Posted this on another forum:
Wisconsin is a run heavy team as is evident by their rankings (#17 in the country in rushing, #108 in the country in passing)
Wisconsin averages 218.8 ypg on the ground. Let's look at how Ohio State has defended against the run:
Miami (OH) averages 86.2 ypg. Ohio State held them to -1
UCF averages 189.2 ypg. Ohio State held them to 103
California averages 182.36 ypg. Ohio State let them run 224 (can you tell when our defensive players started getting injured?)
UAB averages 120.83 ypg. Ohio State let them run 144
Michigan St. averages 141.9 ypg. Ohio State held them to 34 (We had a couple of defensive players come back)
Nebraska averages 269.3 ypg. Ohio State held them to 223. (Although Burkhead was injured in the 3rd so it's hard to gauge what would have happened against the average - as well as we lost some on defense)
Indiana averages 138.2 ypg. Ohio State held them to 129. (This was the first game Boren started)
Purdue averages 158.8 ypg. Ohio State held them to 117.
Penn St. averages 141.3 ypg. Ohio State held them to 32.
Illinois averages 123.5 ypg. Ohio State held them to 74.
Ohio State's defense is missing Devin Bogard at DB but everyone else should be playing. So against the run? Ohio State is full strength. Going on averages, Ohio State should hold Wisconsin below their rushing average.
Wisconsin is on their 3rd starting QB this season. He will be the X-factor in determining what Wiscy will do against this defense. He's more mobile than the other QBs and has the ability to pass but his only real viable target is Abbrederis. We have arguably the best CB in the NCAA in Roby who should be lining up against him
Ohio State's offense is almost clicking on all cylinders. Wisconsin couldn't beat the worst team in Ohio State history in the past 70 years last year.
While I'm not ready to predict a blow out, I'm picking Ohio State to win this game easily.