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Game Thread BCS Championship Game, tOSU vs. Florida - Jan 8th

I'm going to have to agree with you on that statement. I've been watching as many video highlights as I can of Florida and many of their defensive highlights are the result of the quarterback making awful decisions or just missing the guy he was throwing at. However, on offense I think their style may give us fits for awhile until we can adjust. All of the misdirection and running to the outside they do is exactly what has been successful against us this season (niu, texas and mich). I think our DBs will be able to stay with their recievers on passing plays but the end arounds and handoffs to harvin may cause problems. Like I said before though, I think this game will come down to Leak making a few mistakes in the second half and Troy will make him pay for them.
 
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I've finished my detailed analysis of schedule strength based on DSA and have posted it HERE.

I was prepared to post it no matter how it came out. It was compiled with no agenda whatsoever. The methodology was chosen before the results were known.

That being said; the Big 10 came out on top, with the SEC a close second.


One thing that I did not post there that I think should be stated here is this. BOTH CONFERENCES PLAYED CRAPTACULAR OOC SCHEDULES. It wasn't just the SEC. According to DSA, the SEC had the 9th worst OOC schedule of all conferences. The Big 10 was Dead Last. (there are 11 conferences)

Of course, DSA is impervious to schedule strength, as opponent strength is automatically factored into the numbers. I'll stand by that analysis to my dying breath. Or rather, I'll let people throw stones at it as much as they want and let the Bowls end the discussion.



IMHO, conference schedule strength is relevant in comparing the Big 10 and SEC; but it has no relevance whatever to this game. Only the schedule strength of the combatants is at issue there, reasonable Buckeye fans will concede the point to Florida. The Big 10 is a tough conference, but hey; we didn't have to play Ohio State now did we?

In OOC strength of schedule though, I'll just add the DSA numbers to what Dryden has already observed.


TEAM____________NCO DSC___NCO DYC___NCO ODSC___NCO ODYC
Florida_________1.0380_____1.0395___1.1508_____1.0239
Ohio State______1.2704_____1.1379___1.2899_____1.0300

National Rank
Florida____________70________49_______52__________58
Ohio State_________33________18________9__________52

Where:

NCO DSC = Non-Conference Opponents' DSC
NCO DYC = Non-Conference Opponents' DYC

NCO ODSC = Non-Conference Opponents' Opponents' DSC
NCO ODYC = Non-Conference Opponents' Opponents' DYC
 
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DDN

As Ohio's prep computer figures it, Florida's No. 1

By Mark Gokavi
Staff Writer

Friday, December 08, 2006
If you're still looking for the best matchup for the national college football title game, look no further.
I went to the masters of mythical math, the purveyors of power points, football figuring's finest ? the Ohio High School Athletic Association.
OK. I didn't call the OHSAA, but I used its computer ratings formula as motivation.
With a couple tweaks, I figured out how the top teams would fare in the system that is used to set the OHSAA playoffs.
Surprise! Not only is Florida-Ohio State the top matchup, the Gators are No. 1!
Turns out that strength-of-schedule thing really pays off in the Southeastern Conference.
So does the SEC title game. Without it, Florida would have been third behind OSU and Michigan.
For those Badgers supporters out there, forget it.
Wisconsin isn't in the top 10 and might not be in the top 15, had I not given up on doing the math after a dozen teams.
I'm not a real big fan of the Harbin ratings to pick playoff teams, but it has to be better than the Bowl Championship Series, right?
Well, the OHSAA ratings only get you to the playoffs, then you need three wins to make the state semis and five for a title.
I'm sure college presidents couldn't make any money from a system that included all the goofy low-level bowls and then national quarterfinals of Florida-Oklahoma, Southern California-Notre Dame, Michigan-Louisville and Ohio State-Boise State, etc.
Florida and Ohio State may be the nation's top two teams, but if we really followed the OHSAA's system, they'd get to prove it on the field.
If college football used Ohio's prep computer rankings 1. Florida34.7200 2. Ohio State32.1904 3. Michigan30.9197 4. USC30.2187 5. Notre Dame29.6202 6. Louisville29.5305 7. Boise State28.1729 8. Oklahoma28.0188 9. LSU25.9687 10. Auburn25.9127 Others schoolscalculated: West Virginia (25.1367) Wisconsin (23.6993)

Note: The basis of the formula is similar to the Harbin ratings. For this purpose, a win over a BCS conference school (and Notre Dame) was worth 6.0 points, another D-IA school 5.5 points, a D-I AA school 5.0 points, a D-II team 4.5 points and a D-I AA nonscholarship 4.0 points. The divisor was adjusted (nearly the same way the OHSAA does it) because most teams played 12 games but a few played 13. Your numbers may differ should you take the painstaking step of double-checking these.
 
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DaddyBigBucks;681934; said:
Only the schedule strength of the combatants is at issue there, reasonable Buckeye fans will concede the point to Florida.

Agreed. Just out of curiosity, were there a Big 10 Dream Team (an all-star team composed of the best of the Big 10) vs. its SEC counterpart--an all-star Dream Team--who do you think would come out on top?

Perhaps my bias blinds me, but I think the Big 10 Dream Team would win.
 
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I think this will come down to OSU's defense. I see Troy and the "O" taking care of business, but I think the real difference will be how fast our defense makes adjustments. And given that we were exposed a bit against scUM, I think our guys will be fired up with something to prove on their side of the ball. Look out Leak...here's come the Silver Bullets!
 
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In cyberspace, everyone can hear you suck ...

http://www.sportsline.com/columns/story/9858947

(It's a Mike Freeman article, so I debated even posting it. Oh well, we can all use a laugh).

Brady's bitter barbs will be sweet music to Urban's ears
By Mike Freeman
CBS SportsLine.com


If you are a fan of the Florida Gators, you should be in love with Tom Brady right now.

Send him flowers, give him a kiss, gently smack him on the ass.

Because he may have just helped your Gators win a national championship.

Just in case you missed it: The former Michigan quarterback, who believes Florida is about as talented as a jar of extra-thick mayonnaise, went gonzo bonkers on the team, blasting the Gators as a sucky, unworthy bunch of inferior Studebakers, the NCAA equivalent of the horse and buggy.

"Anyone who has seen (Florida) play realizes it is a no-brainer," Brady recently said, according to various media reports. "Florida is not very good. I watched the game (between Florida and Arkansas in the SEC title game) and that other (Arkansas) quarterback completed like three passes the week before. They have 18 guys out there throwing passes for Arkansas."

Wow. Just ... wow. Dude: Bitter much?

Brady is the best quarterback in football. He is a Hall of Famer. Surrounded by babes and D-cups and Lombardi Trophies. Fine. But do rings and gorgeous gems give Brady license to make such nonsensical and disparaging remarks about a championship-worthy team?

On Wednesday I asked former Florida basketball player David Lee, now starting for the New York Knicks, if he had heard Brady's remarks. He had not. I read him the quote. Lee quickly transformed from one of the more friendly people you will ever meet into Mr. Stone Face.

"Where did he go to school?" asked a rhetorical Lee. "Michigan, that's where. Tell Tom Brady to be quiet."

And Lee played basketball at Florida. Imagine what the football team thinks of Brady's remarks.

I have been told that Florida coach Urban Meyer is already preparing to use the Brady quote as a significant source of motivation for the team. In fact, among Gators players, the quote is spreading quickly. According to a source close to the program, as players began studying game film of Ohio State, some were already discussing what Brady said and were intensely angered by it.

"It should bother them," Lee said. "I know it would bother me if someone said that about Gator basketball."

Of course in such a huge game, what Brady says shouldn't matter. If you are a player for Florida and cannot muster enough motion and fury for this key moment in your athletic career, then you are among the walking dead.

Yet in college football, fervor matters. It is a far more passionate and gut-wrenching sport than the business-like NFL. The men who play it also listen to their head coaches more than the pros do; they buy into propaganda more easily.

It is not that college players are suckers. It is just how college works. It is how college has always worked. The power of manipulation and symbolism looms large on campus.

And there is not a better college coach in America than Meyer at pulling motivational ploys. He is the king of the Jedi mind trick, the hocus pocus shell game, the firing up of young minds. Obi-Wan Meyer.

Meyer is going to tell his team, over and over again, no one outside of north Florida wants the Gators in the title game. That everyone expects them to get bum rushed. So let's shock the world, he will say. He will play the Gators-vs.-the-universe card, using Brady as an ace of spades. Oh, will he play it.

And you know what?

He's right.

Brady and others should just quiet down, for goodness sake. The Gators earned this spot. More than that, they are there, it's over, decision made, goodnight. How about we all move along now? Nothing left to see here. Just play the game and shut up.

And before Ohio State fans start energizing their Pentium processors for an e-mail blitz accusing me of flagrant homerism, I am not a Gators backer. I despise some of the thin-skinned Gators fans and their e-mail harassment schemes. Not to mention the bully AD and his associate sidekick, as well as some of the Gators media sycophants in Jacksonville and Gainesville who are part troll and part suck-up.

Still, I hope the Gators win just so people can reflect on their positions about how Florida does not belong in this game and Michigan does, like there is some sort of ordaining process, like this is how the Vatican picks its Pope.

It's irritating seeing people act like Florida should be thankful, yes sir boss, thank you boss, can I can I get you anything boss for allowing me to sit at this table. Yes, sir, boss.

By the time Meyer is done, he will have so skillfully used Brady's bodacious words as an inspirational hammer, the team will think people are rooting against them somewhere in China.

His ability to get players to do his bidding is one of several reasons why I have long predicted that Meyer would win multiple national championships with the Gators. It is not that I have been a worshiper of Meyer; it is that I appreciate a coach who can bend the will of players with little resistance from them. Or without them even realizing it.

If you took DNA from Steve Spurrier, Lou Holtz and Bill Parcells and recombined it in a vat of genetic soup, you would get Meyer.

After all, we are talking about a man who while coach at Utah put BYU logos inside his team's bathroom urinals and tossed BYU jerseys on the floor so his players could walk over them.

He has created things like "The Pit" and "Hell Lifts" and a leadership council while at Florida. They're all designed to motivate and stimulate various aspects of Gator mind and body. Meyer has simply been brilliant as Florida's coach.

Now, it is Tom Brady who will be an easy target for Meyer's ploys.

So, Gators fans, get your thank you cards ready.

You are going to be deeply in lust with Tom-Tom come next month.
 
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Divine Genius embodied in the opposing Head Coach...

I've seen this movie before. How did it end again???

Oh yeah, the guys who are overconfidently accusing the Buckeyes (or their backers) of overconfidence end up embarrassed.
 
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BayBuck;682884; said:
Mike Freeman is still getting paid to write about sports, even though he is apparently unaware that games are played on the field, not off?

Wow. Just... wow.

I find it funny that he states something to the affect of "Hold on Buckeye fans, I'm not from Florida". I seriously doubt that anyone would accuse him of being "Pro-Fla" but rather "Anti-Buckeye". What a piece of shit.
 
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Link

Florida Gators return to practiceDecember 7, 2006

GAINESVILLE, Fla. (AP) -- Receiver Percy Harvin and safety Tony Joiner did not practice for Florida on Thursday because of injuries, but coach Urban Meyer said both are expected to play in the national championship game.
The only injured player Meyer isn't sure about yet is defensive tackle Ray McDonald, who hurt his elbow in the Southeastern Conference championship game last Saturday. Meyer said McDonald is probable for the game against No. 1 Ohio State on Jan. 8 in Arizona.

The Gators practiced Thursday for the first time since receiving a bid to the championship game on Sunday. Harvin is nursing a neck injury and Joiner has a sprained right ankle.

The Gators practiced without pads and didn't do much. They also had a team meeting before practice, Meyer said.

"We had a great meeting," Meyer said. "We talked about the game, we talked about the status of the country, and it was great to talk about that it's down to two. We had an excellent practice; we didn't do much. It's just exciting. Exciting for the University of Florida and exciting for our players."

The Gators also started working on a design for their Southeastern Conference champions ring Thursday. Meyer said he has put together a committee of players to work on it, but he has the final say.

Since it was announced that Florida was going to play for a national championship, Meyer's cell phone has been ringing off the hook. "I think we've gotten 760 ticket requests so far, my wife says," Meyer said. "I think every person I've ever played kickball with in second grade called and asked for tickets. That's been the most of it, a lot of congratulations though and a lot of former players."
 
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