we’ve been playing it for decades, but the strategy of the winners was to pretend they weren’t playing until we approached end game. We’re approaching end game now, it’s clear to all and sundry that we’re playing Risk. Whoever recognizes the concomitant change in the game first, wins
the above is something that we are already getting too much of… a glib oversimplification
The past is not as simple as just pretending you’re not playing.
The future is not as simple as just realizing the game is up and grabbing for pieces.
The past was made up of two conferences that held enough cards to pretend they weren’t playing and three teams that needed a different strategy to survive. The ACC has played that game better than the other two, their position is protected with poison pills for all members and special contract clauses with NoD.
But now that we’re approaching end game, they are left as the prey conference that is holding the morsels that the two predator conferences want the most. They are in a well defended position, but a brittle one. When one team bolts, the dam breaks.
The SEC probably wants Miami and Clemson… perhaps FSU and one other to get to 20. The B1G, whether we like it or not, wants NoD.
Both are hoping the other bites the poison pill first, because the instant someone does, someone else is going to say, “this is not the conference that I signed up for” and will challenge the payment of their poison pill clauses in court, or at least in arbitration.
The B1G has other teams tapping them on the shoulder saying, “can I play too”. The B1G responds, “come back later, kid, I’m busy”, and continues to pace back and forth in front of the cornered ACC.
The ACC is in this position because they have played the game better than the other two lesser conferences. They did that by facing the fact that they were lesser and that their members would be tempted to leave for greener pastures. They need to face reality again. If they wait too long, the poison pill clauses expire with the contracts they’re a part of, because their members will absolutely not sign new poison pill clauses right now, as much as the lesser schools might want them to. When the contract expires, they get nothing. They need to cut the best deal they can, while they can. That best deal is probably with the SEC, because they probably want more of their teams.
If Kevin Warren is smart, that’s what he’s waiting for..