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Year-to-Date Schedule vs. Remaining Games

DaddyBigBucks

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Bookie
Jax made a great point in the MSU game thread. I think this deserves a thread of its own, and I'll enlarge on it a little.

His point was that the defenses that we face the rest of the way are no where near as good as the defenses that we've faced up to now. The numbers look like this.

Opponents______TOTAL DEFENSE____SCORING DEFENSE
YTD_______________352.84_______________20.83____
Remaining__________408.28_______________28.30____
ALL_______________378.04_______________24.23____


That is dramatic. Our offensive numbers should go up significantly over the rest of the year even if we don't improve dramatically. Now let's compare those numbers to the offenses that we face this year.

Opponents______TOTAL OFFENSE____SCORING OFFENSE
YTD_______________445.53_______________34.88____
Remaining__________439.97_______________30.07____
ALL_______________443.01_______________32.69____

This is absolutely incredible. It is entirely possible that NO OSU DEFENSE EVER has faced a schedule like this.

Folks, if we did not have an incredible defense, this could be 1987 (or worse) all over again.
 
It's never as bad as it seems, nor is it ever as good as it seems. To read the MSU game thread would make someone think this OSU team is 0-6.

The reality is that the Bucks are sitting at 4-2, have played the most difficult portion of their schedule, lost the two games that many of us pointed to expecting them to lose one or both anyway; yet still they're poised to run up the record to 8-2 with a fitting end to the season in a road trip to Ann Arbor and a probable trip to a BCS bowl on the line.

For crying out loud, this can still be a 10-win team!

What's wrong? Simple. They've lost 10 fumbles and thrown 3 interceptions. They turn the ball over more than two times per game, which will result in losses against good teams every single time, and OSU has played very good teams (#3 ranked SOS according to Sagarin). The QBs (yes, both of them) have committed critical game-ending fumbles on final drives. The backs and receivers have failed to catch the game winning TD. The PR and KR units have failed to setup the offense with good field position. The P and K have missed kicks at critical times in big games.

It's a team game.

Last year, everyone lamented that the team couldn't get 200-yards of total offense. Now this team has posted 375+ on four of their six opponents and that's not good enough. The team has jumped 27 spots in total offense against last season despite having played one-half of their games against teams that rank in the Top-20 nationally in most major defensive statistical categories, such as rush D, total D, and scoring D. The team has jumped 32 places is rush offense against last season, 15 places in pass offense, 11 places in scoring offense, and 32 places in passing efficiency!

The Bucks put up almost 400-yards of offense against MSU despite only having the ball for 19 minutes! The Bucks out drove the Spartans with touchdown drives of 80, 80, 76, and 19 v. 84, 80, and 4.

This offense left at least 10 points on the field against Texas, 14 against Iowa, and spotted PSU 7 points on a short field. MSU was given 7 on Santonio's muffed KO return.

Bottom line ... ball security, decision making, execution. I'll take an ugly win over a pretty loss everytime, and the teams that have lined up across from the Buckeyes this season have had a lot to do with the outcomes of these games.
 
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Dryden said:
It's never as bad as it seems, nor is it ever as good as it seems. To read the MSU game thread would make someone think this OSU team is 0-6.

The reality is that the Bucks are sitting at 4-2, have played the most difficult portion of their schedule, lost the two games that many of us pointed to expecting them to lose one or both anyway; yet still they're poised to run up the record to 8-2 with a fitting end to the season in a road trip to Ann Arbor and a probable trip to a BCS bowl on the line.

For crying out loud, this can still be a 10-win team!

What's wrong? Simple. They've lost 10 fumbles and thrown 3 interceptions. They turn the ball over more than two times per game, which will result in losses against good teams every single time, and OSU has played very good teams (#3 ranked SOS according to Sagarin). The QBs (yes, both of them) have committed critical game-ending fumbles on final drives. The backs and receivers have failed to catch the game winning TD. The PR and KR units have failed to setup the offense with good field position. The P and K have missed kicks at critical times in big games.

It's a team game.

Last year, everyone lamented that the team couldn't get 200-yards of total offense. Now this team has posted 375+ on four of their six opponents and that's not good enough. The team has jumped 27 spots in total offense against last season despite having played one-half of their games against teams that rank in the Top-20 nationally in most major defensive statistical categories, such as rush D, total D, and scoring D. The team has jumped 32 places is rush offense against last season, 15 places in pass offense, 11 places in scoring offense, and 32 places in passing efficiency!

The Bucks put up almost 400-yards of offense against MSU despite only having the ball for 19 minutes! The Bucks out drove the Spartans with touchdown drives of 80, 80, 76, and 19 v. 84, 80, and 4.

This offense left at least 10 points on the field against Texas, 14 against Iowa, and spotted PSU 7 points on a short field. MSU was given 7 on Santonio's muffed KO return.

Bottom line ... ball security, decision making, execution. I'll take an ugly win over a pretty loss everytime, and the teams that have lined up across from the Buckeyes this season have had a lot to do with the outcomes of these games.
I get yelled at sometimes when I say this...but it's what a truely believe, so i'll say it anyway. Who cares if we win 8 games, or win 10 games...a winning season is a MUST, but all that matters after that is beating scUM. If you don't beat scUM you can't EVER win a NC, and you likely won't win the Big 10 either. I could care less how many games we win at this point...just beat scUM.
 
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I get yelled at sometimes when I say this...but it's what a truely believe, so i'll say it anyway. Who cares if we win 8 games, or win 10 games...a winning season is a MUST, but all that matters after that is beating scUM. If you don't beat scUM you can't EVER win a NC, and you likely won't win the Big 10 either. I could care less how many games we win at this point...just beat scUM.

i care because if we get BCS births it brings in recruits which later on beat michigan not to mention we keep our pride as a top program. im not one of those people that focuses on michigan the whole year. im taking it one game at a time and if we beat them yippee but im more focused as to where the team needs to go as opposed to where michigan needs to go. plus we could still get into a NC game if we lost to michigan on a one loss season. big rivalry but its never been my focal point. id rather see us in the national championship game at 13-1 after getting beat my michigan by 50+points than go 6-6 and walk all over michigan.
 
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unless every other team in the country has at least two losses, we would never make it to the NC game after getting beat badly by scUM. I would rather we didnt lose any games, but beating tsun is the no.3 goal every year. first, NC, second, win big 10, third beat those mofos up north.
 
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BB73 said:
I place the goals in this order:

1 - Win the NC
2 - Beat scUM like a drum
3 - Win the Big-10 title
4 - Win a bowl game
My thinking as well...If we somehow lost to scUM, but still went to the national championship and won (THIS WILL NEVER HAPPEN) then i'd be happier than beating scUM and not winning the national championship, but only slightly, because we'd still have lost to them, and i'd have to listen to all the scum fans all year...so it would still suck.

Unless of course we beat scUM and go to the national championship and lose. If we win all our regular season games, and lose the NC...to me that is just as good of a season as losing to scUM and winning the NC. We'd have the same record...and the NC wouldn't nearly be as sweet with a loss to scUM...but if we lost in the NC...then we would still have won the Big 10 and had an undefeated regular season.

BUT IT DOESN'T MATTER!!!!!! Because we would NEVER win a NC while losing to scUM. The only way I could ever see this happening is if both scUM and tOSU are undefeated going into the game, and we lose a close one, and then play scUM again in the NC game...that would be pretty sweet. The other way would be if we get rid of the BCS and go to a playoff system...which would also be pretty sweet...as long as it's done right (which it wouldn't be...no forget it being sweet).

So, in conclusion...since we have to beat scUM to win the NC...my #1 goal is beating scUM. :)
 
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Funny, I was just screwing around with the same data.

Here is Top 24 AP Poll YTD Defense Scoring...


Tennessee 17.2
Texas Tech 18.7 ***
Florida St. 20.28
Ohio St. 20.83
West Virginia 21.05
Alabama 22.08
Florida 22.62
LSU 22.76
Penn St. 23.6
Virginia 23.98
Michigan 24.5
Georgia 24.8
Notre Dame 25.1
Virginia Tech 25.4
Oregon 25.6
TCU 26.1
Miami (Fla.) 26.3
Michigan St. 27.3
Boston College 28.4
Texas 28.7
UCLA 28.8
Southern Cal 28.9

*** I only used 3 teams for Texas Tech since they played schools not listed in Division 1, so their number should be further down the list.
 
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