Wake Forest 9, Georgia Tech 6 (final)

[Buckeyeskickbuttocks]

The ACC... We raided the Big East... we became the Big Least

 

[DaddyBigBucks]

DSA

Differential Statistical Analysis for the Wake Forest - Georgia Tech game:

Quick Explanation (skip if you're familiar with DSA):​

DSA provides a pair of predictions for a game based on statistics. If the predictions were good for anything other than discussion, I wouldn't post them here, but would rather keep them a closely guarded secret and use them to make lots of money. In short, this is "For Entertainment Purposes Only".​

The first step in DSA is to find each teams Differential Offense and Differential Defense. Differential Offense (Defense) is how well you do offensively compared to your opponents' average defense (offense). It is expressed as a percentage.​

As an example, USC's Differential Total Defense (DTD) is 86%. This means that USC hold teams to 86% of their average Total Offense. By comparison, USC's Differential Scoring Defense (DSD) is 75%, indicating that they hold teams to 75% of their average Scoring Offense.​

The second step of this two-step process is to multiply each team's average offense by the other team's differential defense; and to multiply each team's average defense by the other team's differential offense. This gives two sets of predictions for the game.​

The Numbers

GT Yards: 328 - 335
WF Yards: 259 - 275

GT Points: 18 - 18 (both methods predict 18 points)
WF Points: 18 - 19


Other Factors

Factors affecting the numbers this week include:

• Schedule Strength:
  • GT played Georgia and Notre Dame
  • WF played UConn, Syracuse, Ole Miss
  • Advantage GT
• Momentum
  • GT is coming off a tough loss to their rival.
  • Advantage WF?
• 3rd Down Performance
  • GT Offense: 38.46% -- 60th in the NCAA
  • WF Offense: 36.36% -- 75th in the NCAA
  • GT Defense: 32.04% -- 20th in the NCAA
  • WF Defense: 34.39% -- 38th in the NCAA
  • Advantage GT

Note: All numbers, with the exception of 3rd down performance, were calculated after all games involving Div. IA and Div. IAA teams have been factored out for every Div. IA team.

 

[BB73]

Same old Reggie Ball so far.

It's 3-3, with 6 minutes left in the third.

 

[Buck88]

Go Wake! Drop ND!

 

[sandgk]

Me: This is the worst high school game I've seen in a long while.
The Wife: They are just trying to wean us off good football.
Both: When do the good games start?

 

[SanAntonioBuck]

Reggie Ball is putting put Mike Vick numbers in the passing game...

7 for 21, 87 yds, 0 tds, 1 int.

 

[The Man]

Reggie Ball has gotten progressively worse throughout his career. Imagine the #'s Calvin would have with a average QB. Wow.

 

[sandgk]

128 total yards for Wakey

Go Satanic Church Helpers, Go Insects?

Where is the puking emoticon?

This is a Championship game?

 

[The Man]

This is a Championship game?

in name only. These two teams are horrible.

 

[sandgk]

[sarcasm]yeah 6-6 - it's a new game!!
anyone for checkers?[/sarcasm]

 

[BB73]

There they go! Wake hits a bomb - first down on the 12, 5 minutes left.

 

[HailToMichigan]

I'd rather watch this than any of VT/FSU/Miami. Those teams make me sick.

 

[BB73]

I'd rather watch this than any of VT/FSU/Miami. Those teams make me sick.

The effectiveness of the offenses does remind me of the ACC opener of Miami-FSU. :tongue2:

 

[SanAntonioBuck]

Put the women & children to bed, Wake 9-6.

 

[sandgk]

Phew, and I thought this thing was headed for OT.

Satanic Church Helpers up 9-6 over Insects