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UCF +17.5 at tOSU (ov/un 50.5) Sat noon, ESPN2

ucfknight;2206387; said:
OSU won't win by 18. Just by the fact that UCF likes to control TOP. If it was 10-13 it would be a good line, but this is a bad line.


In order to control TOP they will need to move the ball down the field.

While Rushing will be UCF's strength, that's also the biggest strength of our defense (rush defense). If we can contain the pass, we should have no problem forcing 3 and outs.
 
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ucfknight;2206387; said:
OSU won't win by 18. Just by the fact that UCF likes to control TOP. If it was 10-13 it would be a good line, but this is a bad line.

[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekQ_Ja02gTY&playnext=1&list=PLB66EFF45C3702AB4&feature=results_video"]John McEnroe - You Cannot Be Serious - YouTube[/ame]

Like I said it's a bad week to visit the Shoe. The Buckeyes will be hell on wheels in the first quarter, it will be over before the half, Buckeyes 65-13.
 
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HorseshoeFetish;2206417; said:
Like I said it's a bad week to visit the Shoe. The Buckeyes will be hell on wheels in the first quarter, it will be over before the half, Buckeyes 65-13.

If we score 60+ points, I'll have an admin transfer 1,000,000 vCash from my stash to you...
 
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ucfknight;2206387; said:
OSU won't win by 18. Just by the fact that UCF likes to control TOP. If it was 10-13 it would be a good line, but this is a bad line.

That's a ballsy statement right there. Not about the line but about the fact that you believe UCF is going to be able to run the ball well enough to control TOP. I don't see them eating clock by getting first downs in bunches.
 
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ucfknight;2206387; said:
OSU won't win by 18. Just by the fact that UCF likes to control TOP. If it was 10-13 it would be a good line, but this is a bad line.

There is about less than a 5% chance UCF will control the TOP in this game.

Ohio State WANTS them to run right at them. I think the Fredo of Ohio game would have shown that to be true.
 
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BuckeyeMike80;2206447; said:
There is about less than a 5% chance UCF will control the TOP in this game.

If they are committed to it, I'd say there's a good chance they end up close or with more time of possession just because of the pace at which OSU is now going when they have the ball.

I'll be shocked if time of possession ends up being a factor in the outcome of the game though. First downs should be a more important indicator of who is controlling the ball.
 
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buchtelgrad04;2206449; said:
Who gives a [Mark May] who wins the TOP if your offense can score in 4 plays...


Said Oregon in 2008.

Seriously dismissing TOP is not smart....however, it's the ability to score while controlling TOP that's important. I don't think they'll be able to score regularly enough to control TOP and still win. I predict quite a few 3 and outs because if there's anything our defense is stout on....it's the running game.
 
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Coqui;2206649; said:
Said Oregon in 2008.

Seriously dismissing TOP is not smart....however, it's the ability to score while controlling TOP that's important. I don't think they'll be able to score regularly enough to control TOP and still win. I predict quite a few 3 and outs because if there's anything our defense is stout on....it's the running game.


They will get a chance to control TOP because if OSU coaches watch the same game I saw, they will make sure to run an uptempo attack on offense.

I respect UCF's program but I think this is a bad matchup for them. Their offensive identity, not just strength, plays into OSU defensive strength. More than just that, it is very difficult to establish a power running game/physical dominance over a team when you are going up in weight class from a talent perspective.

Their defensive weakness (uptempo/spread defense) plays to the identity Urban is trying to establish for the OSU offense.

If they get down a couple of scores and have to start passing a lot with that brand new QB they will be in a bad spot and I just don't see how they come into the Shoe and physically pound OSU upfront like they need to do to run their offense.

Now anything can happen in a football game, they could get some turnovers, special teams plays...whatever and keep this close but I think the most likely scenario is they get the run stuffed, their defense gives up a couple of scores and the offense has to try and be something they are not resulting in the walls caving in.

Maybe I'm being too big a homer but I'll usually take any bet that involves a CUSA team not being able to be physically dominant enough to establish a power running game consistently against an elite BCS caliber team.
 
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