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Florida 51, LSU 21 (Final)

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BB73

BB73

Loves Buckeye History
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Bookie
'16 & '17 Upset Contest Winner
The guys from Louisiana leave the state and find another Swamp.

Ricky-Jean Francois has been quoted as saying "If we get a shot at Tebow, we'll try to take him out of the game."

Nutria & Gatorubet: your thoughts?
 
On the last fourth down run attempt, it is extremely close and could go either way. Hester was hit in the backfield, and from the video angles, it looks like he almost doesn't make it, or gets a good spot. I remember watching this game last year and thinking the same thing, I wasn't on the field, so I can't say for sure. But it's pretty damn close, it just seems like his knee was down, but maybe the ball made it, I don't know.

Check the 3:32 mark. It's so close. It looks ike he makes the stretch, but his knee is behind the first down marker. Seems like the refs spotted the ball. This was a great game regardless.
 
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I think LSU is favored in this game, if I'm reading it right. The thing I'll be watching is the UF DL against the LSU OL. Charles Scott is a great back, runs down hill, and hard. If LSU can run with ease, they'll tie up the clock and wear down the Gator D with 3rd and managable conversions. I don't know who is starting at QB for the Tigers, Jarret Lee or Hatch? Anyway, UF has an explosive offense and can strike at any time, and the LSU DL is pretty stout so I expect to see short throws, screens, sweeps, and options from UF, they won't be able to power run like LSU will, if they can get their playmakers in space they'll have some big plays. UF can stay in this and if they don't give up any huge plays, on the other side I think UF will need big plays to win it, only in that they do not have a back that can pound it and grind yards when time needs to be ticked off the clock. But that is where the Urban Spread comes in and finds mismatches and space. This should be another classic.
 
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jmorbitz;1284297; said:
Wouldn't they be -6.5 then?

I don't know for sure, that's why I'm asking. I was under the impression that the home team, when favored, has a negative spread.
Click to expand...
A common notation for sports lines is to always write the points on the side of the visiting team.

LSU +6.5 at Florida means UF is favored by a TD.
 
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BB73;1284294; said:
Florida is favored. A team with a -# in the spread is the favorite, a team with a +# is the underdog.
Click to expand...

Thanks.

But just to ask, why wouldn't Florida just be -6.5? I'm just confused, I've tried reading about sports betting and other things before, no one has really ever explained it too me.
 
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BB73;1284168; said:
Ricky-Jean Francois has been quoted as saying "If we get a shot at Tebow, we'll try to take him out of the game."
Click to expand...
You don't tug on Superman's cape.
You don't spit into the wind.
You don't pull the mask off the ole Lone Ranger
And you don't mess around with Tim.

Da do da, da da do da do da ...
 
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Dryden;1284319; said:
You don't tug on Superman's cape.
You don't spit into the wind.
You don't pull the mask off the ole Lone Ranger
And you don't mess around with Tim.

Da do da, da da do da do da ...
Click to expand...

Even if I do got a two-piece custom-made pool cue?
 
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BB73;1284294; said:
Florida is favored. A team with a -# in the spread is the favorite, a team with a +# is the underdog.
Click to expand...

jmorbitz;1284315; said:
Thanks.

But just to ask, why wouldn't Florida just be -6.5? I'm just confused, I've tried reading about sports betting and other things before, no one has really ever explained it too me.
Click to expand...

A little more information:

What is a point spread and how is it set?
Contrary to popular opinion, the point spread is not the oddsmakers guess at the final margin of victory in a game. So if the Patriots are 10-point favorites to beat Buffalo, it doesn?t mean they project a 20-10 or 30-20 score.
The point spread is set by the oddsmaker ideally at a level where it is attractive to bet on either team. For example, those looking to bet Buffalo think the Bills have a decent chance of covering 10 points and Patriot backers feel confident that Tom Brady and gang can win by more than 10.
The sportsbook wants to have balanced action (roughly the same amount of money bet in the Bills as the Pats) so they can harvest their commission. This guarantees the book a profit on the game, which contrasts with a situation where 90 per cent of the bettors choose New England and they win. This is known as being over-exposed, which makes the sportsbook cranky (when they lose, lucky when they win).

How is the point spread set?
Oddsmakers use a combination of statistical and intangible factors in setting the point spread. They study the recent performances of each team, their relative strengths and weaknesses, their coaches, team power rankings and injury updates to set the number.
They also factor in public sentiment. If there is lots of hype around a team that makes a majority of bettors want to wager on them, the oddsmaker may nudge the line a bit higher. There is also the intangible experience of whether the line ?feels? right. This is strictly borne of experience and knowledge of the betting game and the tendencies of the betting public.
Once the point spread is set, the line may move once betting starts. If everyone is betting the Patriots at -10, then the oddsmaker will move the line to -10.5 or -11 to encourage more people to bet on the Bills. This is known as a line move and studying which way the line is moving ? and why ? can lead to betting profits as well.

What is a point spread and how is it set? | Pointspread.com
 
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