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Game Thread Game One: Ohio State 34, Miami of Ohio 14 (final)

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redhawk95 said:
miami 24
osu 19
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Baaaaaaa hhaaaaaa waaaaaa hhaaaaaa

Care to give a reason? Do tell what phase of the game Miami is superior such that we can expect Miami to put up 24 and OSU only 19. While you're at it, explain how OSU will even put up 19 at all, seems an odd number to choose. 2TD a Safety and an FG? 3 TDs with two missed xtras? Do tell.
 
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Here's a preview of tommorrow's game from a gambler's analysis.

I like both of these teams to improve this season, but Ohio State looks like one of the best teams in the nation this season after struggling through a rebuilding year with young talent in 2004. The Buckeyes will be better offensively this season after posting just average numbers last season, as they return 9 starters on that side of the ball – including 4 of 5 offensive lineman. Ohio State hasn’t had a consistently good rush attack since the days of Maurice Clarrett, but this year’s attack should be better than average on the ground (especially after scrambling quarterback Troy Smith returns to the lineup after serving his one game suspension in this game) with a few highly touted young backs running behind that good offensive line. Justin Zwick will get the start at quarterback in this game in place of Smith and Zwick proved himself with a good outing in the Buckeyes’ 33-7 bowl win over Oklahoma State. Zwick began last season as the starter and was plagued by inexperience around him and it wasn’t until the second half of the season (after Smith took over), that the Buckeyes found a receiving weapon in former DB Ted Ginn. Zwick posted average numbers in his 200 pass plays last season, averaging 5.6 yards per pass play against teams that would allow a combined 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback, but his bowl game rated higher and I expect Zwick to do a good job in this game against a mediocre Redhawks’ secondary. Miami-Ohio has a very good defensive front 7 by MAC standards, but they rated at 0.4 yards per rushing play worse than average on a national scale and should only be about average defending the run this season. Miami-Ohio does have a good offense, by any measure, as senior quarterback Josh Betts appears ready for a breakout season with an outstanding set of receivers to throw to, including Martin Nance, who caught 90 passes in 2003 but was injured after 4 games (25 receptions) last season. However, Betts and the Miami receivers aren’t as good as the Ohio State pass defense, which allowed just 5.0 yppp last year (against teams that would average 6.2 yppp against an average defense) and should be even better this year. The Buckeyes’ defensive front 7 rates among the best in the nation also and they should clamp down on Miami’s mediocre rush attack, making it hard for the Redhawks to move the ball consistently in this game. Overall, my ratings favor Ohio State by 18 ½ points in this game and I expect big things from the Buckeyes this season. However, beware of a possible lookahead for the Buckeyes with Texas coming up next week.
 
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