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Handicapping the Heisman
By Richard Cirminiello
Collegefootballnews.com
Posted Nov 6, 2006
Can Troy Smith be caught? That?s the question on everyone?s mind as we enter the final turn on another regular season. The short answer? Of course.
However, it?s going to take an Ohio State loss to either Northwestern or Michigan for the senior to relinquish the lead he began building moments after leading the Buckeyes to a 24-7 win over Texas more than two months ago. That?s the cold reality in a year where support is going to be fractured among many candidates across the country, while Smith is likely to be the one contender that?ll find his way on to the majority of ballots. Out of reach? Not quite, but even after the front-runner played poorly in Champaign last week, if you want some Heisman intrigue next month, you ought to start learning the lyrics to Hail to Michigan.
The following ranking is not a personal opinion, rather a handicapping of how the contenders would fare if a vote was taken today.
1. QB Troy Smith, Ohio State ? Did Smith leave the door open for the competition by suffering through his worst game of the 2006 season against lowly Illinois? Probably not, but he did provide some fodder for those voters looking for a reason to champion someone other No. 10. Considering how well he?s played in 2006 and the cushion he currently enjoys, Smith gets a mulligan as long as the Buckeyes are winning.
Last Week: 13-of-23 for 108 yards and 1 INT ? 11 carries for 37 yards (Illinois)
This Week: at Northwestern
2006 Season: 158-of-237 for 2,006 yards, 22 TDs and 3 INTs ? 53 carries for 206 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Steady
2. QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame ? Another week, another sterling effort from Quinn against a less-than-stellar opponent. The senior has done exactly what he?s had to since the Michigan game two months ago, building up his numbers, winning six straight games and forging ahead as others fall by the wayside. If the Irish win out, including ending USC?s winning streak at the Coliseum, Quinn will do no worse than third place in this year?s Heisman vote.
Last Week: 23-of-35 for 346 yards and 4 TDs (North Carolina)
This Week: at Air Force
2006 Season: 216-of-338 for 2,579 yards, 25 TDs and 4 INTs ? 2 rushing TDs
Barometer: Steady
3. RB Mike Hart, Michigan - Where would the Wolverines be without Hart, the one constant in an otherwise flaky offense? Michigan has put the ball in the hands of its workhorse 259 times this year?most of any back in the nation?because he moves the chains, wears out defenses and never turns the ball over. Well, almost never. Hart?s fumble that led to a Ball State safety Saturday was his first in two years that was recovered by the opposition.
Last Week: 25 carries for 154 yards and 1 TD (Ball State)
This Week: at Indiana
2006 Season: 259 carries for 1,281 and 10 TDs ? 13 catches for 122 yards
Barometer: Steady
4. RB Ray Rice, Rutgers ? Faced with the exact same situation last Thursday, Steve Slaton fumbled away his opportunity to make up ground on the Heisman leaders. Rice hopes to do better this Thursday night with the entire nation focused on Rutgers and Louisville looking to preserve its No. 3 spot in the BCS rankings. If Rice is the reason that the BCS is thrown into a state of chaos Friday morning, he?ll soar into the top 3.
Last Week: Idle
This Week: vs. Louisville
2006 Season: 223 carries for 1,203 yards and 13 TDs
Barometer: Steady
5. QB Colt McCoy, Texas ? Stats. Check. Playing for a championship contender. Check. Playing quarterback or running back. Check. McCoy easily passes the Heisman eye test, but has just now begun to generate some chatter among the voters. Is it too late? To win, absolutely. To be a finalist, no way. With the field wide open behind Troy Smith and Brady Quinn, a strong finish could catapult the freshman to New York City in one of the biggest upsets of 2006.
Last Week: 23-of-29 for 346 yards and 3 TDs (Oklahoma State)
This Week: at Kansas State
2006 Season: 170-of-246 for 2.051 yards, 27 TDs and 4 INTs ? 62 carries for 180 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Rising
6. RB Steve Slaton, West Virginia ? The numbers suggest Slaton had a banner night against Louisville last week, but reality is singing a completely different tune. More than his 230 yards and gutsy effort with an injured wrist, what voters will remember about showdown with the Cards was that Slaton coughed up the ball twice in the third quarter to change the tenor of what had been a competitive game. His chances to win the Heisman have vanished, but with a quick rebound, he still could finish in the top 5.
Last Week: 18 carries for 156 yards and 1 TD ? 3 catches for 74 yards (Louisville)
This Week: vs. Cincinnati
2006 Season: 169 carries for 1,215 yards and 10 TDs ? 12 catches for 161 yards
Barometer: Falling
7. RB Marshawn Lynch, Cal ? A week of rest wound up being real good for Lynch, who returned from Cal?s bye week with a solid, 126-yard, two-touchdown effort in a 38-24 win over UCLA. When he wasn?t softening the Bruin front on the ground, he was providing QB Nate Longshore with one more weapon in the passing game. With no USC candidates to contend with for a change, Lynch should do very well in the Western region when votes are cast next month.
Last Week: 20 carries for 81 yards and 1 TD ? 4 catches for 45 yards and 1 TD (UCLA)
This Week: at Arizona
2006 Season: 152 carries for 988 yards and 9 TDs ? 23 catches for 261 yards and 4 TDs
Barometer: Steady
Heisman Contender of the Week
8. RB Darren McFadden, Arkansas ? If there was a doubt whether McFadden belongs in this discussion before the weekend began, he dismissed it with a career-high 219 yards and two touchdowns in front of a nationally-televised audience. With games still left against Tennessee, LSU and possibly Florida for the SEC championship, the ascending sophomore is still nowhere near his Heisman ceiling.
Last Week: 25 carries for 219 yards and 2 TDs (South Carolina)
This Week: vs. Tennessee
2006 Season: 167 carries for 1,038 yards and 10 TDs ? 7 catches for 109 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Rising
9. QB Colt Brennan, Hawaii ? No defense looks capable of stopping Brennan, who threw at least four touchdown passes for the seventh straight game on Saturday. He?s got the Warrior offense humming as well as it ever has in June Jones? eight years with the program, which is saying a mouthful. Brennan is on pace to smash David Klingler?s single-season record for touchdown passes against Oregon State, which could really resonate with undecided voters.
Last Week: 18-of-29 for 413 yards, 6 TDs and 1 INT (Utah State)
This Week: vs. Louisiana Tech
2006 Season: 248-of-340 for 3,347 yards, 39 TDs and 6 INTs ? 46 carries for 206 yards and 2 TDs
Barometer: Rising
10. WR Ted Ginn, Ohio State ? For the second consecutive week, Ginn was a non-factor in an Ohio State win, amassing just 68 total yards and no touchdowns in an uneventful afternoon. Barring a monster finish to the season against Michigan, he?s going to have an awful hard time convincing voters to put a pair of Buckeye offensive players on the ballot.
Last Week: 5 catches for 26 yards (Illinois)
This Week: at Northwestern
2006 Season: 49 catches for 637 yards and 7 TDs ? 1 punt return TD ? 1 TD pass
Barometer: Falling
Also Getting Votes .?. QB Pat White (West Virginia), WR Calvin Johnson (Georgia Tech), RB P.J. Hill (Wisconsin), RB James Davis (Clemson), QB Chris Leak (Florida), RB Ian Johnson (Boise State), QB JaMarcus Russell (LSU), QB John David Booty (USC), QB Chad Henne (Michigan), QB Erik Ainge (Tennessee), QB Brian Brohm (Louisville), RB Garrett Wolfe (Northern Illinois), QB Nate Longshore (Cal), QB John Beck (BYU) and QB Kevin Kolb (Houston)
Handicapping the Heisman
By Richard Cirminiello
Collegefootballnews.com
Posted Nov 6, 2006
Can Troy Smith be caught? That?s the question on everyone?s mind as we enter the final turn on another regular season. The short answer? Of course.
However, it?s going to take an Ohio State loss to either Northwestern or Michigan for the senior to relinquish the lead he began building moments after leading the Buckeyes to a 24-7 win over Texas more than two months ago. That?s the cold reality in a year where support is going to be fractured among many candidates across the country, while Smith is likely to be the one contender that?ll find his way on to the majority of ballots. Out of reach? Not quite, but even after the front-runner played poorly in Champaign last week, if you want some Heisman intrigue next month, you ought to start learning the lyrics to Hail to Michigan.
The following ranking is not a personal opinion, rather a handicapping of how the contenders would fare if a vote was taken today.
1. QB Troy Smith, Ohio State ? Did Smith leave the door open for the competition by suffering through his worst game of the 2006 season against lowly Illinois? Probably not, but he did provide some fodder for those voters looking for a reason to champion someone other No. 10. Considering how well he?s played in 2006 and the cushion he currently enjoys, Smith gets a mulligan as long as the Buckeyes are winning.
Last Week: 13-of-23 for 108 yards and 1 INT ? 11 carries for 37 yards (Illinois)
This Week: at Northwestern
2006 Season: 158-of-237 for 2,006 yards, 22 TDs and 3 INTs ? 53 carries for 206 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Steady
2. QB Brady Quinn, Notre Dame ? Another week, another sterling effort from Quinn against a less-than-stellar opponent. The senior has done exactly what he?s had to since the Michigan game two months ago, building up his numbers, winning six straight games and forging ahead as others fall by the wayside. If the Irish win out, including ending USC?s winning streak at the Coliseum, Quinn will do no worse than third place in this year?s Heisman vote.
Last Week: 23-of-35 for 346 yards and 4 TDs (North Carolina)
This Week: at Air Force
2006 Season: 216-of-338 for 2,579 yards, 25 TDs and 4 INTs ? 2 rushing TDs
Barometer: Steady
3. RB Mike Hart, Michigan - Where would the Wolverines be without Hart, the one constant in an otherwise flaky offense? Michigan has put the ball in the hands of its workhorse 259 times this year?most of any back in the nation?because he moves the chains, wears out defenses and never turns the ball over. Well, almost never. Hart?s fumble that led to a Ball State safety Saturday was his first in two years that was recovered by the opposition.
Last Week: 25 carries for 154 yards and 1 TD (Ball State)
This Week: at Indiana
2006 Season: 259 carries for 1,281 and 10 TDs ? 13 catches for 122 yards
Barometer: Steady
4. RB Ray Rice, Rutgers ? Faced with the exact same situation last Thursday, Steve Slaton fumbled away his opportunity to make up ground on the Heisman leaders. Rice hopes to do better this Thursday night with the entire nation focused on Rutgers and Louisville looking to preserve its No. 3 spot in the BCS rankings. If Rice is the reason that the BCS is thrown into a state of chaos Friday morning, he?ll soar into the top 3.
Last Week: Idle
This Week: vs. Louisville
2006 Season: 223 carries for 1,203 yards and 13 TDs
Barometer: Steady
5. QB Colt McCoy, Texas ? Stats. Check. Playing for a championship contender. Check. Playing quarterback or running back. Check. McCoy easily passes the Heisman eye test, but has just now begun to generate some chatter among the voters. Is it too late? To win, absolutely. To be a finalist, no way. With the field wide open behind Troy Smith and Brady Quinn, a strong finish could catapult the freshman to New York City in one of the biggest upsets of 2006.
Last Week: 23-of-29 for 346 yards and 3 TDs (Oklahoma State)
This Week: at Kansas State
2006 Season: 170-of-246 for 2.051 yards, 27 TDs and 4 INTs ? 62 carries for 180 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Rising
6. RB Steve Slaton, West Virginia ? The numbers suggest Slaton had a banner night against Louisville last week, but reality is singing a completely different tune. More than his 230 yards and gutsy effort with an injured wrist, what voters will remember about showdown with the Cards was that Slaton coughed up the ball twice in the third quarter to change the tenor of what had been a competitive game. His chances to win the Heisman have vanished, but with a quick rebound, he still could finish in the top 5.
Last Week: 18 carries for 156 yards and 1 TD ? 3 catches for 74 yards (Louisville)
This Week: vs. Cincinnati
2006 Season: 169 carries for 1,215 yards and 10 TDs ? 12 catches for 161 yards
Barometer: Falling
7. RB Marshawn Lynch, Cal ? A week of rest wound up being real good for Lynch, who returned from Cal?s bye week with a solid, 126-yard, two-touchdown effort in a 38-24 win over UCLA. When he wasn?t softening the Bruin front on the ground, he was providing QB Nate Longshore with one more weapon in the passing game. With no USC candidates to contend with for a change, Lynch should do very well in the Western region when votes are cast next month.
Last Week: 20 carries for 81 yards and 1 TD ? 4 catches for 45 yards and 1 TD (UCLA)
This Week: at Arizona
2006 Season: 152 carries for 988 yards and 9 TDs ? 23 catches for 261 yards and 4 TDs
Barometer: Steady
Heisman Contender of the Week
8. RB Darren McFadden, Arkansas ? If there was a doubt whether McFadden belongs in this discussion before the weekend began, he dismissed it with a career-high 219 yards and two touchdowns in front of a nationally-televised audience. With games still left against Tennessee, LSU and possibly Florida for the SEC championship, the ascending sophomore is still nowhere near his Heisman ceiling.
Last Week: 25 carries for 219 yards and 2 TDs (South Carolina)
This Week: vs. Tennessee
2006 Season: 167 carries for 1,038 yards and 10 TDs ? 7 catches for 109 yards and 1 TD
Barometer: Rising
9. QB Colt Brennan, Hawaii ? No defense looks capable of stopping Brennan, who threw at least four touchdown passes for the seventh straight game on Saturday. He?s got the Warrior offense humming as well as it ever has in June Jones? eight years with the program, which is saying a mouthful. Brennan is on pace to smash David Klingler?s single-season record for touchdown passes against Oregon State, which could really resonate with undecided voters.
Last Week: 18-of-29 for 413 yards, 6 TDs and 1 INT (Utah State)
This Week: vs. Louisiana Tech
2006 Season: 248-of-340 for 3,347 yards, 39 TDs and 6 INTs ? 46 carries for 206 yards and 2 TDs
Barometer: Rising
10. WR Ted Ginn, Ohio State ? For the second consecutive week, Ginn was a non-factor in an Ohio State win, amassing just 68 total yards and no touchdowns in an uneventful afternoon. Barring a monster finish to the season against Michigan, he?s going to have an awful hard time convincing voters to put a pair of Buckeye offensive players on the ballot.
Last Week: 5 catches for 26 yards (Illinois)
This Week: at Northwestern
2006 Season: 49 catches for 637 yards and 7 TDs ? 1 punt return TD ? 1 TD pass
Barometer: Falling
Also Getting Votes .?. QB Pat White (West Virginia), WR Calvin Johnson (Georgia Tech), RB P.J. Hill (Wisconsin), RB James Davis (Clemson), QB Chris Leak (Florida), RB Ian Johnson (Boise State), QB JaMarcus Russell (LSU), QB John David Booty (USC), QB Chad Henne (Michigan), QB Erik Ainge (Tennessee), QB Brian Brohm (Louisville), RB Garrett Wolfe (Northern Illinois), QB Nate Longshore (Cal), QB John Beck (BYU) and QB Kevin Kolb (Houston)
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