• Follow us on Twitter @buckeyeplanet and @bp_recruiting, like us on Facebook! Enjoy a post or article, recommend it to others! BP is only as strong as its community, and we only promote by word of mouth, so share away!
  • Consider registering! Fewer and higher quality ads, no emails you don't want, access to all the forums, download game torrents, private messages, polls, Sportsbook, etc. Even if you just want to lurk, there are a lot of good reasons to register!

2006 BCS, polls, Bowl Predictions and computer ratings

Link

USC is real, Irish are not

Published September 18, 2006


If this past Saturday was "Showdown Saturday," this Saturday could be called "Somnolent Saturday."

Frankly, this week looks to be the worst of the season. (Of course, what that probably means is that two or three heavyweights will suffer inexplicable losses.)

Anyway, what did we take from "Showdown Saturday"?

USC is to be feared. The Trojans are extremely young. But they're also extremely fast and extremely talented. Trojans Coach Pete Carroll: "We're just getting going. We're just getting started. It's exciting." Well, maybe for him. Certainly not for the rest of the Pac-10.

Notre Dame was overrated. The defense was exposed by Michigan. And QB Brady Quinn sure looked human -- Ron Powlus-esque, even. As for Charlie Weis? He and his staff were outcoached by Lloyd Carr and his staff. That has to make Irish fans shudder. But give Carr credit: He revamped his staff in the offseason, asking for more aggression on both sides of the ball. That sure showed in South Bend. (Worth noting: That was Weis' third loss at home in his tenure.)

Auburn sure can play defense. The Tigers might not be the biggest defense around, but, man, they're quick. They swarm to the ball, then knock the snot out of you. It helped their cause Saturday that LSU QB JaMarcus Russell was, as usual, inconsistent, but Auburn won that game more than LSU lost it. You still have to wonder about Auburn QB Brandon Cox, though.

The Big 12 came up short in big games. Nebraska was spanked by USC. Texas Tech was shut down by TCU. Oklahoma got robbed at Oregon (more on that later). The only league teams worthy of the top 20 are Texas and Oklahoma.

Louisville is a legit BCS contender. No, Miami isn't what it used to be -- not close. (The 'Canes think stomping on another team's logo is going to restore the swagger? Weak.) But the Cardinals still manhandled them, even without star RB Michael Bush. And star QB Brian Brohm had to leave in the third quarter with a thumb injury. The Louisville defense played much better than expected, and the Cards put more consistent pressure on UM QB Kyle Wright than the 'Canes did on Brohm and backup Hunter Cantwell. The Nov. 2 West Virginia-at-Louisville game just got even bigger.

TCU is a threat to go 12-0. So is Boise State, so expect talk to commence about the Broncos and Horned Frogs "crashing" the BCS party. Boise's biggest test may be Sept. 30 at Utah. TCU's may be Oct. 5 at Utah. In other words, if the Utes want to make sure they remain the only non-BCS league team to make the BCS, they'll need to take care of business in consecutive weeks. Obviously, a huge advantage for TCU is that Utah will have just four days to prepare before their game.

The ACC is mediocre. Virginia loses at home to Western Michigan. Miami gets hammered at Louisville. North Carolina State loses by 20 at Southern Miss. Maryland was routed by West Virginia on Thursday. For the second week in a row, visiting Troy threw a scare into a homestanding ACC team (this week, it was Georgia Tech; last week, it was FSU). North Carolina was lucky to beat Division I-AA Furman. Boston College had to go to double-overtime to outlast BYU.

Coming up big

Maybe some BCS-league schools are going to rethink this "We'll play a I-AA team and rout them on our way to becoming bowl eligible" thing.

This week, it was Southern Illinois beating Indiana 35-28, marking the fourth time this season a I-AA has beaten a BCS-league team. It has happened to Big Ten teams twice, as Northwestern (to New Hampshire) was a victim last week. The other two: Colorado (to Montana State) and Duke (Richmond).

There were five I-A non-BCSers that beat BCS-league teams Saturday: TCU over Texas Tech, Southern Miss over North Carolina State, Western Michigan over Virginia, Tulane over Mississippi State, Navy over Stanford. For the season, it's eight I-A non-BCSers with victories over BCS-league teams.

Western Michigan's win was the second week in a row a Mid-American Conference school went on the road and beat an ACC team. Last week, Akron won at NC State.

Grid bits

Georgia has posted two shutouts in a row, blanking South Carolina, then UAB. There's tremendous potential for three in a row with punchless Colorado coming in this week. The last time Georgia posted two shutouts in a season was 1980. That's also the last time the Bulldogs won a national title. The Bulldogs' defensive coordinator is Willie Martinez, a former UCF assistant. Another former UCF assistant who oversees a good defense is Gene Chizik at Texas.

Pardon Oklahoma Coach Bob Stoops if he wants to get rid of instant replay now. His team was on the bad end of a call late last season against Texas Tech on the game-winning touchdown. Saturday, his team was on the bad end of two calls late in the game against Oregon -- one on an onside kick, another on an interference call -- that directly led to the Ducks' miraculous 34-33 come-from-behind win. The replay sure seemed to show that an Oregon player touched the ball before it went 10 yards on an onside kick -- but the refs didn't see it that way. Then, the replay sure seemed to show that Oklahoma DE C.J. Ah You tipped a pass at the line of scrimmage, which meant the interference call on OU FS Darien Williams should have been waved off -- but the refs didn't see it that way. "I don't want to say nothing right now because I'm kind of heated," Sooners QB Paul Thompson told The Oklahoman of Oklahoma City.

Born to Lose: Temple has lost back-to-back games 62-0. Last week, it was Louisville doing the honors. Saturday, it was Minnesota. Temple has been outscored 133-3.

Born to Lose II: Utah State as been outscored 106-7. Not surprisingly, the Aggies are 0-3.

The weirdest schedule this season has to belong to Air Force. The Falcons didn't play the first week of the season, lost by one at Tennessee in the second week, then were off again Saturday. Now, though, Air Force plays 11 weeks in a row, finishing off the season on Dec. 2.

Games of the Week

3. Penn State at Ohio State, 3:30 p.m., ABC (WFTV-Ch. 9): Penn State was shredded by Notre Dame two weeks ago. Can the Nittany Lions' defense improve quickly enough to make the Buckeyes work for their points?

2. Arizona State at California, 3:30 p.m., Fox Sports Net: Who's the third-best team in the Pac-10? This will tell.

1. Notre Dame at Michigan State, 8 p.m., ABC (WFTV-Ch. 9): Michigan State rolled up 533 yards in ripping Pitt on Saturday. What has to be scary for Notre Dame is that Pitt's cornerbacks and linebackers are superior to Notre Dame. But the Irish offense is miles better than Pitt's, and Michigan State's defense is mighty shaky.

A Final Thought: Hey, JaMarcus Russell: On the last play of the game, throw the ball into the end zone.
 
Upvote 0
AJC

Tony?s Top 10* (*BCS not included)

By Tony Barnhart | Monday, September 18, 2006, 09:56 AM
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
The first BCS Standings won?t be released until Oct. 15, but based on the first three weeks of the season here are the Top 10 in the TB Standings.* (And no, it doesn?t stand for Totally Bogus.*)
1: Ohio State (3-0): I had Auburn No. 1 in preseason Top 25 in the AJC. But when a team marches into Texas and dominates the way the Buckeyes did on Sept. 9, they deserve some props.
2: Auburn (3-0): That 7-3 win over LSU was one of the most intense games I?ve ever seen. The Tigers won?t see a defense better than that unless it?s Florida, who comes to Jordan-Hare on Oct. 14.
3: USC (3-0): Thought the Trojans might dominate Nebraska but they just looked like a very good football team. They will not be challenged again until Nov. 11 vs. Oregon.
4: Florida (3-0): Looks like the Gators have found themselves a running back in DeShawn Wynn and that?s big. All four guys on their defensive front will be playing on Sunday.
5: West Virginia (3-0): Speed, speed, speed. The team that wins the West Virginia-Louisville game on Nov. 2 is going to be undefeated. But will that be good enough?
6: Michigan (3-0): Lloyd Carr is a very good football coach. Always has been. He shook up his staff and now the Wolverines are playing with some fire.
7: Georgia (3-0): Don?t look now but this could be the best defense Georgia has had in the Mark Richt era. If the Bulldogs don?t have any injuries in the offensive line, this team could have a special year.
8: LSU (2-1): The best one-loss team in America. Can?t wait until the Tigers go to Florida on Oct. 7.
9: Texas (2-1): There is still a lot of talent in Austin. This team is very capable of going 12-1 and winning the Big 12 title again.
10: Louisville (3-0): The scary thing is: How good would this team be WITH Michael Bush? Got to get quarterback Brian Brohm back for West Virginia on Nov. 2.
 
Upvote 0
osugrad21;610463; said:
Tony?s Top 10* (*BCS not included)
...
6: Michigan (3-0): Lloyd Carr is a very good football coach. Always has been. He shook up his staff and now the Wolverines are playing with some fire.
Phil Fulmer 'shook up his staff.' Larry Coker really 'shook up his staff.' Lloyd Carr hired replacements for two guys that went on to coach in the NFL. :roll1:
 
Upvote 0
This week, it was Southern Illinois beating Indiana 35-28, marking the fourth time this season a I-AA has beaten a BCS-league team. It has happened to Big Ten teams twice, as Northwestern (to New Hampshire) was a victim last week. The other two: Colorado (to Montana State) and Duke (Richmond).

This writer missed one more: 1-AA Portland State beat New Mexico in week 1. That's 5 wins for 1-AA over 1-A, compared to 2 all of last year.
 
Upvote 0
First Master Coaches Survey Released today:

http://mcspoll.com/poll.htm

1 Ohio State (15) 423 -
2 USC (1) 400 -
3 Auburn (1) 396 -
4 West Virginia 363 -
5 Florida 336 -
6 Michigan 321 -
7 Georgia 316 -
8 Texas 306 -
9 Louisville 298 -
10 LSU 292 -
11 Virginia Tech 263 -
12 Oregon 220 -
13 Iowa 211 -
14 Notre Dame 209 -
15 TCU 161 -
16 Tennessee 149 -
17 Oklahoma 119 -
18 Boston College 111 -
19 Florida State 105 -
20 California 104 -
21 Arizona State 80 -
22 Clemson 70 -
23 Nebraska 69 -
24 UCLA 55 -
25 Georgia Tech 24 -
 
Upvote 0
I wonder how this will look on Oct 15th when the first BCS poll comes out. Right now there are massive changes as teams lose and win. I think the pollsters are still finding their feet.
:osu:
 
Upvote 0
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=2593499

Problem at polls: Top 25 redone because of bad ballot
Associated Press

CHARLOTTE, N.C.
-- Boston College moved into sole position of the No. 20 ranking in The Associated Press Top 25 on Monday, after the poll was recalculated to fix a mistaken ballot.

The revised poll breaks a 20th-place tie between Boston College and Arizona State, dropping the Sun Devils into the No. 22 ranking behind California.

Poll voter Ken Tysiac of The Charlotte Observer said he mistakenly sent his Sept. 10 poll ballot, rather than his Sept. 17 ballot, to The AP on Sunday.

"I cut and pasted the wrong file, the previous week's file, into the e-mail that I sent to the AP," Tysiac said Monday, shortly after submitting the correct ballot.

Even though the only change was in the order of the Nos. 20, 21 and 22 teams, AP sports editor Terry R. Taylor said the poll was recalculated to maintain its integrity.

"While we normally do not allow votes to be changed, it was clear in this case that an outdated ballot had been inadvertently submitted and we simply allowed the correct ballot to be substituted," she said.

Tysiac said Observer readers caught his mistake after the paper published his ballot, as it does each Monday during college football season. He said several readers e-mailed to ask why he had Notre Dame ranked ahead of Michigan, despite the Wolverines' 47-21 victory at South Bend, Ind., on Saturday.

"So I went back and checked the record of what I sent," he said. "That's when I realized, 'Oh, crud ? '"

It is the first time in memory that The AP has re-issued a college football or college basketball poll to correct such a mistake.

Retabulating the poll with Tysiac's intended ballot broke a 20th place tie between Boston College and Arizona State, who each had 384 points in the original poll. Boston College now has 393 points, while Cal has 386 points (up from 383) and Arizona State remains at 384 points.

Cal and Arizona State won't remain so closely bunched for long. The Golden Bears host the Sun Devils this Saturday.
 
Upvote 0
SI

Seeking separation

Ranking top teams is no easy task after eventful week

Posted: Tuesday September 19, 2006 12:13PM; Updated: Tuesday September 19, 2006 1:16PM

Hmm. I'm not sure "Separation Saturday" accomplished its stated goal. If you're capable of discerning separation among the top six teams on this list, you clearly have better eyesight than I (which would be quite impressive considering, thanks to LASIK, I'm 20-15).
While the bonanza of meaningful games last weekend did create some sense of hierarchy in the rankings, distinguishing among the teams at the top is still quite difficult. Is a 7-3 victory in the SEC (Auburn over LSU) more or less impressive than a 28-10 victory out West (USC over Nebraska)? Was Michigan that good or Notre Dame that bad? And does a 31-7 victory over Miami validate Louisville's greatness or Miami's ineptness? It's all in the eyes of the beholder.
Fortunately, I feel pretty good about my eyes.
NCAA Football Power Rankings Rank LW
Team 1 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0)
All aboard the James Laurinaitis bandwagon. The Buckeyes' budding star followed up his Texas performance with a game-high nine tackles, a sack and an interception against Cincinnati. If he keeps this up, he'll be a Butkus candidate -- with a name that's just as hard to spell as Posluszny.
Next game: Saturday vs. Penn State. 2 4 Auburn Tigers (3-0)
Holding LSU (the same team that put up 40 on Miami in the Peach Bowl and 45 in its first two games) to three points was one of the more impressive defensive displays in recent memory. If anyone can run the table in this year's insanely tough SEC, it's Kenny Irons and that Tigers D.
Next game: Saturday vs. Buffalo. 3 3 USC Trojans (2-0)
The Trojans have set the bar so high in the past few years that after beating a top 20 team (Nebraska) 28-10, my reaction was, "Eh -- I expected more." Not that LB Rey Maualuga didn't do his part; the sophomore star-in-the-making notched a game-high 11 tackles in his first start.
Next game: Saturday at Arizona. 4 9 Michigan Wolverines (3-0)
Following the Notre Dame win, a TV reporter presumptively asked LB Shawn Crable how it felt to finally make it out of September undefeated (something the Wolverines haven't done since 1999). Hey, I think they'll beat Wisconsin and Minnesota too, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Next game: Saturday vs. Wisconsin. 5 5 West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0)
Hope you got to see the Steve Slaton show against Maryland the other night (or at least the first quarter), because I have a feeling he and his team are about to disappear from the limelight for a while. WVU's next four games: East Carolina, Mississippi State, Syracuse and Connecticut.
Next game: Saturday at East Carolina. 6 8 Florida Gators (3-0)
Tailback DeShawn Wynn chose quite the occasion to break out with a 22-carry, 104-yard night. "We found a tailback," declared Gators coach Urban Meyer. Between Wynn, Tim Tebow and Percy Harvin, Florida's offense suddenly has a lot more weapons than it did this time a year ago.
Next game: Saturday vs. Kentucky. 7 7 Texas Longhorns (2-1)
The Longhorns ran the ball early and often (43 carries, 330 yards) in their 52-7 rout of Rice, presumably because they could. But wouldn't you think they'd want to take advantage of what was essentially a glorified scrimmage to give QB Colt McCoy more than eight pass attempts?
Next game: Saturday vs. Iowa State. 8 6 LSU Tigers (2-1)
As well as Auburn played defensively Saturday, LSU played better. The Bayou Bengals, led by ferocious DT Glenn Dorsey, allowed only 182 total yards, including just 2.8 yards a carry to star RB Kenny Irons. They still got the L, but I was impressed enough to keep them in the top 10.
Next game: Saturday vs. Tulane. 9 10 Oregon Ducks (3-0)
It's hard to believe now that QB Dennis Dixon was considered a question mark coming into the season. Dixon, who went 26 of 41 for 341 yards, two TDs and two INTs against Oklahoma, is still more mistake-prone than Kellen Clemens, but his running ability (six carries for 34 yards and a touchdown on Saturday) makes him more dangerous.
Next game: Sept. 30 at Arizona State. 10 11 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0)
Georgia's defense has already posted consecutive shutouts (against South Carolina and UAB) for the first time in 26 years. Saturday it faces an 0-3 Colorado team that's averaging 7.7 points per game. Make it three? "I don't see a weakness," UAB coach Watson Brown said of the Dawgs' D.
Next game: Saturday vs. Colorado.
 
Upvote 0
Link

Ohio State takes the No. 1 spot at the quarter turn

s.gif

Posted: September 21, 2006


We were so giddy and giggly at the mere thought of it all. No clear leader, no one team to chase -- pure pandemonium.

And Ohio State had to go and ruin it.
It took the Buckeyes all of three weeks to become the undisputed lead dog in a national title race that had looked deliciously crowded and convoluted. (As for our preseason pick, Notre Dame? Pfffffffft.) We're a quarter of the way into the season, and there's one thing even more unexpected than a male voice on The View: No one is beating Ohio State. At least not in the regular season.
"They have very few flaws," says Texas safety Michael Griffin.
Damn Buckeyes. Make that damn Big Ten. As September winds down and October brings key conference games, there is no more disappointing league. Forget about Michigan or anyone else in the Big Ten sideswiping this train. Not only is Ohio State clearly the elite of the league, the Buckeyes have one other key component to a championship run: a coach who knows how to win a big game.
This is a players game. But when the talent gap is minimal, when there is no real difference in speed and athleticism, you better have a guy in a headset who knows what he's doing.
One of the most overlooked factors in the game today: When all things are equal -- and sometimes when they're not -- no one is a better big-game coach than Jim Tressel.
Pete Carroll looks like a genius with all that talent at Southern California. Mack Brown validated his elite status riding Superman Vince Young. Tressel? He won a national title with Craig Freakin' Krenzel.
The guy can flat-out coach in big games -- in games that matter. In five-plus seasons in Columbus, he's 3-0 in BCS bowl games and 4-1 against bitter rival Michigan. One of those BCS wins (Miami, 2002) was against the most talented college football team in the past two decades.
And now Tressel has superstar quarterback/Heisman Trophy front-runner Troy Smith. He has wideout Ted Ginn, the game's most exciting player. He has Gonzo and Beanie and Antonio Pittman and a "revamped" defense that 100-some other Division I teams would trade theirs for.
He also has -- after winning yet another big game two weeks ago at Texas -- an incredibly easy road to the national title game. The Big Ten schedule includes road tests at Iowa (did you watch the Iowa-Syracuse game?) and, and . . . that's it. The Buckeyes get Penn State in Columbus on Saturday, don't play occasional thorn Wisconsin and finish up at home against Michigan.
Don't even start, Blue Boy. For the Wolverines to win The Game, Lloyd Carr would have to outcoach Tressel. And that ain't happening.
"He's not a loud, look-at-me kind of coach," says Cincinnati coach Mark Dantonio, the Buckeyes' most recent victim, of Tressel. "What he has done there and what he can do kind of gets lost in that."
Until, that is, he ruins our party.
 
Upvote 0
Back
Top