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I'd say they were pretty solid but OSU was a bad matchup to be honest.
Doesn't matter, you can always say the opponent was overrated when your teams smokes them.
I don't think the CFP panel sees it that way
It's a weaker field than last year, which is good because even though they're looking good right now... this is a weaker team than last year's.If they get in, they go all the way.
Tho probability of either happening is the sum of both UF winning and UNC wining, less the probability of both losing (in order to eliminate overlap). Unless there's a different way to get to the 41.5% I think you need that percentage?So I took the time to go look at a site I trust for straight up win probabilities.
UF win = 10%
UNC win = 35%
Given the assumption that OSU only needs one of the two events to occur the probability is 41.5%
check my math but that looks right
If someone told me OSU had a 41% shot at playoffs after MSU I would have taken it.
Tho probability of either happening is the sum of both UF winning and UNC wining, less the probability of both losing (in order to eliminate overlap). Unless there's a different way to get to the 41.5% I think you need that percentage?
Edit: yes, that looks accurate. That is, of course, stanford and/or NC doesn't get in.
The 41.5% would only be if Clemson or Bama loses. Doesn't account for Bama or Clemson staying above, or UNC or stanford jumping. So the highest probability is 41.5%, but is much more likely to be lower.Does that account for Clemson getting in over us with a loss if Clemson and Bama both lose?
If any team not named UNC or Stanford wins and loses a key player, I don't think it will have an effect. However if UNC or stanford wins and loses a key player, I think it would. Different being on the bubble and that happening and being firmly in and that happens. Maybe Oklahoma would fall in that area too with UNC and stanford if in practice something happened to their QB.Let's add some more questions to the chaos. What happens if, in the games being played, the star player on the winning team is lost for the playoffs?
Clemson were to win but lose Deshaun Watson...
Bama were to win but lose Derick Henry...
Stanford wins but loses McCaffery...
Even, MSU wins again but Cook is lost for the entire playoff?
Would any of those teams be better than a fully operational death star from Columbus?
That's why Stanford won't get in... good point.While we're at it, exactly why would Stanford be better than a one-loss Iowa team that loses the BIG Championship game close and butchered the NW team that beat Stanford?
Let's add some more questions to the chaos. What happens if, in the games being played, the star player on the winning team is lost for the playoffs?
Even, MSU wins again but Cook is lost for the entire playoff?
Would any of those teams be better than a fully operational death star from Columbus?