In January, I picked the Reds to finish last in the Division just behind Milwaukee.
My bet is that the Reds are out of it by Mid-June.
My bet is that the Reds are out of it by Mid-June.
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Reds outfielder Ken Griffey Jr . addressed reports this week about a passage in an upcoming book about Barry Bonds. The book alleges that Bonds told Griffey he was going "to start using some hard-core stuff" as a way to compete with the top home run hitters.
The conversation, which supposedly occurred over dinner with Griffey and three associates at Griffey’s Florida home after the 1998 season, centered on how the home run chase between Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa had dominated the news. The authors said that particulars about the incident didn’t come from Griffey or Bonds.
"I’ve been to Barry’s house (and) he’s been to my house since we were kids, so that is nothing new," Griffey said. "The conversation that supposedly happened, I don’t ever remember happening. That’s it. I just don’t remember talking about the use of performance-enhancing drugs."
WBC leaves Peña rusty
BY JOHN FAY | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER
<!--ARTICLE BODY TEXT-->SARASOTA, Fla. - Wily Mo Peña is going to the World Baseball Classic semifinals with the Dominican Republic.
But that does not mean he'll be getting any at-bats.
Peña has played in two of the Dominican's six games and has just six at-bats in the WBC so far.
That's not good for a player who is still developing.
"It's out of our hands," Reds hitting coach Chris Chambliss said. "But it's not the ideal situation."
Peña, 24, had his development stunted in part by the structure of his contract. When he was 21, the Reds were forced to keep him in the big leagues or risk losing him. He has three full years in the majors but only 830 at-bats.
Peña got three at-bats before he left to join the Dominican Republic team on March 3. He'll end up missing at least 17 days of spring training.
Reds manager Jerry Narron couldn't say how much the inactivity will hurt Peña.
"I don't think it helps him, sitting and not playing," Narron said.
Peña will be back in time for the Reds' final 12 spring games.
"That's the good part," Chambliss said. "When he returns, we'll get him as many at-bats as we can. Hitters are able to get ready faster than pitchers."
Peña was penciled in as the Reds' starting left fielder. He has played that position less than the other outfield spots.
It no longer seems a given than Peña will play every day. Adam Dunn started in left field Thursday and Rich Aurilia played first base.
Aurilia and Scott Hatteberg give the Reds right- and left-handed options at first base when Dunn plays left.
So Peña's spring inactivity could cost him playing time, especially early in the season.
"We can't change it now," Chambliss said. "Obviously, it would be better if he was playing."
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'Shack' just wants the ball
Reliever focuses on his own pitching, not on that of others
BY JOHN FAY | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER
DUNEDIN, Fla. - Brian Shackelford had to be thinking he was sitting pretty after last season.
Shackelford, a 29-year-old left-hander, pitched well for the Reds after his call-up June 26, going 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA. His numbers across the board were good: 21 hits, 17 strikeouts and nine walks in 291/3 innings.
But Shackelford's job security took a hit when the Reds signed veteran lefty Chris Hammond.
Shackelford is one of the most happy-go-lucky guys in the Reds' clubhouse, so he's hardly complaining about his lot in life.
"You can't look at it like that," he said. "I don't get caught up in who's here and who's not."
Shackelford has had a good spring, allowing one run on five hits over six innings, walking one and striking out three. He also has impressed Reds manager Jerry Narron with his willingness to take the ball in any situation.
"He did a good job for us," Narron said. "The thing you worried about with Shack was, could you trust him to throw enough strikes? The worst thing for a guy who is going to face one batter is to come in and walk him.
"He definitely came in and threw strikes."
Shackelford's success in the majors was somewhat surprising - even to him.
He was 1-6 with a 5.23 ERA at Triple-A Louisville when he got the call-up.
"When I first got up there, I was in a mop-up role to eat up innings,"
Shackelford said. "But after I got comfortable and had some success, they trusted me more with the lefty specialist role."
Shackelford made his big-league debut at age 28, but there's a reason for that. He signed as an outfielder and didn't become a pitcher full time until 2003.
The Reds got Shackelford from the Kansas City Royals in a March 2003 trade. He went 8-1 with a 3.58 ERA for Louisville in 2004, but he wasn't given much of a shot to make the Reds because they had signed left-hander Kent Mercker in the offseason.
Shackelford brings the gamer attitude of a position player to pitching.
"Shack wants the ball," Narron said. "That's what you want to see."
Said Shackelford: "I've always been that way. When I was a hitter, I wanted to be up there with the game on the line."
Last year was an educational process for Shackelford and the Reds' other less-experienced relievers. Shackelford, Todd Coffey, Matt Belisle and Jason Standridge were pitching in a big-league bullpen for the first time.
Having Mercker and David Weathers around helped them.
"First of all, they know the hitters," Shackelford said. "They're always three innings ahead, so they tell you what to expect. They really helped us.
"I was talking to young guys with other clubs who didn't have veteran guys.
It really makes a difference."
Adding Hammond to that mix could cost Shackelford a big-league job. But he's not preoccupied with that.
"All I do is go out and pitch," Shackelford said. "Competition is good. I don't worry about what's not in my control."
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News flash: Pitching needed
The Reds' neverending story hasn't changed; only the players have
BY JOHN FAY | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER
<!--ARTICLE BODY TEXT-->BRADENTON, Fla. - The minority partners in the Reds had their first meeting Saturday in Sarasota.
General manager Wayne Krivsky addressed them. We're sure he was honest about the club's chances this year.
Krivsky is a scout at heart, and the scouts we talk to do not think the Reds have the pitching to compete this year.
If Krivsky told the owners that and they didn't believe him, they got an object lesson in it a little later.
Left-hander Michael Gosling, who for most of the spring has been reviewed as having a legitimate shot at being the fifth starter, gave up nine runs and recorded only one out in a 15-5 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
All seven hits he gave up were rockets. This outing comes after he allowed four runs on four hits in one-third of an inning in his previous outing.
That's not the guy you want out there April 9 when the Reds need a fifth starter for the first time.
CEO Bob Castellini has been telling everyone since he bought the team that the Reds are better than people think.
Scouts don't think that.
"You've got to wonder about the pitching," one told us Saturday. "(Aaron) Harang and (Brandon) Claussen are all right. But Harang's a No. 3 for most teams.
"The lineup is fine. The bullpen will be OK until the end of the game. They'll be lucky to play .500."
His bottom-line assessment of the Reds: The team speed is better than last year, but the starting pitching - on paper at least - isn't as good, and there's no established closer.
So playing at .500 would be a major accomplishment, because other than Harang and Claussen, the rest of the rotation is a long line of question marks.
With Paul Wilson still throwing two innings in simulated games and building arm strength, it's looking more and more like he won't be ready until May.
So to start the season, the rotation will be Harang, Claussen, Eric Milton, Dave Williams and an arm-to-be-named-later.
Harang and Claussen have been good this spring. Milton has been hurt. And Williams has looked hittable. He gave up eight runs on 10 hits in 31/3 innings Saturday in the other game of the split-squad against Atlanta in Orlando.
The alternatives for the fifth starter are Justin Germano (0-1, 4.85 ERA) and Gosling (1-1, 16.20) - if, as manager Jerry Narron said Thursday, the Reds don't want to rush Homer Bailey.
(By the way, Bailey took over for Gosling and went 2 2/3 innings, allowing an unearned run on two hits. He struck out five and walked none.)
Again, we're certain Krivsky knows the starting rotation isn't going to get the Reds anywhere near the promised land.
But knowing that and fixing that are two different things.
Krivsky took over so late that all the good pitching had been gobbled up.
The Reds have a lot of spare parts. They have more viable candidates for second base than they have for starting pitching. But of the potential second basemen, Ryan Freel is the only one with much trade value.
They could trade Wily Mo Peña without hurting the offense too much and improve the defense in the process.
But not a lot of teams are willing to give up pitching. And neither Freel nor Peña is going to get you a No. 1 starter.
Heck, you'd have to package them together to get a No. 3, probably.
We're guessing Krivsky mentioned patience to the new owners. It looks like they're going to need a good deal of it this season.
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The Reds' neverending story hasn't changed; only the players have
This might be the most truthful line ever spoken from a reporter.
The Reds have a lot of spare parts. They have more viable candidates for second base than they have for starting pitching. But of the potential second basemen, Ryan Freel is the only one with much trade value.
or maybe this one:
It gets back to my fundamental belief regarding the future of the Reds organization.
The current core of good young talented position players will have to be shipped off to replenish one of the most barren farm systems in all of MLB.
There is no pitching at the ML level and aside from Bailey, who is a giant maybe and at least 2 years away, none in the minors.
In the hands of a competent front office there are plenty of valuable parts that can be used to rebuild the Reds. Or you can try and win in the short term by going on a spending spree to buy just an average pitching staff to compliment your current bumper crop of young talented position players.
You just cant keep trying to win as you rebuild. Pick a road and follow it but for the love of God do something. I can't take much more of the Reds as they are currently constructed.
I admire your optimisim.
I unfortunately am a realist and a realist is just an optimist who has been around for a while.
Harang is not now or ever will be an ace by any standard other than that of the pitching starved Reds. He's a #3 to almost any other club out there. If we had 4 more guys just like him we'd be in good shape. Bad part is that he is far and away our most talented pitcher and he's really just a slightly above average ML player.
Bailey has a ML caliber fastball and curve. He has no third pitch and no control. If he makes it at all he's more than likely headed for the pen or the middle of the rotation. He only seems like a phenom in our system, anywhere else he's just a young guy who throws hard but has a lot of work to do.
Coffey throws hard, I'll give him that. Problem is that physics dictate a higher velocity on the way to the plate equals more distance from the plate when he throws it down the middle and ML hitters crush it.
Germano and Chick were impressive all right but not in a good way.
In 49 IP with the Reds at AAA in '05, Germano gave up 62 Hits and 27 Runs.
In 144 IP of AA ball with both SD and Cin in 2005, Chick gave up 154 hits, 90 runs and walked 67.
If either one of those guys is what your building your hopes on I hope you handle dissapointment well.
They guys you mention as being pitchers of the future are all products of the tallest midget/smartest Hilton sister syndrome. They are really just average to slightly above average schmo's, but put them next to a gaggle fuck of other guys who have no business even playing professional baseball and viola...they look like Cy Young.