Usually people provide reasons as to why they disagree. But I'll get the ball rolling as we seem to be treading water until this weekend for things to fall into place. Two reasons I can't see Az St passes us, thus their relative unimportance in the OSU getting into the NC scenerio. First, they already are ranked #4 in the computers, and are ahead of us (we are #6). If anyone loses ahead of them, both of us will advance, and so they won't gain anything. If Missouri loses, we would actually increase are current separation.
Second, we are ranked ahead of them in the human polls. It is very rare for the pollster to jump teams unless someone give them a reason. When we beat UM, the only response by Az St would be to beat USC. I don't see that being sufficient for the humans to jump us. Az St's last game is against Az, certainly not grounds for them jumping us.
So perhaps you could explain your hesitation regarding our safety in relation to Az St?