jlb1705;1618511; said:
Non-arbitrary? How can that be? Any means for determining who gets into a playoff is going to be just as arbitrary as the means for determining who plays for a championship in the current system. Furthermore, the resolution in a playoff becomes even more arbitrary the moment a team that had the seventh-best regular season lifts a trophy.
Sure, there's always going to be a degree of abitrariness in any system, but the point is that a playoff would result in a less arbitrary process. I've made this point before in similar discussions with BKB, but, IMO, there's just no question that this is the case.
Example. Suppose we have an 8-team playoff. You're saying it's arbitrary to leave out the 9th team and include the 8th team, and I agree that there is going to be some degree of arbitrariness there. But currently we're talking about leaving out the 3rd, 4th, and 5th teams. Those teams may, in any given year, have gone undefeated, perhaps even in a BCS conference. My point is that a 3rd place, undefeated BCS conference team has a MUCH more persuasive argument to make that they should have been given a shot at the championship than a team that finishes the season 9th in the BCS standings. I just don't think that's even open for debate.
I also understand that, on any given day, any team can beat any other team. But a championship system should, by its very nature, be designed to do the best job possible in determining who is likely the best team in college football. You've got to draw the line somewhere, and wherever that line is drawn there will be arbitrariness. But if that line is drawn so as to include all the undefeateds (particularly from BCS conferences), it is clearly, IMO, less arbitrary than one that simply takes the top two according to the BCS standings at the end of the regular season, everything else be damned.
And don't get me wrong. I do think the law of diminishing returns is at play here. By being overly inclusive, I think you invite arbitrariness into the process. That's why I think talk of further expanding the NCAA basketball field, for instance, is ridiculous. If you make a team win 9 games in a row to secure a championship, who here thinks that system is really going to be better at identifying the best team in college basketball than the 65 team field currently in place? Not me. It's asking a lot to make a team win 9 games in a row. I think 8 is a good number for college football. Just enough to guarantee that the conference champions and undefeated teams get a shot, but not so many that the regular season is basically ignored. Sixteen? Fourteen? Twelve? I dunno. Am I being arbitrary in throwing out the number 8? Sure. But not so arbitrary, IMO, as the system that currently selects our championship game.