Gatorubet;1063165; said:
One comment. I was reading the next year's record thread, when I saw a consensus that you'd beat the piss out of several conference foes. Based upon past history, and the quality of your ball club, I'd agree.
For the record, and I know you're not calling me (or anyone else) out here, but my prediction of 13-0 was really more of a "Come on, it's January 8, 2008.. how can we know, I hope for the best" sort of thing and not an honest analysis.
That led me to thinking about a hypothesis that I've read in several articles, that being your team had not been "tested" by being behind several games by a score or two.
I don't have a ready answer, as my knowledge of Big-10 football is still more limited than the posters here who have watched it their whole lives, but I can say with absolute certainty that there is no team on the SEC schedule that I can take for granted, nor can any other SEC team. Even Vandy and Kentucky, who do not have the history of success (being kind) always give us fits. They beat LSU and Georgia this year. Vandy almost beat us numerous times. Vandy almost beat us our first MNC year in '96, and it took a bad first down spot giving us a first down to assure us the win.
Mississippi State has beaten us. Ole Miss has beaten us. Arkansas has almost beaten us numerous times. Now, you can point to the equality/parity as a sign of the SEC being overrated. I mean, how can we beat each other up? But I believe that it is not so much that as the fact that we have no "gimmies" in the conference. I mean, we do have teams that we should be the favorite, but we do not have teams where we can say that we should beat them by 30 or 40.
And I think that it is more of a mindset that we are always out of it - and always in it - that is a help in all of our games and especially when things got bad. I am saying, I guess, that it is not physical talent that gives us the edge, but a mindset that is not as rattled when things go bad, one because we always think that we can be beat, no matter our public chest thumping, which is sometimes opposite to what we know; and two because being behind is a common occurrence in our schedules. That may give us a light edge in close games.
Like any generality it is obviously not true in all cases, and all years, but I was honestly struck at the stated confidence of beating that many in-conference opponents by that many points.
I suppose I hit on this issue above with my comments on your other post, but more specific to the Big Ten I'd say the following....
There are a handful of team which I believe OSU pretty much simply has to throw their helmets on the field to beat. Indiana being one, Northwestern, Minnesota and Illinois (although that has now clearly changed).
But, that said, each of those teams has beaten OSU within the last several year save for Indiana. The Hoosiers last played OSU close in 1996. (28-17) At least as far as my memory goes.
But, Michigan State, Penn State, Purdue, Michigan, Wisconsin even Iowa are games in which I think us fans all "take seriously" to differing degrees and for various reasons.
Recently (the last 2 maybe 3 years) Ohio State has pretty much been in a class by itself in the B10. This will probably not last too much longer as teams get better and so on.... But, point is I would agree, I think, that OSU's relatively meager B10 competetion and lack of close games has hurt them when it's time to suit up and bang away with a National Power for all the marbles. Part of that, also, I think is a bit of a let down factor...
that is to say - against Florida Ginn takes the opening kick to the house and maybe some players think "Well, this will be easy" and this year, Wells takes it to the house and maybe they think "Well, they clearly can't stop us"
Maybe that's an excuse... but, I think there may be some psychology to it.