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What NC expectations are realistic?

Discussion in 'Buckeye Football' started by Merih, Jan 13, 2021.

  1. BB73

    BB73 Loves Buckeye History Staff Member Bookie '16 & '17 Upset Contest Winner

    The 2019 title was the first time a team had won 3 straight outright, so 2020 was definitely the first time for 4 straight outright titles.
     
  2. LordJeffBuck

    LordJeffBuck Illuminatus Emeritus Staff Member Tech Admin Bookie

    In the seven years of the Playoff system, Ohio State has played for a national championship four times (2014, 2016, 2019, 2020), and won once (2014). So competing for a title 4/7 of the time, and winning a title 1/7 of the time.

    I expect both of those percentages to improve over the next decade, say competing 8/10, winning 3/10. The head coach and recruiting pipeline are in place for an extended run of greatness.
     
  3. Cicero30

    Cicero30 Sophmore

    Alabama is the exception rather than the rule. National championships are a rare treat. Especially when they are unexpected. I don't think it is unreasonable to expect a playoff birth in 3/5 years on average but there is a lot more luck in the equation than most coaches and players would like to admit. Day has proven to be a great recruiter and coach. I am happy with where the program is.
     
  4. LovelandBuckeye

    LovelandBuckeye You never lose to those pricks. Ever. Ever. - UFM

    Now that Olave is coming back I expect 10 straight CFP Championships. Book it!
     
    Cicero30 likes this.
  5. Zurp

    Zurp I have misplaced my pants.

    I think that, realistically, if Ohio State can win a championship every 10 years, I'll be happy.
    I think if you break any 10-year period down, based on the last 20 years, we can hope/expect to see this:
    1-2 national championships,
    1-2 losses in championship games (3 total national championship games, with 1-2 wins)
    3 more years with losses in first round of playoffs (assuming our current 4-team playoff format)
    2 years where the Buckeyes are >right there<. Maybe they lost to Purdue or Iowa or Michigan State or Oklahoma and they're ranked 5-6.
    2 years where the luck was with the other guys all year, for who knows what reason. The Buckeyes get 3-4 losses and finish ranked 10-15 or so.
     

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