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The Polls (AP, Coaches, & CFP, etc.)

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MaxBuck said:
If the B1G actually comes out with (and sticks to) a Feb-Mar schedule, it's not inconceivable that the NCG is deferred until March.
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It's not inconceivable but it's about as likely as me hooking up with Kate Beckinsale this weekend.

If we're actually playing sports there are a multitude of reasons why delaying the CFP/NCG until March won't happen. Start with other conferences playing a normal Fall schedule - what are Clemson and the SEC going to do, sit around until March then ramp up the football team again? There's also a little thing called March Madness, that already lost 2020 and is a big money maker (and investment) for the NCAA and tv networks.
 
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Teams not playing in ’20 will not be ranked in coaches’ poll

The coronavirus pandemic will change the way the weekly coaches' poll published by USA Today is conducted.

Entire article: https://collegefootball.nbcsports.c...ing-in-20-will-not-be-ranked-in-coaches-poll/

CFP selection committee set to release 1st ranking Nov. 17

The College Football Playoff unveiled a revised schedule Monday for its weekly rankings, with the first set pushed back two weeks to Nov. 17 and the final list now on tap for Dec. 20.

The semifinals are scheduled to be held Jan. 1 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California, and Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. The championship game is slated for Jan. 11 in Miami Gardens, Florida.

Entire article: https://collegefootball.nbcsports.c...-committee-set-to-release-1st-ranking-nov-17/
 
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So now that we've established that national championships are in the eye of the beholder, let's take a look at our second, suspiciously current, piece of information.

Namely, that Ohio State football is ranked No. 2 in the initial AP Top 25 Poll. A closer examination of the poll indicates that the Buckeyes aren't just a solid second place in the eyes of the pollsters, they're a potential No. 1. A mere 16 points behind first place Clemson, the Buckeyes still got 21 1st place votes to go along with their 1,504 total points.

Who says that you need to play at all, Nicole?

Think about this possible scenario: the college football season proceeds along the same track that it appears to be on as of today. The Big 12, ACC, and SEC all decide to play sports in the fall, albeit with truncated schedules and very few out of conference foes, but a wobbly season is competed and completed.

Whatever a potential following college football playoff would look like after this, I posit that unless Clemson runs the table with a perfect record (and even if they do anyway), the Ohio State Buckeyes have just as solid a claim on a national championship as any other team.

Right now, the AP Top 25 Poll barely values Clemson more than Ohio State. Would it really make sense for an undefeated Buckeye squad to drop below the likes of No. 3 Alabama or No. 4 Georgia? Even if those teams go undefeated, they'll have exactly as many losses as an obviously superior Buckeye team, so it'd be silly to jump one of them ahead of Ohio State. By that same token, if Clemson loses (or, frankly, has a close win against an inferior opponent), it's also ludicrous for Ohio State to not then jump the Tigers and go to No. 1 in the poll.

The short version of this logic is that after an initial national poll, undefeated Team A can only drop in rankings with a loss or a close win over a poor opponent; should this happen, adjacent Team B must rise and take their spot.

And that's it, really. All that stands between Ohio State and glory, using a method I'm now calling the Ginter Guarantee System, is a Clemson loss or Trevor Lawrence throwing a couple of 4th quarter interceptions against Pitt and winning by eight instead of 15. Ohio State gets bumped up to No. 1, never to relinquish its spot by virtue of it being impossible for them to lose a game, because they aren't playing any.

The Ohio State Buckeyes, instant 2020 national champions.
 
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SP+. As if y'all needed another reminder to be angry about the Big Ten's season to postpone, Bill Connelly dropped his preseason SP+ ratings and the Buckeyes sit alone at the top.

For the rest of this piece, however, we're suspending all uncertainty. While four of the FBS' 10 conferences, plus a few independents, have postponed their fall football seasons with the hope of starting in the winter or spring, 76 teams have committed to playing this fall -- 77 if you include Air Force, with its two-game, service-academies-only schedule.

While this is destined to be the strangest season in the lifetime of anyone under 75 (respect to anyone old enough to recall the oddity of the 1945 season), it could still actually be a season. So let's project it.

What follows are updated 2020 (or shall we say, 2020-21) SP+ ratings. They are based on the same factors as the February projections -- returning production, recent history and recruiting -- and they are updated for all transfers and opt-outs as of the afternoon of Aug. 31.

...

Yes, I'm including all 130 FBS teams here, even the ones who have postponed their seasons. It's good from a continuity/normalcy standpoint, plus, again, these other teams still might play games. As the fall season unfolds, the weekly SP+ ratings will include only fall teams, as the AP has chosen with its own poll. But we start with everyone.

You love to see Ohio State sitting in the top spot and rated more than four points better than Clemson with zero projected wins this fall. It's truly awesome and makes me feel great.
 
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