Let's look at the schedule.
DateOpponent / EventLocationTime / Result
09/01/12vs. Ohio
University Park, Pa.12:00 p.m. ET
09/08/12at Virginia
Charlottesville, Va.12:00 p.m. ET
09/15/12vs. Navy (Military Appreciation Day)
University Park, Pa.3:30 p.m. ET
09/22/12vs. TempleUniversity Park, Pa.TBA0
9/29/12at Illinois *Champaign, Ill.TBA
10/06/12vs. Northwestern (Homecoming) *University Park, Pa.12:00 p.m. ET
10/20/12at Iowa *
Iowa City, IA8:00 p.m. ET
10/27/12vs. Ohio State *
University Park, Pa.6:00 p.m. ET
11/03/12at Purdue *West Lafayette, Ind.TBA
11/10/12at Nebraska *Lincoln, Neb.TBA
11/17/12vs. Indiana *University Park, Pa.TBA
11/24/12vs. Wisconsin *University Park, Pa.TBA
I think they will have a hard time getting 5-6 wins.
OU won't be easy. Call it a win.
Virginia this is away but Virginia isn't very good. Win.
Navy is always tough but can't throw the ball that helps PSU. Win.
Temple at Philly. Very tough game they barely won last year. Loss
Illinois away. Loss
Northwestern. Loss
Iowa. away Loss
OSU Loss
Purdue away this looks like a good Purdue team. Loss
Nebraska away Loss
Indiana win
Wisconsin Loss
I'm seeing a 4-8 team.