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tOSU @ Maryland, Sat Nov 19, 3:30 pm, ABC

Not saying this game is gonna be that competitive, but to think it’s blowout city is presumptuous IMO.

Run game will be interesting, weather could be a factor, and Maryland has talent….not tOSU talent but enough to be dangerous.

We’ve seen how teams can stay close to tOSU for long stretches. I would not be surprised at all if this game is tight going into mid 3rd….JMO
This. I think the Buckeyes win by double digits but I have a feeling it'll be a lot closer than we want...and I'm not going to give a single fuck. Just get in and get out with a W without getting anyone killed. That's all I ask.
 
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It's a good game to prep for Michigan. Very Mobile QB (and who can actually pass more than 20 yards downfield), should help prepare the defense for a running QB whose accuracy beyond 10 yeads is questionable. Terps have decent receivers with some speed, Michigan has Ronnie Bell. Hoping Harrison and Timilouau can force Michigan to keep their tight end in to help block. Long range forecast calls for a scarlet and gray cloudy day in the 40s. No precipitation in sight after Tuesday.
 
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This. I think the Buckeyes win by double digits but I have a feeling it'll be a lot closer than we want...and I'm not going to give a single fuck. Just get in and get out with a W without getting anyone killed. That's all I ask.

I agree. Maryland has play-makers in the right positions to make games interesting, you just never know what Terps team you are going to get. They didn't show up vs. PSU. I'm sure they will be ready for this one. They played ttun tight so expecting this one to be the same early on. Talent wins out late though.

Looking for the Bucks to have good balance run/pass, the defense to continue to play assignment and mistake free football and get out of College Park without any new or worsened injuries...... and then on to the big one.
 
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The DSA spreadsheets "prediction" for this game:

Ohio St.: 40-49 points (rigidity suggests the high end or higher)
Maryland: 17 points (rigidity says slightly higher)

Ohio St.: 194-214 yards rushing (5.75 to 6.11 ypc)
Maryland: 107-117 yards rushing (3.18 to 3.67 ypc)

Ohio St.: 271-326 yards passing (PE: 172.58 to 188.49)
Maryland: 168-178 yards passing (PE: 121.87 to 127.92)


If we remove the Northwestern Nor'easter from consideration, the prediction for Ohio State's passing efficiency exceeds 200. It would be CJ's 6th game with a passing efficiency in excess of 200 this year. The game before The Game last year was CJ's 6th such game in 2021, tying Justin Field's record. He broke the record (among others) with his 7th such game in the Rose Bowl.

EDIT: For those wondering about the DSA prediction of 17 points for Maryland, when they're just coming off a shut-out at the hands of the Nittany Lions; DSA would predict 18-20 points for Maryland against the Nits, with rigidity tending to push the number higher and by a larger amount than for the game against the Buckeyes. So why was DSA so off for Maryland vs PSU? I have no idea. I didn't watch that game and even if I had I probably still wouldn't know. More to the point, even if I knew I might still not know if whatever it was is still in effect. All DSA can tell me is that Maryland is likely to score somewhere around 17 points, probably a little more. DSA plus last-week's-game says they'll score somewhere between zero and 24 points with zero hints as to which is more likely.
 
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Tagovailoa suffered a knee injury in the 4th quarter against Indiana and sat out against Northwestern.

His worst PE before being injured was against TTUN (122.3). Maryland's worst Differential Passing Efficiency before Taulia was injured was against the Spartans (0.988).

He skipped the Northwestern game with the injury. Since returning to the field, both of his outings produced a PE below 80. Against Wisconsin his DPE was 0.622. Against PSU his DPE was 0.722.

Looks like the injury was bothering him significantly at least through the PSU game. If he is fully healed, we are more likely to get the guy who scored 27 on TTUN than the guy who was shut out by the pedophile enabling dirt-bags. Considering he missed a game and then had 2 very bad weeks in a row, I'd say it's unlikely that he will have fully healed.

EDIT: For those wondering about the DSA prediction of 17 points for Maryland, when they're just coming off a shut-out at the hands of the Nittany Lions; DSA would predict 18-20 points for Maryland against the Nits, with rigidity tending to push the number higher and by a larger amount than for the game against the Buckeyes. So why was DSA so off for Maryland vs PSU? I have no idea. I didn't watch that game and even if I had I probably still wouldn't know. More to the point, even if I knew I might still not know if whatever it was is still in effect. All DSA can tell me is that Maryland is likely to score somewhere around 17 points, probably a little more. DSA plus last-week's-game says they'll score somewhere between zero and 24 points with zero hints as to which is more likely.

Holy crap my memory is awful.

Decided to see if I could figure out why Maryland underperformed DSA so badly vs PSU and quickly discovered something that I found on Monday of this week and had completely forgotten about. Getting old sucks.

So if Taulia is fully healed, Maryland is likely to score 17-24 points
If he's still hurting, or if the injury is still affecting him in some way, all bets are off
 
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Not saying this game is gonna be that competitive, but to think it’s blowout city is presumptuous IMO.

Run game will be interesting, weather could be a factor, and Maryland has talent….not tOSU talent but enough to be dangerous.

We’ve seen how teams can stay close to tOSU for long stretches. I would not be surprised at all if this game is tight going into mid 3rd….JMO

Any time you're this banged up and on the road, the margin of error is smaller. Weather looks fine, at least. Main issue post bye week has been not taking advantage of short fields and getting TDs, but those were primarily against Iowa and PSU. Maryland's defense isn't Indiana bad, but I'm hoping OSU can get off to a fast start through the air and take some pressure off Hayden and the defense.
 
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I'm going out on a limb with no scientific or even anecdotal supporting evidence and saying that we destroy them on both sides of the ball. I think the team is frustrated and is going to take it out on the Yertles warming up for scum.
 
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Holy crap my memory is awful.

Decided to see if I could figure out why Maryland underperformed DSA so badly vs PSU and quickly discovered something that I found on Monday of this week and had completely forgotten about. Getting old sucks.

So if Taulia is fully healed, Maryland is likely to score 17-24 points
If he's still hurting, or if the injury is still affecting him in some way, all bets are off
All bets are never off! Lol
 
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