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SEC (It just means more.. even its losses are wins)

I agree that LSU probably won't beat Georgia. But if they do win out through the CCG, I'd expect them to be in the playoff.

Winning the CCG doesn't made you a lock for the CFPs. In fact, you could get passed by and another team from the same conference could get in. In 2016 Penn State (11-2) won the B1G CCG and Ohio State (11-1) went to the CFPs.
 
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Winning the CCG doesn't made you a lock for the CFPs. In fact, you could get passed by and another team from the same conference could get in. In 2016 Penn State (11-2) won the B1G CCG and Ohio State (11-1) went to the CFPs.
It's obviously true that winning a P5 CCG doesn't guarantee admission to the playoff, but I think winning the SEC CCG comes close, particularly when i) that team has a pair of elite wins, ii) that team appears to have improved significantly from the beginning of the season to the end, and iii) there are fewer than four obvious candidates for the spot, as there will be this year, particularly if Georgia doesn't win out. If LSU were to win out, I suspect it would be the OSU/UM winner (assuming they win the CCG), LSU, Georgia (assuming they finish with one loss), and TCU (assuming they win out).
 
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It's obviously true that winning a P5 CCG doesn't guarantee admission to the playoff, but I think winning the SEC CCG comes close, particularly when i) that team has a pair of elite wins, ii) that team appears to have improved significantly from the beginning of the season to the end, and iii) there are fewer than four obvious candidates for the spot, as there will be this year, particularly if Georgia doesn't win out. If LSU were to win out, I suspect it would be the OSU/UM winner (assuming they win the CCG), LSU, Georgia (assuming they finish with one loss), and TCU (assuming they win out).

It would be a different story if you had the prospect of an undefeated PAC12 champion and an undefeated ACC champion, but you don't have that this year.
 
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