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LGHL You’re Nuts: Who will be the “surprise” team in the Big Ten this season?

You’re Nuts: Who will be the “surprise” team in the Big Ten this season?
justingolba
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


Purdue v Iowa

Photo by Matthew Holst/Getty Images

For the first time in a few years, there isn’t a consensus preseason “favorite” to win the Big Ten conference.

The Ohio State Buckeyes and Cincinnati Bearcats tip off in a charity exhibition game in 35 days at Fifth Third Arena, raising money to assist young people and their families with mental health struggles. You can read more about that game here.

Just over two weeks later, the Buckeyes will try to wrangle the Longhorns from the University of Texas in the season opener in Las Vegas. That’s all to say that the season is sneaking up on us pretty quickly now as the summer turns to fall.

Last week, Connor and Justin debated which of the four outgoing Ohio State transfers would have the best season at their new school. 37% of the readers picked Scotty Middleton, who is now at Seton Hall. That was the most popular pick, and was also Justin’s choice.

27% of the readers picked Michigan Man Roddy Gayle, which was Connor’s choice. 25% of the readers picked Felix Okpara (Tennessee), and the remaining 11% picked Bowen Hardman (Akron).

After 169 weeks:

Connor- 81
Justin- 68
Other- 16

(There have been four ties)


While there isn’t a Big Ten media poll out yet (looking at you, Adam Jardy), there’s a general consensus of who the top four-ish teams will be in the conference this season — Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, and UCLA. When the “unofficial” poll does come out in a few weeks, there will probably be a handful of teams getting first-place votes, followed by a wide range of teams the rest of the way down the standings of the now 18-team conference.

Without having printed “predictions” from many people, our basketball writers are both picking a Big Ten team they think will surprise people this season — for good reasons or otherwise.

This week’s question: Who will be the “surprise” team in the Big Ten this season?


Connor: Iowa


The Iowa Hawkeyes have not been to a Sweet Sixteen in a quarter century now, and I’m not convinced that this season will end that horrendously unfortunate streak of mediocrity. However, I’m not seeing very much optimism by national writers about this Iowa team, and I think there probably should be.

To start, Iowa is bringing back the guy who is most likely to win Big Ten Player of the Year this season, 6-foot-7 forward Payton Sandfort. Sandort finished eighth in the conference in scoring last season at 16.4 points per game, which is also second-highest among returning players behind only Minnesota’s Dawson Garcia. Sandfort shot 37.9% from three-point range last season, and his 2.8 three-point makes per game was the most in the Big Ten. He’s tall, athletic, can rebound, and can shoot the crap out of the ball.

Fran McCaffery’s squad also returns sophomore center Owen Freeman, who averaged 10.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game last season in just under 23 minutes per game. The 6-foot-10, 230-pounder was splitting time with Ben Krikke at center, but there’s no longer a platoon at that spot, and Freeman should play extended minutes now.

Iowa also brings back junior guard Josh Dix, who averaged 8.9 points per game last year but really got into a groove towards the end of the season, averaging 13.7 points per game over the final nine games of the year. This includes three consecutive 20+ point games against Illinois, Penn State, and Northwestern in late February and into early March. Dix shot 42% from three last year but did not attempt very many, instead settling around the elbow and free throw line and hitting quite a few mid-range jumpers.

On top of that talented trio, Iowa lucked out a little bit with the home only and away only assignments. The Hawkeyes will not travel to Indiana, Purdue, or Michigan State this season — three venues that are not kind to visitors. The general hope is that you play the best teams only on your court, and you go play the worst teams only on their court. Iowa can’t complain with how their Big Ten schedule panned out at all.


Justin: Rutgers


Rutgers is an intriguing team to take for this because they are one of the most interesting and hyped teams coming into the season, but that doesn’t always translate to wins, at least immediately.

The Scarlet Knights look very different from last year, which is something fans are embracing. The two main figureheads of the change are the pair of top-five recruits, Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper. Harper is the younger brother of Rutgers legend Ron Harper Jr., and both players are expected to be two of the top freshmen and overall players in the conference.

However, Rutgers will need more than the dynamic duo of freshmen to win games in a tough conference, and that is where the transfer portal and the questions come into play.

Returning to the Scarlet Knights from last year’s team are only three players: Jeremiah Williams, Emmanuel Ogbole, and Jamichael Davis.

Aundre Hyatt, Noah Fernandes, Austin Williams, and Oskar Palmquist ran out of eligibility and pursued professional options. Derek Simpson went to St. Joseph’s, Antonio Chol went to Howard, Mawot Mag went to BYU, Clifford Omoruyi went to Alabama and Gavin Griffiths went to Nebraska.

The Scarlet Knights brought in their fair share of talent from the transfer portal. Zach Martini came in from Princeton, Tyson Acuff came in from Eastern Michigan, Jordan Derkack came in from Merrimack and PJ Hayes came in from San Diego, along with Harper and Bailey.

Martini, Acuff, and Derkack are all talented mid-major players who should be able to advance to the Power Five level. If they can help Harper and Bailey, they can be a top-five team in the Big Ten.



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LGHL Vegas now sees Ohio State as the most likely team to make the CFP

Vegas now sees Ohio State as the most likely team to make the CFP
Matt Tamanini
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch

Barbara J. Perenic/Columbus Disp / USA TODAY NETWORK

However, they might be so likely to make the playoff that it might not be worth the wager.

No, Ohio State doesn’t play a football game this weekend, but that doesn’t mean you have to sacrifice your competitive instincts until they return to the field on Sept. 21 against the Marshall Thundering Herd. Instead, maybe put a little bit of money on the Buckeyes to do some special stuff this season.

Today, we are going to take a look at where OSU sits in some of the most entertaining futures bets with FanDuel Sportsbook, the largest online sportsbook in America.


College Football National Championship Odds


Let’s start with the biggie, the national title! Last week when we looked at these odds from DraftKings, the Buckeyes were at +400, now FanDuel — clearly the more intelligent and plugged-in sportsbook — has the team at +350. That means that if you bet $100 on Ohio State to win the CFP and they do, you will get $350 in profit ($450 in total, including your original bet).

Perhaps the difference in line is just a different opinion between the sportsbooks, added confidence following OSU’s shutout of Western Michigan, or another chaotic week across college football, but the Buckeyes are not the only team to see better odds on FanDuel heading into Week 3.

The Georgia Bulldogs are currently at +270 as of the writing of this article, but last week, DraftKings had them at +280. Not as big of a jump as OSU’s, but a jump nonetheless. Perhaps the most relevant difference between the books and weeks for Big Ten fans is Oregon’s drop from +750 odds to +1100. The Ducks have struggled in their first two games, and Vegas has started to take notice. While they are still in the top five, that position seems tenuous at best. If they don’t look good against the rival Oregon State Beavers in the Civil War this weekend, they could plummet even further.



College Football Playoff Berth Odds


Likely reflecting the underwhelming week that the Big Ten had last Saturday, OSU has shot up to the most likely team to make the College Football Playoff. At -850, in order to win $100 by betting on the Buckeyes to make the CFP field, you would have to wager $850. While I think the chances of Ohio State making the top 12, it might not be worth the risk.

Last week, DraftKings had OSU at -650, but FanDuel (again, the far wiser and more insightful of the big online sportsbooks) clearly understands how good the Buckeyes are. UGA remained steady at -750, meaning that Ohio State simply dumped them, going from second to first place.

You will notice some shifting in the rankings, with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish falling from third place last week to a tie for 16th following their loss to Northern Illinois. Then, the Texas Longhorns jumped from fifth (at -260) to third at -600.



Ohio State Regular Season Win Projection


SMASH THIS ONE! You bet $162 to win $100 if Ohio State goes 12-0 or 11-1. I don’t see how the Buckeyes loses two games this regular season, so I would jump on this one immediately.



Big Ten Championship Odds


First off, can we talk about one of my sports media pet peeves? The conference headquartered in Chicago, the one that Ohio State belongs to, the one that just added four West Coast schools is called the “Big Ten,” not “Big 10.” It is a proper noun, you don’t need to follow any style rules that say that a number 10 or higher should be written in numerals. Big Ten is the name of the conference, there is no excuse to ever reference the league’s name as “Big 10.”

That being said, the Buckeyes are the prohibitive favorite to win the Big TEN.



Heisman Trophy Odds


You love it when you see an Ohio State legend at the top of the Heisman odds, and that’s what we’ve got here with Quinn Ewers leading at +500. When you add Will Howard into the mix at +2000, you have to love where the Buckeyes sit for the most prestigious prize in the sport.

But if you really want to get spicy, true freshman wide receiver Jeremiah Smith is currently coming in at +7500. All you have to do is bet $100 and if J.J. wins the Heisman, you profit $7,500. That’s a pretty darn good bet for a guy who has looked this good through his first two games of collegiate football.



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LGHL MC&J: The Big Ten’s Wisconsin and Purdue look to upset non-conference opponents in Week 3

MC&J: The Big Ten’s Wisconsin and Purdue look to upset non-conference opponents in Week 3
Brett Ludwiczak
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 07 South Dakota at Wisconsin


Plus, predictions for all the other games this week involving Big Ten teams.

Last week ATS: 10-8 (3-3 National, 7-5 B1G)

Season ATS: 23-18 (6-5 National, 17-13 B1G)


Like our first week of the season, it’s hard to be upset with a winning week. Of course it would have been great if Arkansas covered in overtime against Oklahoma State after that game was close. Other than that bad beat, there was a lot to be happy with when it comes to our picks last week.

Hopefully even more winners are on tap this week.


B1G games


No. 4 Alabama (-15.5) v. Wisconsin - 12:00 p.m. ET - FOX

You have to wonder if Luke Fickell wishes he was still at Cincinnati. Even though the Badgers are 2-0 so far this season, they have looked very mediocre, beating Western Michigan and South Dakota by 14 points each.

The problem is Fickell and offensive coordinator Phil Longo seem hellbent on throwing the football, and that’s not who Wisconsin is. Miami transfer Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for just 406 yards and a touchdowns in his first two starts in Madison.

Imagine the murmurs we would be hearing from Tuscaloosa if the Crimson Tide didn’t score 28 points in the fourth quarter of their 42-16 win against South Florida last week. Obviously Alabama is loaded with talent, they just aren’t going to be quite the same buzzsaw this year as we saw while Nick Saban was in charge. Not saying Kalen DeBoer won’t be successful as Saban’s successor, it is just going to take some time to put his stamp on the team.

I wonder if Fickell was holding a lot back in the first two games since he knew his team could beat their first two opponents without revealing much to the Crimson Tide. While I’m not bold enough to predict the Badgers pulling the upset, they’ll at least provide some resistance in this game. Camp Randall Stadium will be rocking, providing the home team with a little extra juice to keep this contest within two touchdowns.

Alabama 31, Wisconsin 21



Arkansas State v. No. 17 Michigan (-23.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network

Michigan lost a lot from last year’s title team, most notably their cheating coordinator Connor Stalions, and it is showing. After the Wolverines were curb-stomped by Texas in their own building last week, it is looking like Michigan is heading towards three or four losses this season.

This won’t be one of those games they lose, though. Sherrone Moore’s team takes out some of their frustrations on Arkansas State on Saturday.

Michigan 44, Arkansas State 13



Central Michigan v. Illinois (-19.5) - 12:00 p.m. ET - Peacock

Central Michigan just lost to Florida International 52-16 in a game where quarterback Joe Labas threw five interceptions. Now imagine what the Fighting Illini are going to do to Labas and the Chippewas.

In last week’s impressive win over Kansas, Illinois forced the Jayhawks into four turnovers. The offense of the Fighting Illini still has some work to do but quarterback Luke Altmyer is starting to form a connection with former UTSA and Ole Miss wide receiver Zakhari Franklin, who had nine catches for 99 yards last week in the win.

Illinois shouldn’t have a problem winning this one by at least three touchdowns.

Illinois 38, Central Michigan 10



No. 9 Oregon (-16.5) v. Oregon State - 3:30 p.m. ET - FOX

This game not being a conference matchup and being played in the middle of September and not the end of November is going to be really weird to me. Even though Oregon hasn’t looked great to start the season, the only thing that matters is they are 2-0.

Last week the Ducks edged a Boise State team that has the potential to make the College Football Playoff as the top Group of Five team. Dillon Gabriel has only missed on 11 of his 70 pass attempts this year, so he has been extremely accurate even though the majority of his throws are shorter passes.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 07 Boise State at Oregon
Photo by Brian Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

This is definitely a season of change for Oregon State. Gone are most of their conference mates, their head coach, quarterback, and much more. Even with all the losses, the Beavers have handled their business in their first two games of the season. Last week Oregon State went on the road and shutout San Diego State 21-0.

Will Oregon State win this game? No. What the Beavers will do is add to some of the frustrations of the Ducks by keeping Oregon from running away with this game. The added motivation of Oregon State at playing their in-state rival who moved on to greener pastures will help the Beavers at least cover here.

Oregon 38, Oregon State 28



No. 18 Notre Dame (-9.5) v. Purdue - 3:30 p.m. ET - CBS

Purdue must be excited to start their 2024 season. I’m not counting their season opener against Indiana State since the Boilermakers weren’t challenged at all in the 49-0 win. Then last week Purdue had a bye week since I guess the schedule makers thought they needed to mentally refocus after the clash with the Sycamores. Hudson Card was outstanding in the opener, completing 24 of 25 passes for 273 yards and four touchdowns.

I bet Notre Dame wishes they had a bye last week. Instead, the Fighting Irish were beaten in South Bend by Northern Illinois. After defeating Texas A&M, Notre Dame probably felt like they were a lock for the playoff. Now the Fighting Irish can’t afford to lose another game, while Marcus Freeman is feeling his seat getting hotter by the second.

One thing about Notre Dame, they at least are familiar with dealing with comical losses under Freeman. I actually think the Fighting Irish rebound a bit this week. The defense gets after Card since they know they don’t have to worry too much about Purdue running the football. Notre Dame should end up winning this one by at least 10 points.

Notre Dame 31, Purdue 17



Washington State v. Washington (-4.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - Peacock

We are going to get a real good idea of how good Washington is this week. After feasting on cupcakes Weber State and Eastern Michigan to start the season, the Huskies will see the competition ramp up when they square off with their rival in Seattle at Lumen Field. I do like what Jedd Fisch has cooking on offense with quarterback Will Rogers and running back Jonah Coleman. Add in a stout defense and the Huskies could make some noise in their first Big Ten season.

After Cam Ward transferred to Miami, Washington State has turned to John Mateer at quarterback. So far this season Mateer has thrown for six touchdowns and added two more on the ground. As excited as the Cougars are after last week’s win over Texas Tech bumped their record to 2-0, I think the Huskies are a little more complete team than the boys from Pullman.

Washington heads into their first Big Ten game next week with a 3-0 record.

Washington 28, Washington State 20



Nevada v. Minnesota (-16.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network

Nevada actually hasn’t been too bad to start the season, pushing SMU and Georgia Southern to the limit with a win over Troy sandwiched in between those loses. Minnesota was able to boost quarterback Max Brosmer’s confidence with an easy 48-0 win over Rhode Island last week.

The Golden Gophers are still having some problems running the football, so I’m not comfortable laying this many points against a Nevada team that has been playing tight games to start the season.

Minnesota 27, Nevada 14



Prairie View A&M v. Michigan State (-40.5) - 3:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network

Since I saw a line for this game I have to pick it. Michigan State found something with the connection between Aidan Chiles and Nick Marsh in last week’s win over Maryland. The Spartans continue their early season improvement under new head coach Jonathan Smith with an easy win over Prairie View A&M.

Michigan State 56, Prairie View A&M 7



Troy v. Iowa (-22.5) - 4:00 p.m. ET - FS1

Maybe Iowa should put Kirk Ferentz back on suspension since things went so well with Ferentz at home in the season opener. Last week the Hawkeyes were in control of El Assico before Iowa State mounted a second half comeback. Running back Kaleb Johnson has been a beast for Iowa in the first two games, cracking 100 yards in both contests, including 187 yards against the Cyclones last week.

Troy has struggled to find their footing in their first two games, losing to Nevada and Memphis following Jon Sumrall moving on to Tulane after last season. I know Iowa has had their problems offensively, but I think the Hawkeyes will wear down the Trojans in this one. Much like in their opener, Iowa pulls away in the second half and puts last week’s loss behind them.

Iowa 37, Troy 10



Indiana (-3.5) v. UCLA - 7:30 p.m. ET - NBC

Would you have thought two weeks ago that Indiana would be a favorite in this game? The Hoosiers are loving life under new head coach Curt Cignetti, winning their first two games by a combined score of 108-10. Running the offense is Ohio transfer quarterback Kurtis Rourke, while Justice Ellison is doing work on the ground, rushing for 185 yards and two scores in the first two games.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 06 Western Illinois at Indiana
Photo by James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

UCLA was underwhelming in their season opener at Hawai’i. New head coach DeShaun Foster and the Bruins had last week off following the 16-13 win over the Rainbow Warriors. If UCLA wants to have any shot of winning this game, they’ll need to run the football better this week. After running for over 800 yards last season, T.J. Harden only was able to gain nine yards on nine carries in the opener.

Despite their struggles against Hawai’i, I still like UCLA in this game. Indiana’s wins came against two really weak opponents, and they’ll be having to make the trip out west to take on a team that’ll want to impress in their first Big Ten game. I really think this is a game that isn’t decided until late in the fourth quarter. In the end, UCLA wins by a field goal.

UCLA 27, Indiana 24



Northern Iowa v. Nebraska (-28.5) - 7:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network

Much like Michigan State’s game earlier this week, I’m only picking this one because I saw a line for it. Normally, I wouldn’t look too hard at FCS v. FBS matchups. Nebraska has handled their business so far this season, and Kurt Warner ain’t walking through that door for Northern Iowa.

Huskers roll in this one.

Nebraska 51, Northern Iowa 10



Eastern Illinois v. Northwestern (-24.5) - 7:30 p.m. ET - Big Ten Network

Can Northwestern even score 24 points? The Wildcats are also making a change at quarterback, so their already awful offense could somehow get even worse. Eastern Illinois has a little better time this week than they did in their opener against Illinois when they lost 45-0.

Northwestern 27, Eastern Illinois 7



Maryland (-2.5) v. Virginia - 8:00 p.m. ET - ACC Network

This battle between former ACC foes could end up being a wild one. Maryland looked like they were heading towards 2-0 before Michigan State mounted a comeback last week to beat the Terrapins 27-24. A little later on Saturday, Virginia erased a second half deficit against Wake Forest to beat the Demon Deacons 31-30 to run their record to 2-0 this season.

One of the best receivers in the country this year has been Maryland’s Tai Felton, who has caught 18 passes for 330 yards and three touchdowns through the first two games. The Terps have needed Felton to be huge since they haven’t been able to run the football with Roman Hemby, but at some point Hemby is going to start breaking some runs.

Not that I watch a ton of Virginia football, it’s just whenever I check in on the Cavaliers it seems like quarterback Anthony Colandrea is an adventure. Sometimes Colandrea is doing some big things, while others he is making some dumb mistakes. Despite their loss to Michigan State last week, I just feel like Maryland is the smarter and safer team in this one.

Maryland 38, Virginia 31

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LGHL Ohio State men’s basketball player preview: John ‘Juni’ Mobley Jr.

Ohio State men’s basketball player preview: John ‘Juni’ Mobley Jr.
justingolba
via our friends at Land-Grant Holy Land
Visit their fantastic blog and read the full article (and so much more) here


Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch

Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK

Mobley brings in immediate minutes and lethal three-point shooting to Columbus as a impact freshman.

Even though it is September and fans are locked into college football, the fall also means that college basketball is right around the corner.

From now until the start of the hoops season in early November, we will be doing player previews and team previews for all the players on the men’s basketball team and the new-look Big Ten Conference.



The John Mobley Jr. File

Name:
John (Juni) Mobley Jr.
Position: Guard
Class: Freshman
High School: Bishop Gorman / Wasatch Academy High School
Hometown: Reynoldsburg, Ohio
Weight: 175
Height: 6-foot-1


Breakdown


Mobley is one of the more interesting players on the 2024-25 team. He is entering the program along with fellow incoming freshman Colin White, and Mobley is the higher-ranked recruit of the two.

Mobley was a four-star recruit, ranked No. 43 in the class by the 247Sports Composite and was named “The Sniper” in the 2024 Class Superlatives by 247Sports. He transferred to Wasatch Academy prior to his senior season and averaged 21.5 points, 5.4 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 2.0 steals per game, leading the Tigers to a No. 8 national ranking.

He excelled against elite competition as the second-leading scorer in the Nike EYBL Scholastic league in 2024 after averaging 19.9 points per contest and was named Utah’s Max Preps High School Basketball Player of the Year. Following that trend, he played for Vegas Elite over the summer of 2024 and was one of the stars at the Peach Jam. In 15 games in the Nike EYBL, he averaged 13.5 points, 2.1 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and shot 47 percent from the floor, including 39 percent from three-point range.

Prior to Wasatch Academy, he averaged 20.1 points, 4.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 2.0 steals per game as a junior at Bishop Gorman. As a sophomore, he also led them to a 30-1 record and a 5-A state runner-up appearance after averaging 15.5 points, 2.0 assists, and 2.0 steals.


Expected Role


As mentioned above, the injury to Taison Chatman makes Mobley’s role more elevated immediately, as Mobley is likely the main backup guard heading into the season.

Bruce Thornton and Meechie Johnson are the two starting guards for Ohio State entering next season, and they will both play heavy minutes as veterans on the team. They will both likely play 30-34 minutes per game, but the Buckeyes will still need someone to step in and play the minutes that Thornton and Johnson are on the bench.

Ohio State also brought in Ques Glover to help the guard depth, but he is coming off a knee injury that saw him miss the entire 2023-24 season. He has not played competitive basketball in almost two years, so it is hard to tell what he will bring to the team.

Mobley is an incredible shooter and scorer, and will benefit from playing early in his career. The Buckeyes lost Jamison Battle, Scotty Middleton, and Bowen Hardman to the draft and transfer portal, and Juni Mobley will help pick up the slack.

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