You’re Nuts: Who is your dream first-round College Football Playoff opponent?
Matt Tamanini via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here
Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK
Your (almost) daily dose of good-natured, Ohio State banter.
Everybody knows that one of the best parts of being a sports fan is debating and dissecting the most (and least) important questions in the sporting world with your friends. So, we’re bringing that to the pages of LGHL with our favorite head-to-head column: You’re Nuts.
In You’re Nuts, two LGHL staff members will take differing sides of one question and argue their opinions passionately. Then, in the end, it’s up to you to determine who’s right and who’s nuts.
Today’s Question: Who is your dream first-round College Football Playoff opponent for Ohio State?
Jami’s Take: Tennessee in Columbus
The Buckeyes (and their fans!) desperately need to do a factory reset after last weekend’s Rivalry Week debacle, and the
Tennessee Volunteers are this season’s AppleCare.
The Vols’ 10-win regular season makes them a compelling SEC opponent as a really strong, middle-of-the-pack team. When you’re trying to refocus, sometimes a challenge–but not the hardest possible challenge–is a good thing. It helps you maintain the chip on your shoulder that we see so often in championship teams by forcing you to rise to the occasion while saving some energy for the even harder games coming down the pike.
That chip-on-the-shoulder attitude can make the difference in falling in the first round or winning a title. Consider the 2014 Ohio State team that won a title with a third-string quarterback: They’d faced adversity, people doubted them, and that doubt fueled them.
Talent—which the current group of Buckeyes has in droves—can only take you so far. This team needs to recenter and rediscover that inner fire. Tennessee is the exact team to help them stoke it and bring back their “Championship or Bust” mentality. The Wolverines were not a stop sign; they were a speed bump, and they didn’t ruin our season unless we
let them ruin it.
If the current CFP projections hold (they won’t lock until after the conference championship games this weekend), the Buckeyes will get the No. 8 seed and with it, the chance to host the projected No. 9 Vols in the first round (as an aside, it would be only the second meeting between these two programs ever, which feels nuts). It’s a best-case scenario for the Buckeyes.
This is an Ohio State team that just lost a Rivalry Week game in their own home and then brawled their opponents in defense of the field. Coming home for Round One would allow the Buckeyes to reestablish whose house it is, something I think is of particular importance for the seniors who returned to win a championship. The quarterfinals move to bowl game format (
Fiesta Bowl,
Rose Bowl, etc.), so Round One is the seniors’ last chance to play at home, and they’re highly motivated to leave their home with a win.
Plus, on paper, these are two teams that are almost perfectly matched: Neither team is immune to slow starts or missteps and have proved that sometimes the biggest challenge is staying out of your own way. OSU has struggled with slow starts all season, and Tennessee found themselves in a similar situation as recently as rivalry weekend against Vanderbilt but went on to win handily.
Both teams have high-powered QBs and formidable running backs, though the Vols do, at times, seem to have a Jekyll and Hyde situation at quarterback, with prolific freshman Nico Iamaleava still finding his groove. When he’s on, there’s almost no one better. When he’s off, it opens the door, especially for the Buckeyes’ secondary. He’s had as many as 314 yards and 3 touchdowns in a game to as little as 158 yards and no touchdowns (in the Vols’ loss against Florida).
Sound familiar, OSU fans? Our own Will Howard has had his own hit-and-miss moments, and after the performance against Michigan (for which I hold the coaches primarily responsible but for which Howard still has to account for some miscues), it’s good to see whether he comes out with a vengeance or whether his confidence is a bit shaken.
Conversely, I wouldn’t read too much into Iamaleava being a freshman – at this point, he’s successfully played a tough SEC schedule, but a slow start, especially from him, cracks the door for the Silver Bullets and Jim Knowles to create some magic.
And then there are the running backs: Dylan Sampson at Tennessee has had a lights-out season, breaking multiple program records (including rushing touchdowns with 22 and rushing yards with 1,485 yards). He’ll be an excellent test for the Buckeyes’ defensive line, and it will be nice to see whether they can handle Sampson as easily as they did someone like Iowa’s Kaleb Johnson or if Sampson becomes more of a thorn in their side.
The Buckeyes aren’t lacking at running back either, with a wealth of options between Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson (though so help me God, Chip Kelly better not sit around and try to have them run the ball up the center all game). This bodes well for the Buckeyes as Tennessee has had moments where they’ve struggled to contain the rush (particularly in their game against Kentucky).
Defensively the Vols and the Bucks both teams are tough: The Buckeyes have the fewest points allowed; the Vols contained every team but Vanderbilt to fewer than 20 points. Vanderbilt put up 23. OSU leads the country in red-zone scoring defense, but Tennessee isn’t too far behind them.
Both teams have two losses: One that’s not so terrible, and one that’s pretty embarrassing (OSU’s better loss is better than Tennessee’s better loss, but OSU’s worse loss is worse than Tennessee’s worse loss, so let’s take an average here).
All this to say – these are two very similar football teams, which allows Ohio State to re-establish itself, work out its kinks, and get its act together on its home field.
Now, if you’ve followed along with me here at Land Grant-Holy Land, you know my little brother attended Tennessee, so he and I each root for our own school first and foremost, but in general, my family follows and roots for both teams. I promise that’s not why I’m choosing the Vols, but because of this, a Buckeye matchup in Round One feels particularly win-win for me.
Either my team wins (best-case scenario) or my second-favorite team wins, and if my second-favorite team wins, it also increases the likelihood of a new head coach for the Buckeyes next year. Either way, I like my odds.
Both teams are fighting to prove themselves on a bigger stage. Vols’ head coach Josh Heupel has restored the program to glory, and the Buckeyes need to save face after
that loss.
Ultimately, that makes for good football (which is fun to watch as a fan) and sets the Buckeyes up to harness their talent and regain their confidence. If they’re able to do that against a dynamic opponent like the Vols (and bring some dignity back to the Horseshoe), it just might be the gas in the tank these Buckeyes need to go all the way.
Matt’s Take: Georgia in Columbus
In all fairness, I don’t think that this is actually possible given the rankings that the College Football Playoff committee released on Tuesday. The only way that I think it could even be possible is if Texas wins the SEC Championship handily and Tulane and Clemson beat Boise State and SMU respectively in very close — perhaps even controversial fashion; even then, I don’t think it has much more than 2.7238% chance of happening.
Nonetheless, the prompt was our “dream” matchup, so that’s what I’m going with. Now, I realize that there will be a lot of people predicting UGA to win the whole dang thing, but hear me out. While it did come in a loss, one of the most inspired coaching performances that we’ve seen from Ryan Day during the postseason came against Georgia in the Peacoch Bowl following the 2022 season. That was the game in which the Buckeyes came within a field goal of essentially winning the national title.
If there is any team that is going to get the Buckeyes’ — and more importantly the coaching staff’s — attention, it is going to be Kirby Smart’s Dawgs. Despite the regular failures of Day in big games, I still for some reason believe that this year’s team is capable of winning the national title, but there can’t be any of the traditional Ryan Day turtling that we see against marquee opponents.
We know that Day can come up with an A+ offensive game plan against Georgia, and Jim Knowles’ defense is lightyears beyond where it was in his first season in Columbus. So, if Day can get back in his bag and allow Chip Kelly to call a creative game, then I think this is the best opportunity for OSU to begin a championship run on a positive note.
Also, when you throw in the fact that it will likely be a cold-weather game, that makes things even more interesting. Granted, the Buckeyes didn’t fare exactly well in the cold-ish wind and weather in The Horseshoe against Michigan, but now that they’ve got that out of their system and Day has (hopefully) seen the monumental error of his ways, there should be a decided Buckeye advantage over the SEC stalwarts.
Admittedly, I used to live not too too far from Athens, Georgia and it does get cold there, so the Dawgs will likely be able to practice in weather at least somewhat colder than a team from South Florida would be able to, but it certainly nothing approaching the mid-teens and low-20s.
Let us know who you are agreeing with:
Continue reading...