It is certainly ironic that the team is without Griffey, and has also lost Pena and Caseys bats, and their run production hasn't fallen off at all. Although, one could argue that without Casey, they'll only ground into a third as many double plays this season as they have the last three or four, so that amounts to at least an extra 20 or 30 base runners in scoring position over the long haul.
Unfortunately, it's still the lack of groundball pitching and the infield defense that is this teams weakness. The Reds are 1st in the majors in Es, 19th in DPs, and dead last in Fielding %. The pitching staff is, miraculously, 5th in all of MLB in strike outs and 9th in all of MLB in fewest BBs issued. Of course, the taters served (36) leads the majors by a healthy margin and the overall team ERA isn't going to impress anybody.
The most important factor in whether this team puts together a string of winning seasons or continues the June Swoon trend will be based on what the front office eventually does with players like Encarnacion. Edwin is a fine hitter, he's among the NL's elite 3Bs right now as he's leading the league in doubles and RBIs, and is top three in home runs and runs scored for his position. He's got good pop and doesn't strike out alot. However, his name contains a few capital letter 'E's' for a reason, and it's because nobody is going to mistake him for Brooks Robinson anyday soon. 8 errors in 18 games. He is the worst fielding everyday third baseman in the NL, and by a healthy margin -- he's lapped the field, even Morgan Ensberg, who is ONLY around for his bat.
The same could be said of Felipe Lopez at SS.
Runs are less useful in bunches. If the Reds could already score 9 runs a game, what difference does it make to carry these guys and then score 12 when they're complete and total liabilities with the leather on the rare occassion a Reds pitcher actually induces a groundball? Encarnacion, with as good a hitter as he is growing to become, could become outstanding bait for lighter bats with superior fielding skills and/or a pitching prospect or two.
The Reds don't need to score more runs, they need to allow fewer. Krivisky is lucky to have inherited some good young hitters who also happen to play premium positions where a number of GMs will go ape-shit over the offensive numbers.
I think EE and FeLo are way too young to give up on defensively. You can see both making strides on a nightly basis. Thats said if I'm Kriv nobody's untouchable but you are going to have to absolutely floor me to get either of those 2 guys. Chief concern is we have NO ONE in the minor's ready to take over so their replacement would have to be part of the deal and that cuts into the pitching haul you need to trade a young stud like that.
There are so many possibilities for trading pieces on this team its actually going to be fun to see what Kriv does. At this point my young, cheap and productive core to keep is Dunn, Felo, EE, AK, and maybe Phillips but I'm not sold on him 100% yet.
The obvious trading pieces to me are LaRue, Aurilia, Hatteberg and if we're out of it Weathers and Mercker could probably bring a nice haul. Weathers especially because a lot of GM's will overpay big time for that Save stat.
Dunn and Aorroyo both look like they will have a combination of production and good contracts that will make both very tradeable.
If Milton could possibly be shined up at all he only has 1 year left on his gift contract from Dan O. We'd probably have to eat some of it to move him but if he can put up any decent numbers at all it can be done.
JR's contract and 5/10 rights make him effectively untradeable regardless of the endless debate on the merits of a move.
The high minor leagues are pretty barren so I don't see much coming back in way of trade for prospects alone but maybe Kriv could sweeten the pot with someone. I am building more faith in him as time passes.
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