Big Ten Tournament Game Preview: No. 3 Ohio State vs. No. 11 Iowa
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The Buckeyes and Hawkeyes renew their rivalry three weeks after an overtime thriller.
It’s the most wonderful time of the year. It’s March and it’s college basketball. Friday night,
Ohio State women’s basketball enters the postseason conference madness before the national March Madness tournament.
After earning the No. 3 tournament seed and a double-bye, Ohio State’s first game is against one of the hottest teams right now in college basketball. A team the Buckeyes have some drama with on and off the court over the past few years.
In the last quarterfinal game of the day, Ohio State takes on the
Iowa Hawkeyes, hoping to forget last year’s quarterfinal upset and work towards securing home court for the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament.
Preview
To say Iowa is one of the hottest teams in the nation isn’t hyperbole. The Hawkeyes have eight wins in the last 10 games of the season after falling in five straight at the beginning of 2025. In that run, Iowa defeated the eventual Big Ten championship-winning USC Trojans, the lone tarnish on the Los Angeles side’s record in conference play.
Even the losses showed how the Hawkeyes are hitting their stride at the right time. The first came against the Buckeyes, in Columbus. Down 14 points with 1:38 remaining, the Black and Yellow, led by guard Lucy Olsen, forced overtime in a fast and hectic comeback.
Iowa lost, and they lost their next game too but that was a two-point defeat to the UCLA Bruins, in Iowa City.
So, suffice to say that Iowa is not a normal No. 11 seed.
On Thursday, the Hawkeyes beat the No. 24 ranked
Michigan State Spartans, the No. 6 tournament seed. After losing to Sparty by two points in the regular season, the Hawkeyes went down four points after the first quarter but had a big response in the second quarter, out scoring Michigan State 20-9.
The Hawkeyes tried holding off Michigan State in the third quarter, but the Spartans are known for late comebacks themselves and took a short-lived five-point lead. Iowa scored eight to finish the third quarter and then scored 20 in the fourth quarter to pull away to a 74-61 victory.
Head coach Jan Jensen, in her first year running the Iowa program, saw her side through a rough spell earlier in the season, a spell due to forward Hannah Stuelke moving from a No. 5 position to a power forward. The Hawkeyes never truly adjusted and Jansen had the wherewithal to go back to what worked, and it’s working.
Stuelke is an offensive weapon who will hurt teams inside the post, even if she’s not scoring baskets consistently. The space she takes, and defenders she pulls in, benefits those on the outside.
Olsen is the main benefactor with a 23.1 points per game average in the last eight games and shooting 50 percent from beyond the arc in that stretch with 23 made three-point shots.
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In Columbus, Ohio State built a lead thanks to strong play against Stuelke. The Buckeyes held Stuelke to 10 points and five rebounds, with freshman center Elsa Lemmilä picking up three blocks against the junior forward. Olsen scored 27 and guard Sydney Affolter was relentless on the boards with 15 rebounds.
Since then, rebounding for the Buckeyes has improved through the play of forward Ajae Petty. The graduate forward has three double-doubles in a row after going 10 games where Petty didn’t even reach double-digit points or rebounds.
“My process never changed even when things were going kind of rough,” said Petty about coming out of the cold spell. “Sometimes you gotta accept the place that God places you in. You just gotta continue to keep grinding it out. So sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t, but that’s the beauty of the game.”
It’s working for Ohio State now but they also need more minutes out of Jaloni Cambridge.
Against Maryland, the guard played 18 minutes due to foul trouble and fouled out in the fourth quarter. Head coach Kevin McGuff said it boils down to Cambridge being hard working player who wants to get into every play. McGuff and Cambridge talked about being careful with her hands and being selective on when to get into a play.
“We need her,” said McGuff. “We need her on the floor.”
Cambridge led Ohio State with 29 points against the Hawkeyes and should come into Friday with a little more motivation considering her being unavailable when the team needed her against the Terrapins. Both her and McMahon are a focal point for coach Jansen and the Hawkeyes.
“Man, Jaloni [Cambridge], I’ll tell you what, she’s tremendous,” said Jansen following Iowa’s Thursday night win. “Cotie McMahon, tremendous. All of them, man, they’re just really explosive, they’re powerful, they press.”
“We have to handle their press. We have to handle their speed,” said Jansen. “Jaloni got downhill on us real fast, real often there, and I don’t know if anybody’s been able to really slow her down.”
Even with applause from the opposing coach, Ohio State isn’t at a the point where they have played a full 40 minutes of their desired style of basketball. To avoid a second consecutive upset in the
Big Ten Tournament, the Buckeyes will need more against the Hawkeyes.
Projected Starters
Ohio State
G- Jaloni Cambridge
G- Chance Gray
G- Taylor Thierry
F- Cotie McMahon
F- Ajae Petty
Lineup Notes
- Ohio State has 15 games this season where four players reached double-digit scoring in the same game.
- Ajae Petty has three double-doubles in a row, which is the first OHio State player to do that since forward Dorka Juhász in the 20-21 season.
- The Buckeyes have at least 10 steals in 23 games this season.
Iowa
G- Sydney Affolter
G- Kylie Feuerbach
G- Taylor McCabe
G- Lucy Olsen
F- Hannah Stuelke
Lineup Notes
- This Iowa starting lineup has a 9-3 record this season and have started together for the last 11 games in a row.
- Hannah Stuelke only played 22 minutes due to foul trouble against Michigan State on Thursday night but still had 12 points and 10 rebounds.
- Lucy Olsen earned a unanimous All-Big Ten First Team selection by the coaches, with a First Team honor from the media. Stuelke landed on the media’s Second Team but not the coaches.
Prediction
This game is going to be close. What will get Ohio State over the Hawkeyes is the motivated play of forward Cotie McMahon and freshman Jaloni Cambridge. The two will lead the Buckeye scoring, and Ohio State will force turnovers from the Iowa side.
It will be a loud, pro-Iowa, crowd. The Hawkeye faithful are already in Indianapolis and more will descend as the tournament moves on with Iowa taking part. That will make it a tough environment to play in and give the Hawkeyes a boost.
How to Watch
Date: Friday, March. 7, 2025
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: Big Ten Network
Stream: FOX Sports App
LGHL Score Prediction: 78-77, Ohio State Buckeyes
Caitlin Clark is in the building
Just when you thought it was safe to watch Big Ten women’s basketball, Iowa guard Caitlin Clark has returned. This time the guard is a spectator, watching the side she led to the last three Big Ten Tournament championships.
Playing in the same arena for the Indiana Fever of the
WNBA, Clark watched both Wednesday’s game against the
Wisconsin Badgers and the win over Sparty on Thursday.
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That means that the guard will more than likely be court side on Friday, adding a little bit of intrigue for an Ohio State side that has their fair share of history with the former Hawkeye star.
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