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Reds Tidbits (2008 season)

Jaxbuck;1173840; said:
No way in hell one of the three guys in AAA will be worse than Fogg/Belisle as the 5th starter.

Simply not possible.

Bailey certainly showed last year that he could do just fine when healthy. He wasn't the "savior" they hoped he'd be, but was competent and only had a couple of clunker games. I thought Fogg was worth the gamble, but it's clearly not working out so far. I believe he still has options, so they don't have to designate him for assignment if they want to make a move.
 
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Jaxbuck;1173840; said:
No way in hell one of the three guys in AAA will be worse than Fogg/Belisle as the 5th starter.

Simply not possible.
One thing for sure, they wont make the playoffs in a 162 game season with a 5th starter that bad, something has to be done. Once they get a pitcher for their 5th spot, they have a chance. It hurts to see this.
 
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Next 14 games in May (opponents win % as of 5/17/08)
Cle x 2 (.524) WW
@ LAD x 3 (.512) LLL
@ SD x 4 (.372) LWWL
Pitt x 3 (.476) WWL
Atl x 2 (.512) WW

Play .600 ball and win 8 of 14 (8-6 overall) and we start June only 2 games under .500 (27-29) which I would have taken if offered before opening day. Key series to the whole thing in bold imo.

Cueto seems to have benefitted from the "Bako calls the game, you execute the fucking pitch or go back to Louisville" speech he got from Dusty and Arroyo might be coming around.

What the hell, maybe they can do it.

They did it. I don't know what else to say about Bruce.

15-12 record in May and only 2 games under .500

Great, great, great win today.

First time since '99 I'm not waiting for the wheels to fall off during any kind of hot streak.
 
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I am glad WK is gone because when you have a player this damn good sitting in AAA not up you are a stupid fuck...No if ands buts about it...I appreciate some of the moves he made, but if he has Bruce up here to start the season he still has a job and we are a totally different team...

BTW someone needs to let Rick Ross know who da fuckin' boss is...

[ame=http://youtube.com/watch?v=jvZBYyT04mo]YouTube - Rick Ross ft T. Pain - Boss Official Video[/ame]
 
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FYI, the math we are looking at:

Reds record through 56 games: 27-29

Last 5: 4-1 (.800)
Last 10: 6-4 (.600)
Last 15: 9-6 (.600)
Last 20: 13-7 (.650)
Last 25: 16-9 (.640) started on 5/5/08

Last 28 games: 16-12 (.571)
First 28 games: 11-17 (.392)

106 games left, assuming it takes 90 wins to make the playoffs the Reds need to play .590 ball (63 more wins) the rest of the way.

Next benchmark to keep an eye on:

25 more games untill the mid point in the season. Reds need to go 15-10 in the next 25 games to be at: 42-39

Schedule of the next 25 games(projected goal 15-10)
ATL x 1
@ PHI x 4
@ FL x 4
STL x 3
BOS x 3
@ NYY x 3
@ TOR x 3
PIT x 3
WSH x 1


The next 4 series will be tough as hell but lets keep track and see what happens.
 
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Jaxbuck;1173945; said:
FYI, the math we are looking at:

Reds record through 56 games: 27-29

Last 5: 4-1 (.800)
Last 10: 6-4 (.600)
Last 15: 9-6 (.600)
Last 20: 13-7 (.650)
Last 25: 16-9 (.640) started on 5/5/08

Last 28 games: 16-12 (.571)
First 28 games: 11-17 (.392)

106 games left, assuming it takes 90 wins to make the playoffs the Reds need to play .590 ball (63 more wins) the rest of the way.

Next benchmark to keep an eye on:

25 more games untill the mid point in the season. Reds need to go 15-10 in the next 25 games to be at: 42-39

Schedule of the next 25 games(projected goal 15-10)
ATL x 1
@ PHI x 4
@ FL x 4
STL x 3
BOS x 3
@ NYY x 3
@ TOR x 3
PIT x 3
WSH x 1


The next 4 series will be tough as hell but lets keep track and see what happens.

excellent info, good looking out on the data:bow:
 
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Reds_Bruce_Pirates_Baseball.sff.embedded.prod_affiliate.11.jpg

:bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow::bow:
 
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Jaxbuck;1173945; said:
106 games left, assuming it takes 90 wins to make the playoffs the Reds need to play .590 ball (63 more wins) the rest of the way.

When the season started I figured the 85-90 range would be enough for the NL Central, but now I'm thinking it may be a different story as the Cubs look lights out. Thankfully, a lot of supposedly good teams have thus far been underwhelming (Mets, Braves, Dodgers, Rockies) so the Reds best shot will probably be the wild card.

The Cards have a better record as the 2nd place team in the Central than either the East or West division leaders.
 
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