Quad 1

At Michigan (January 15) - Quad 2
Home against Penn State (January 20) - Quad 3
At Nebraska (January 23) - Quad 1
At Northwestern (January 27) - Quad 1
Home against Illinois (January 30) - Quad 1
At Iowa (February 2) - Quad 1

Home against Indiana (Feburary 6) - Quad 3
Home aginst Maryland (February 10) - Quad 3
At Wisconsin (February 13) - Quad 1
Home against Purdue (February 18) - Quad 1

At Minnesota (February 22) - Quad 2
At Michigan State (February 25) - Quad 1
Home against Nebraska (February 29) - Quad 2
Home against Michigan (March 3) - Quad 3
At Rutgers (March 10) - Quad 2


That stretch from late January to early February is going to be big for Ohio State — three road games out of four from Jan. 23 to Feb. 2, and all four of them are Quad-1 opportunities.

How UCLA and West Virginia fare as the season progresses should also be noteworthy to Ohio State. Both of those games are Quad-3 wins right now, with UCLA sitting at No. 144 and West Virginia No. 172 in the NET. But if either of those teams can sneak up into the top-100, it would become a Quad-2 win.

Clear as mud? Clear as mud.

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LGHL You’re Nuts: Bold predictions for Ohio State’s 2024 recruiting class

You’re Nuts: Bold predictions for Ohio State’s 2024 recruiting class
Gene Ross
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


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2024 five-star WR Jeremiah Smith | Andrew Ivins, 247Sports

Way-too-early predictions about how the Buckeyes’ incoming freshmen will fare.

Everybody knows that one of the best parts of being a sports fan is debating and dissecting the most (and least) important questions in the sporting world with your friends. So, we’re bringing that to the pages of LGHL with our favorite head-to-head column: You’re Nuts.

In You’re Nuts, two LGHL staff members will take differing sides of one question and argue their opinions passionately. Then, in the end, it’s up to you to determine who’s right and who’s nuts.

This week’s topic: Bold predictions for Ohio State’s 2024 recruiting class.


Josh’s Take


With the Cotton Bowl and 2023 football season now officially in the rearview, at least for Ohio State, the Buckeyes and their fans can begin looking ahead to the 2024 season. While this year did not deliver the desired on-field results, there is plenty of reason for optimism moving forward. And with that in mind, Gene and I have decided to focus on OSU’s incoming recruiting class for this New Year’s Day edition of You’re Nuts.

When my partner first pitched this general topic or idea for YN, I hit him with a sarcastic response. Being the jaded curmudgeon that I am, I asked Gene if he wanted to predict which member of Ohio State’s 2024 class would enter the transfer portal first after not earning immediate playing time as a true freshman. But alas, we’re focused on turning over a new, positive leaf this year, so we settled on a more optimistic approach.

Gene and I are doing/giving bold predictions for the Buckeyes’ newest recruiting class, with no restrictions. So if I want to predict that incoming defensive lineman Eddrick Houston will break the OSU sack record, I am well within my rights to do so.

Instead, I settled on a prediction that I believe has a much higher likelihood of coming to fruition. Which is that quarterback Air Noland will become the most productive and successful left-handed QB in Ohio State history, clearing the bar set by Steve Bellisari.

Bellisari donned the Scarlet and Gray from 1998-2001 and achieved middling individual and team success (at best). His tenure as the Buckeyes’ starting QB ultimately led to the demise of John Cooper’s coaching career. But if we’re being honest, the former had plenty of help in achieving suboptimal results. A defensive back “by trade”, Bellisari somehow became OSU’s best option at QB in 1999. He was then thrust into a role he clearly wasn’t suited for and struggled with both accuracy and decision making. In three seasons as Ohio State’s primary starter, Bellisari totaled 5,558 yards through the air, with 33 touchdowns and 28 interceptions.

So yeah, the high-water mark for Noland isn’t so high after all. But he’s not even enrolled in Columbus yet. He could leave OSU after a year like Quinn Ewers or turn out to be a total bust. We have no idea what Noland’s ceiling (or floor) is, making my prediction pretty darn bold... If you ask me.

But all the “stuff” is there with Noland. He is a smooth lefty with a quick release and above average wheels. He started 42 games in high school and threw 55 TDs in 2022, besting the HS marks (in Georgia) of Trevor Lawrence and Deshaun Watson. And above all else, coaches rave about Noland’s approach, leadership, and mentality. So I would be shocked if he becomes a bust of any kind.

That being said, if Noland is to become Ohio State’s most productive lefty, he will – in all likelihood – need to start 20+ games for the Buckeyes, while also producing at a high level. And I predict that he will. I’m putting the over/under at 26 starts for Noland. Meaning he would need to average 230 passing yards and just over 2 TD per game to surpass Bellisari’s totals.

Adding an extra layer to my bold prediction, I also prognosticate that Noland redshirts in 2024, before taking over the reins of the OSU QB position in both 2025 and 2026. He will fight off stiff competition along the way, but ultimately hold onto the gig because he A) plays well and B) throws lefty. And lefties look cool(er) doing everything.

So there ya have it, Gene. My bold prediction is that Air Noland becomes “Air Buckeye” and the most productive lefty in Ohio State QB history. Now I wonder if you might come up with a bold prediction that is somehow related to Noland’s hypothetical success... Puzzled emoji...

Gene’s Take


My bold prediction is short, sweet and to the point, and is the main reason why I suggested this topic to Josh in the first place. I really just wanted an excuse to write about how good wide receiver Jeremiah Smith is, and with that being said, my bold prediction for the 2024 class is that Smith will break both the career receiving yards and career receptions records at Ohio State.

This prediction is two-fold, because while I think Smith can achieve these records on pure talent alone, I also think he will be a three-year starter in Columbus — including as a freshman in 2024.

Ohio State’s current record-holder for career receptions is K.J. Hill, who amassed 201 catches for 2,332 yards from 2016-19. Hill played sparingly as a redshirt freshman, but totaled at least 56 catches apiece over his final three seasons, including a career-high 70 receptions in 2018 as a junior. Somewhat surprisingly, the record for career receiving yards — even with all the talent that the Buckeyes have had at wideout over the past decade — was set all the way back in 2000-03 by Michael Jenkins at 2,898. Jenkins averaged a little over 915 yards per year, with his lone 1,000-yard season coming in 2002.

Of course, with how supremely talented Ohio State’s wide receivers have been as of late, most guys have redshirted their first year and only really seen the field for two seasons before going off the to NFL. Chris Olave was the closest to breaking the yardage record in this century, collecting 2,711 yards over four seasons, and he is also the third-highest on the receptions list at 176. Guys like Marvin Harrison Jr., Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Garett Wilson all only had two full years as starters, and as a result fell short of the record books despite being elite players.

That is where Jeremiah Smith will differ. The No. 1 wide receiver and No. 1 overall player in the country in 2024 class, Smith is going to be a day-one starter at Ohio State. Even if Emeka Egbuka returns and with former five-star talents like Carnell Tate and Brandon Inniss already on the roster, Smith is far too talented a player to not get significant snaps right from the jump. At 6-foot-3, 198 pounds, Smith already processes the raw athleticism to compete at this level, and with a scouting comparison to Julio Jones, it is clear that he is built different than even the first-round talents Brian Hartline has had in his room for the last several years.

In his last three seasons on the varsity team at Chaminade-Madonna Prep, Smith has racked up an eye-popping 179 receptions for 3,043 yards and 45 touchdowns over 35 games, according to MaxPreps. As a senior, he hauled in 90 catches for 1,389 yards and 19 TDs, helping the Lions to a third-straight state title and a 14-0 season. He is also a track star, earning gold in both the 110 and 400-meter hurdles at Florida’s 1A state track meet as a junior.

If he starts for three seasons at Ohio State, he would need to average at least 67 catches per season and 966 yards per season to break both school records— neither of which seem like all that big of stretch. If the Buckeyes play at least 13 games per season, which barring complete program collapse will be the bare minimum, that averages out to a little over five catches and just over 74 yards per game. Through in a few 150-plus yard games with eight or more catches, which I would be stunned if Smith doesn’t have more than a few of in his collegiate career, and the numbers become even easier to hit.

Ohio State’s wide receiver room has been one of the best in the country for the last several years, and even with all of the five-star talent Hartline has been accumulating in his room, it is hard to keep up the standard that has been set by the Harrison Jr.’s, Smith-Njigba’s, Olave’s and Wilson’s of the world. That being said, I think Smith has a legitimate chance to be even better than all of those guys, and with a chance to be at minimum WR2 from the first day he steps on campus with WR1 not too far away, I think he will see his name atop the program record books when his time in Columbus comes to an end.

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LGHL Uncut: McGuff on shooting and turnovers that sunk Ohio State women’s basketball

Uncut: McGuff on shooting and turnovers that sunk Ohio State women’s basketball
ThomasCostello
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


COLLEGE BASKETBALL: FEB 20 Women’s Ohio State at Michigan

Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Coach is joined by guards Rikki Harris and Celeste Taylor to break down the rivalry defeat.

Throughout the year, Land-Grant Holy Land will be bringing you uncut audio primarily from Ohio State press conferences, but also from individual interview sessions.


The Ohio State women’s basketball team started the first of 17 Big Ten conference games up north against the Michigan Wolverines. In a game where each team had respective runs, the Buckeyes didn’t have enough to overcome a strong home environment and the maize and blue. After the 69-60 defeat, head coach Kevin McGuff and guards Rikki Harris and Celeste Taylor spoke with Land-Grant Holy Land, who was live in Ann Arbor.

Coach McGuff discussed what did the Buckeyes in that day: Rebounding, turnovers and poor shooting from deep. Plus, his thoughts on the recent form of sophomore Cotie McMahon, who’s in a scoring slump over the last four games.

Harris and Taylor talk about the crowd noise of 8,000 in attendance, and that it didn’t impact their play in the defeat. Harris talks specifically about what the team needs to work on next and her own increased presence for the team of late, sharing her nickname of “bench starter.” Taylor talks playing against Michigan for the first time in her career, and her first time in the storied rivalry between the two teams.

That and more on the latest Land-Grant Uncut.



Connect with Thomas:

Twitter: @1ThomasCostello

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