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Possible way to win vBets....

Secret sports betting formula produces winners

Daniel Fabrizio, the president of the website Sportsinsights.com, has found perhaps the easiest way to make money gambling on football games: Find out what everyone else is doing?and do the exact opposite. Call it the sports version of contrarian investing. Mr. Fabrizio analyzed the final betting line of every NFL regular-season and playoff game since 2003 and monitored the bets placed with six popular bookmakers. He determined that when one team garners at least 80% of the bets, the other team wins against the spread 53.2% of the time. When the other team is also the underdog, the figure climbs to 56%. Gamblers must win more than 52.4% of their wagers to make a profit?known in sports betting as overcoming ?the juice.? The logic behind the data is simple. When people wager too heavily for one team, oddsmakers shift the betting lines to encourage action on the other side. The new spreads most of the time swing too far in favor of the unpopular team. People who bet against every favorite that received at least 80% of the bets would have made money in six of the last eight years, including this season.

Entire article: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100...Sports_RightTopCarousel_1#articleTabs=article

Would the Wall Street Journal steer your wrong? :biggrin:
 
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