ArmyVet83;1487759; said:
It's hard to believe that Dusty ever played an inning of baseball.
Thats exactly the problem with guys like Dusty, Joe Morgan, Grande, Marty and fans like H&G that take their word as gosphel. They played ball and think that they know everything there is to know about it from stuff that was flat out taught wrong.
They were taught batting average is the best indicator of offensive prowress, strikeouts were bad etc etc etc. During their formative years guys they looked up to told them it was so and in their mind that makes it so until the end of time. When you get old enough to be some kids tee ball coach it really gives you insight into how little that fucker knew when you were a kid.
The real issue is they are completely closed minded to any other school of thought no matter the amount of data put in front of them. You can explain OBP, SLG, runs created, runs allowed vs runs scored and anything else you want until you are blue in the face. All you'll get is scorn and some over simplification of the argument that always ends in a statement such as "stats don't tell you everything", "he's just a ball player" "don't talk to me about OBP", "stat heads who never played" "baseclogging" etc.
This is all smoke from the same fire...they don't understand it so they mock it. The hilarious part to me is that the first person to use OBP and SLG to determine a players true offensive value, as opposed to the traditional counting stats everyone else used, was none other than Branch Rickey in the 1950's. Yeah, THAT Branch Rickey. He was doing what any smart business man will do. Looking for the inneficencies in a market and exploiting them for his own gain. The traditionalists often attribute this behavior to Billy Beane and lump it in the "Moneyball" school of thought they have such disdain for. I would love to hear poofy haired announcers with galactic ego's play the "don't talk to me about OBP I've been around the game" card with Branch Rickey if he were still with us.
No one with a brain that looks deeper into the stats thinks any one stat can tell you everything about a ball player. There is a value on a players clubhouse presence that you cannot quantify. Defensive metrics used to be very weak but are getting exponentially better every year. Soon I think we'll have the OPS of defense so to speak, and be able to assign a true value to defense for the first time in the games history. I am not against the traditionalist point of view, I don't believe that stats can tell you everything about a player. I also think that many moneyball/saber guys take it too far.
I do however think stats are tremendously powerful
tools that can tell you a lot in a short amount of time if you simply know what to look for and like any aspect of life, people who are completely closed minded to anything different or new piss me off to no end.
Just like we talk about in regards to style of play I think strict adherance to any style is a flawed approach. A blend of style is always best. Give me a GM who is comfortable and knowledgable about the SABER side of the house but also understands the human element...blend the old school and new school if you want to be really successful.
Managers/GM's who are too tightly wedded to a small ball or long ball strategy will never be as successful as they could be imo. Give me a team like the 90 Reds or better yet the late 90's Yankees dynasty. Solid defense, pitching (especially the pen) and a lot of 25 HR, 90 RBI .800+ OPS guys who can do a little of everything.
What the Reds are trying to do now is pound a square peg in a round hole. The past 10 years or so was so far to one extreme (the beer league softball teams of Bowden) that they are going 180 degree opposite just to be opposite when its not going to net you anything more in the end. You don't have to emasculate the offense to be a good pitching and defense team. You are allowed to score a lot and prevent a lot, its allowed under the rules, I checked. This fantasy of bulding a 1970's style small ball team to play in GABP doesn't jive with reality and will net you guys like Tavaras. You cannot let the wish foster the thought or some such thing.
In the end does anyone outside of a few zealots/idiots really care what style the team played all year before they went home to watch the playoffs again?