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QB CJ Stroud (All B1G, 2022 B1G QB of the Year, All-American, NFL OROY, Houston Texans)







Even though the last four games of 2021 shouldn't count in the Heisman voting; it is still an interesting comparison.

CJ was eliminated from all consideration for throwing for pretty good numbers in the snow

Bryce, meanwhile, stole Will Anderson's Heisman, and should have had zero TDs in regulation. thanks to endless heroics and actual consistently strong play in the iron bowl, he had a chance to redeem himself with one TD in regulation.
 
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Not to dwell on it too much, but Justin Fields' PE on 3rd down plummeted from 2019 to 2020 because the book was out on him: he didn't handle the blitz all that well. Not bashing, just stating a fact.

In 2021, CJ Stroud was #8 in PE on 3rd Down at 183.00.
So far in 2022 he is #1 at 276.60.

Part of the reason for the rise is because he is facing more blitzes on 3rd down, and he's murdering them.

So... Opposing DCs... NOW what are ya gonna do?
 
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At this point in the season last year, Stroud's PE was 162.665, 26th in the country.
His PE the rest of the way was 193.661, which brought him up to 186.562 for a #2 finish on the year.

After September this year, Stroud sits at #2 with a PE of 207.54 behind Max Duggan of TCU (who plays Brent Venables' Sooners on Saturday).

If CJ follows a 45 point improvement on his September numbers with numbers that exactly match what he did last year for games after September, he will finish with a B1G record PE of 197.101 (and a B1G record 52 touchdowns).

CJ has been averaging exactly 4 TD per game since the beginning of October last year. If he keeps that up and the Buckeyes play 15 this year, he will be the first B1G QB with 60 touchdowns in a season, and he will tie Barrett's career record at Ohio State.
 
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Not to dwell on it too much, but Justin Fields' PE on 3rd down plummeted from 2019 to 2020 because the book was out on him: he didn't handle the blitz all that well. Not bashing, just stating a fact.

In 2021, CJ Stroud was #8 in PE on 3rd Down at 183.00.
So far in 2022 he is #1 at 276.60.

Part of the reason for the rise is because he is facing more blitzes on 3rd down, and he's murdering them.

So... Opposing DCs... NOW what are ya gonna do?
All without the best WR in the country. It's incredible what this offense can potentially do if they get healthy.

Because even without their best skill player they're #1 in offense.
 
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At this point in the season last year, Stroud's PE was 162.665, 26th in the country.
His PE the rest of the way was 193.661, which brought him up to 186.562 for a #2 finish on the year.

After September this year, Stroud sits at #2 with a PE of 207.54 behind Max Duggan of TCU (who plays Brent Venables' Sooners on Saturday).

If CJ follows a 45 point improvement on his September numbers with numbers that exactly match what he did last year for games after September, he will finish with a B1G record PE of 197.101 (and a B1G record 52 touchdowns).

CJ has been averaging exactly 4 TD per game since the beginning of October last year. If he keeps that up and the Buckeyes play 15 this year, he will be the first B1G QB with 60 touchdowns in a season, and he will tie Barrett's career record at Ohio State.
And if he played more than 2 complete games per season need smash it. How hard would this numbers be to factor in that he doesn't play to games?
 
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Still #2 in the country in PE after an uncharacteristic performance on a windy day.

His PE on 3rd downs is 270.68.
The nearest B1G qb is Casey Thompson (Corn) with 170.09.
Tanner Morgan is 3rd at 152.72
Every other current starting qb is at 134.73 or less

To recap

Stroud’s 3rd down efficiency is > 100 points better than his closest B1G “competitor” and is more than DOUBLE that of all but two other B1G starting quarterbacks.

And 2 of his games have been sub-par by his standards
 
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Stroud’s Passing Efficiency FBS Rankings

Overall: #1

1st qtr: #2
2nd qtr: #11
3rd qtr: #5
4th qtr: insufficient attempts

1st dn: #24
2nd dn: #8
3rd dn: #1 by > 65 points
4th dn: insufficient attempts


Gap between CJ and #2 in 3rd down PE is over 65 points, nationally.

In the B1G, the gap between CJ and #2 is over 125 points.

Both of those are beyond ridiculous, 6 games into the season.
 
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