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tOSU @ Maryland, Sat Nov 19, 3:30 pm, ABC

The DSA spreadsheets "prediction" for this game:

Ohio St.: 40-49 points (rigidity suggests the high end or higher)
Maryland: 17 points (rigidity says slightly higher)

Ohio St.: 194-214 yards rushing (5.75 to 6.11 ypc)
Maryland: 107-117 yards rushing (3.18 to 3.67 ypc)

Ohio St.: 271-326 yards passing (PE: 172.58 to 188.49)
Maryland: 168-178 yards passing (PE: 121.87 to 127.92)


If we remove the Northwestern Nor'easter from consideration, the prediction for Ohio State's passing efficiency exceeds 200. It would be CJ's 6th game with a passing efficiency in excess of 200 this year. The game before The Game last year was CJ's 6th such game in 2021, tying Justin Field's record. He broke the record (among others) with his 7th such game in the Rose Bowl.

EDIT: For those wondering about the DSA prediction of 17 points for Maryland, when they're just coming off a shut-out at the hands of the Nittany Lions; DSA would predict 18-20 points for Maryland against the Nits, with rigidity tending to push the number higher and by a larger amount than for the game against the Buckeyes. So why was DSA so off for Maryland vs PSU? I have no idea. I didn't watch that game and even if I had I probably still wouldn't know. More to the point, even if I knew I might still not know if whatever it was is still in effect. All DSA can tell me is that Maryland is likely to score somewhere around 17 points, probably a little more. DSA plus last-week's-game says they'll score somewhere between zero and 24 points with zero hints as to which is more likely.
Hard for me disagree with the DSA score prediction when I came up with 45-17 on my own.
 
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ELEVEN WARRIORS STAFF PREDICTION
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45 17
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Score predictions for Ohio State vs. Maryland

Spencer Holbrook: Ohio State wins 63-21

Tim May: Buckeyes win 52-17

Andy Backstrom: Buckeyes win 42-24

Matt Parker: Ohio State wins 45-17
 
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ACROSS THE FIELD: MARYLAND BEAT WRITER WESLEY BROWN BREAKS DOWN TERRAPINS’ RECENT STRUGGLES, HOW THEY COULD CHALLENGE OHIO STATE

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Maryland has scored only 10 points in its last two games. What’s happened to the Terps’ offense?

Brown: The Maryland offense has become stagnant over the last few weeks for a few reasons. At the end of the game against Indiana, Tagovailoa went down, reinjured his sprained MCL and subsequently missed the game against Northwestern prior to the bye week. In that time, the Terps were juggling Tagovailoa's injury with a sprained ankle for backup quarterback Billy Edwards Jr., forcing the healthiest player to move forward. Tagovailoa was the healthiest coming out of the bye, but there has been a clear lack of trust in his blocking and health, pulling the ball down and looking to scramble even quicker than before. Pair all of that with Maryland trying to run its normal offense despite poor weather conditions and not making proper adjustments, you get an offense that is stuck.

Maryland has won only two games in the month of November since 2017. Why do you think the Terrapins have repeatedly struggled in the homestretch of the season?

Brown: The Terps' November struggles often correlate to their Big Ten conference schedule. Maryland has been scheduled to face three of Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State or Penn State in the month of November each season during this stretch, leading to a combination of the toughest matchups on the schedule with the natural wear and tear of a football season. Prior to 2021, when the Terps generally were down as a program, the late-season scheduling also didn't provide much of a bounce-back opportunity as confidence plummeted.

What are the things Maryland has done best when it has been successful this season? Conversely, what have been the biggest shortcomings when it’s been unsuccessful?

Brown: When you looked at Maryland's roster construction and play style before the season, it would've been assumed that the offense would be airing it out and keeping the team in games based on skill and scheme alone. As the season progressed, we started to see the exact opposite. The young group of running backs took the early season games by storm and led to a more balanced offense, and the Terps' defense has been one of the best second-half units in the country.

With the skill across the board, Maryland has had a tendency to get stuck in its ways trying to spread the ball around and get players touches rather than stick with what is needed or should work to success. Despite the offense's struggles, the defense has kept up its end of the deal with second-half adjustments, holding opponents to just eight points per second half.

Entire article: https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio...ins-recent-struggles-how-they-could-challenge
 
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During his radio show the week, the most promising thing I heard from Ryan Day was that at some point this week there were horrible conditions (snow etc) outside and the team practiced in it and had “great energy”.

This is actually bullshit…..glad they’re doing it to win the Big 10 and prepare for Michigan.

It sucks any time is wasted on shitty conditions when the SEC never had to consider it.

Make the SEC come to the north when they expand playoffs. The current system fucks northern teams horribly.
 
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This is actually bullshit…..glad they’re doing it to win the Big 10 and prepare for Michigan.

It sucks any time is wasted on shitty conditions when the SEC never had to consider it.

Make the SEC come to the north when they expand playoffs. The current system fucks northern teams horribly.
Day is still pounding on the "toughness" drum.
But, like you said, I guess I don't really see the point.
Trust the coaches.
 
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Day is still pounding on the "toughness" drum.
But, like you said, I guess I don't really see the point.
Trust the coaches.

I’m not convinced it’s anything more than preparing for tsun and expected weather for that game. It’s not about toughness when you play with balls soaked in water because you expect rain… it’s all about expected conditions.

You prepare to win games. The next couple of games are outside. There’s plenty of time to thaw out and play under-roof if we get to Lucas Oil.

And yes, 100%, trust the coaches.
 
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Scoring Offense
Buckeyes: 46.8 points per game (2nd nationally, 1st Big Ten)
Maryland: 28.3 points per game (T-63rd nationally, 7th Big Ten)

Total Offense
Buckeyes: 501.9 yards per game (6th nationally, 1st Big Ten)
Maryland: 395.8 yards per game (T-63rd nationally, 7th Big Ten)

Passing Offense
Buckeyes: 294.0 yards per game (17th nationally, 1st Big Ten)
Maryland: 241.5 yards per game (54th nationally, 4th Big Ten)

Rushing Offense
Buckeyes: 207.90 yards per game (21st nationally, 3rd Big Ten)
Maryland: 154.30 yards per game (65th nationally, 7th Big Ten)

Scoring Defense
Buckeyes: 15.6 points per game allowed (7th nationally, 5th Big Ten)
Maryland: 24.6 points per game allowed (53rd nationally, 8th Big Ten)

Total Defense
Buckeyes: 271.5 yards per game allowed (7th nationally, 4th Big Ten)
Maryland: 381.0 yards per game allowed (73rd nationally, 10th Big Ten)

Passing Defense
Buckeyes: 161.2 yards per game allowed (6th nationally, 3rd Big Ten)
Maryland: 232.1 yards per game allowed (T-76th nationally, 10th Big Ten)

Rushing Defense
Buckeyes: 110.30 yards per game allowed (18th nationally, 6th Big Ten)
Maryland: 148.90 yards per game allowed (68th nationally, 10th Big Ten)
 
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I’m not convinced it’s anything more than preparing for tsun and expected weather for that game. It’s not about toughness when you play with balls soaked in water because you expect rain… it’s all about expected conditions.

You prepare to win games. The next couple of games are outside. There’s plenty of time to thaw out and play under-roof if we get to Lucas Oil.

And yes, 100%, trust the coaches.
yeah... i don't disagree. i'm just talking about day making a point about it (practicing outdoors when there was some snow).
maybe he's doing it just to annoy and f*ck with harbaugh, which, i gather, isn't that hard to do. weak constitution and what not...
 
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