Do we have an answer for Wolfe?
Yes, an experienced D-Line and some senior LBs.
NIU has scored their share of upsets, but the 2006 squad won't be near as strong as some of the previous teams since 2003. On offense, NIU loses their star WR, Sam Hurd, and their #2 WR, Shatone Powers. The best returning WR, 3rd on the team in receptions and yards is Britt Davis, who began 2005 as the 3rd string QB. NIU also loses
four senior starters on the O-Line. That leaves one returning T on the O-Line to block for Wolfe, Doug Free, who is comparitively light at 276 lbs. Free is an outstanding player, and was considered their best pro prospect last season, but he can't make up for the loss of the rest of the line and the top two receivers on the outside.
Our DEs face tougher competition in practice.
Garrett Wolfe is a great RB, and Phil Horvath is a pretty good QB too, but there is no longer any experienced depth. NIU's #2 and #3 RBs, Adrian Davis and AJ Harris, have also graduated. They accounted for 30% of the teams' total carries in 2005. Subtract Wolfe's carries and Horvath's scrambles/sacks, and the back up RB stable is 70% of the rushing offense. Up and down the offensive depth chart, there appears to be nothing but a whole lot of Sophs to fill a ton of important roles.
Look, Michigan's defense has been nothing short of a train wreck that last several years -- we all know this. UM started a pretty green (and very bad) defense against a highly skilled NIU offense loaded with seniors last season. Garrett Wolfe busted loose and ripped off 175 yards against the Wolverines in the Big House. The result? UM coasted to a 33 - 17 win.
I have a great deal of respect for what Joe Novak has done with the NIU program. Taking his NIU squad to Tuscaloosa and beating Bama; getting Maryland to go to DeKalb and beating them; or going to Madison and very nearly upsetting an excellent Wisconsin team were all amazing accomplishments ... but this ain't 2003.
In any other year I'd be mildly concerned about a quality mid-major like NIU stealing an upset, but this year, heck no. 2006 OSU v 2006 NIU won't even be close.