To answer both posts, because there is a consistent pattern of losses regardless of coaches, players or location irrespective of uniform colors. In fact, location is the worst variable, for some reason we fare worse in Columbus and win more on the road. I have the highest of hopes to completely curb-stomp the Domers on Saturday, but we've had real issues with ranked non-conference opponents in the last 10-15 years or so. And regardless of uniform color, Marcus Freeman is going to do everything to win this game...I hope that doesn't matter and he goes back to South Bend knowing there is a wide gap between our programs, but if we give them a sliver of hope I think ND makes us sweat this game out.
I get your point that the 2022 team should in no way be affected by past results and frankly, ND is ranked #5 but on paper is down on talent to have that ranking imo. But I think we isolate our attention to the talent and progress of our own team with news updates, and don't account for the other team doing the same thing. ND is at least a top-25 team and should present a challenge. Nobody will revel more than me if we beat them by 30 points+, but I think we need to come in with managed expectations. If we win by that margin, I will be the first one to celebrate. I just don't think it goes down like that.