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What will college football look like in 5 years?

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RhodeIslandBuck

RhodeIslandBuck

This guy's a real jerk
Apologies if there's a similar thread on this already but a quick search didn't yield much so I figured I'd start a new one. Mods please merge if necessary.

With everything going on and the ncaa slowly but surely losing its stranglehold on college athletics, what do you folks think the end game will end up looking like?

Will the power conferences consolidate? Or just the power programs, leaving schools like Rutgers, Wake Forest, and Oregon State in the dust? Will conference affiliations be done with, or at least significantly reduced in importance? Or could we just end up with the status quo?

One of the most interesting things (to me) I've been thinking of is what happens to those borderline programs like Missouri or Virginia Tech who have the stadium size and the fan base but not necessarily the historical clout?

Will they consolidate to 32 teams or possibly less? 64 teams or possibly more?

Just wondering where everyone sees the future of college football in these uncertain times.
 
Onebuckfan said:
Probably be a regional sport. The perceived danger to players and the unwillingness of Universities to pay players will kill the sport.
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I strongly disagree. There's too much money to be made by the media and universities, and players will want an avenue to get drafted.
 
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Division 1: 64/65 teams made up of roughly the current P5 playing an 8 game playoff. Existing conference affiliations will remain largely intact, and yes the domers will have to join one of the conferences. Probably some form of player payment. The writing is on the wall and in the bank accounts. If the UCF's and juggalos of the world don't like the fact that an Indiana or Oregon State gets to come along for the ride, well too bad. Sorry you were nobodies a century ago when these things were being decided. Now go get your fuckin' shineboxes.

Division 2: The G5 competing in their own playoff at the end of the year. They'll whine. They'll sue. They'll have some congressmen in states that don't have Division 1 schools (lookin at you inter mountain West) threaten this and that. And at the end of the day, they'll go get their fuckin' shineboxes

Division 3: Roughly the current FCS

Division 4: The current DIII schools. No scholarships, no media deals, real admission standards etc.
 
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Steve19 said:
I think that the wildcards are most interesting. Among these, player safety will continue to demand attention and prompt changes to the game that ultimately will threaten its survival, in my opinion. I'm beginning to think that I may outlive the game.
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I've already outlived the game that I loved.

I like what's left of it... at least what's left of college football. Haven't been an NFL fan for years.

Whether I will continue to like what's left of it remains to be seen.
 
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What will college football fútbol look like in 5 25 years or so?

It will take more than than 5 years evolve/switch over to soccer, but it really wouldn't surprise me if college fútbol looked like this in 25 years or so:

10014742.jpeg
 
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In five years? More like ten. Olympic sports will be reduced to club level, travel restrictions will mean lots of intra-state competition. Unless something major happens I see women's sports reduced to volleyball and basketball. Men's will shrink to football and basketball, possibly wrestling in the north, baseball in the south and west coast. College soccer still doesn't draw squat for either gender and the squawk about giving scholarships to kids from Nigeria and Chad instead of 'merikans to play a non-revenue game will turn into a roar.

As for football, it's going to depend on TV money and how long it takes parents to figure out that a good part of the tuition they're paying for college goes to keep sports programs going and how long faculties are going to accept this: As of Feb 21, 2021, the average annual pay for a Tenure Track Professor in the United States is $64,917 a year.

Compare that to this: Four of the Buckeyes’ assistants are still to receive pay raises in 2021, led by offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson, who will make $1.4 million after previously receiving a base salary of $1.2 million for 2020, according to Wednesday's newly released contract information. Coombs has been scheduled to make a base salary worth $1.4 million since he was hired as defensive coordinator last year. (think of that, Coombs, gets a $200,000 a year raise, almost three times what a professor makes in a year)

So a tenure track professor makes about 10% of what a linebacker coach makes per year. A steep price to pay for tenure.

At some point, schools are going to have to answer the big question of just what their mission is and how big-time football and basketball fit into that picture. So, yeah, yeah, Ohio State football makes money and operates in a fairly autonomous manner, but even with current levels of TV revenue, most of the Big Ten schools have to dip into the general fund in order to operate.

Title IX and paying players are going to put tremendous strain on all but a handful of schools. I'm guessing that in 10 to 15 years college football will be reduced to maybe 25 - 30 power five schools. Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State, Wisconsin, and one more program will be the Big Ten with Wisconsin looking shaky. Clemson, Florida State, and Notre Dame will survive in the ACC. Texas and aTm will kiss and make up and join Oklahoma and maybe Nebraska will be what's left of the Big 8/10/12/10/8. God knows what can survive on the West Coast. USC, Az State, Washington, and Oregon are my guess. The rest will be basketball schools and travel will be way down from what it is today.
 
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ScriptOhio said:
What will college football fútbol look like in 5 25 years or so?

It will take more than than 5 years evolve/switch over to soccer, but it really wouldn't surprise me if college fútbol looked like this in 25 years or so:

10014742.jpeg
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I just don't see it. Soccer has had a grab on youth of both/all genders since the 70s and yet no one - including many parents - bothers to watch the games.

I can see where it might replace baseball. But even there, MLB attendance continues to show strength even as a single game becomes a summer vacation budget buster for families.

FCC filled Nippert because they were winning. The new stadium and MLS connection will draw the curious for another three years, but then the suck will sit in and the citizens will be stuck with another think-they-can-be- a-500-team-this-season? bunch of losers.

Maybe if NASCAR has to switch to electric cars, their Southern based fans will gravitate to soccer, but I sure don't see it.
 
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cincibuck said:
I just don't see it. Soccer has had a grab on youth of both/all genders since the 70s and yet no one - including many parents - bothers to watch the games.

I can see where it might replace baseball. But even there, MLB attendance continues to show strength even as a single game becomes a summer vacation budget buster for families.

FCC filled Nippert because they were winning. The new stadium and MLS connection will draw the curious for another three years, but then the suck will sit in and the citizens will be stuck with another think-they-can-be- a-500-team-this-season? bunch of losers.

Maybe if NASCAR has to switch to electric cars, their Southern based fans will gravitate to soccer, but I sure don't see it.
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You've got to give it to the Aussies and the Canucks, at least on this: they hold metric football in about the same regard as we do.
 
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