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Scenarios for Final 2022 CFP Rankings

Bama, Ohio state, Georgia, Tsun, Penn State, USC, Clemson should be in Basically every year. I expect an another random SEC team or 2 and another B1G team, plus the Pac and random Pac B1G should be the others teams oh and possibly a rand G5

Penn State? They went 7-6 and 4-5 the two years before this year. They're hardly consistent enough to expect them to be an annual participant. I'd expect them in 50% of the time tops
 
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I feel like ever other year they were at least 9-3.. I'd need to look though. and USC by the metric shouldn't be good but Iexpect them to better under Riley

They had a solid stretch from 2016-2019 but even that stretch they had a 4-loss season. Their ceiling is still 2 losses minimum and their floor is a lot lower than people think.
 
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12 spots for 5 conferences essentially. Finish top 2-3 any given year and you should be in the mix. Penn State can do that.
USC coming in will make that a little tougher, even though the Pedsters will probably only play them every 3 or 4 years.

But Penn St should be able to go at least 9-3 half of the time,
 
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