I know some will say that you should throw stats out of the window - this year I expect to hear that more from the OOS fans up north.
Offensive output
Ohio State 407.8 ypg
TSUN - 399.2 ypg
Outrushed 19 yards per game, though outpassing the Buckeyes at a 10 yard clip.
Outscored 33.6 to 28.2 ppg.
Defensively still the #1 ranked overall Defense - giving up 11.4 ppg (also a #1 rank), vs. 20.8 ppg (#27).
This week always becomes thick with discussion of the intangibles, the who wants it more factor. This can also manifest, sometimes, as the who wants it too much factor.
If the Buckeyes had walked away from the Illini with a victory, I would have, on balance granted them the "edge" in this department. Now, not so much.
Losing put into sharp focus for the Buckeyes the need for redemption. Meanwhile TSUN backed into this game with verbal displays of "who gives a shit anyway about that," immediately after their artfully crafted loss by omission to the Badgers. Yes, they still have the Seniors pleading for "no mas" and please not 0-4. But, I think that leans into the column of wanting it too much. Meanwhile the Buckeyes face the prospect of righting their ship with this win, capping their season in a positive way, putting behind them the poor performance in their last game.
All other factors in the who wants it debate cancel out in my view. On balance, the emotional side favors the Buckeyes, theirs is a need, it is not one that smacks of desperation - which a looming 0-4 surely brings to mind.
One other factor often discussed this week is the realtive health of each squad. If Henne was pulled so quickly agaisnt the Badgers that speaks volumes about the severity of his dicky shoulder - a pretty important injury for a QB. If Henne shows any signs of not being able to give his full arc or zip on throws then TSUN must turn to Mallett - not a great prospect for them. Hart being back there to carry the rock for TSUN means a great deal. But, is he really anything like 100%, 90%, or 80%? Give that gabby guy his due, he would probably come out and play tough at any level of pain for this game - though is that the best thing for TSUN?
The Buckeyes are not without injury problems of their own - certainly at RB Wells and Wells and Saine all have nicks or worse. Still, these injuries are not of as deep a concern as H&H for TSUN.
Overall, the Buckeyes health is reasonably robust.
The one question mark for the Buckeyes which does need answered is how mentally clear is Todd Boeckman after last week? Can he rebound well, learn from those mistakes and not repeat them. Force nothing, take what the defence gives you.
Last, there is the issue of how well do the two squads match up. It is probably this more than any other factor that provides an emotional boost for the Buckeyes asa they travel to Ann Arbor for this game. Even with the same squad as that which saw time in State College or last week in Columbus, I like the match up.
A more straight forward approach, pro-style play from TSUN on Offense. Balanced play from the Buckeyes when they have the ball. Plus, what happens if Henton does see the field, on 3rd down, with 4 or more wide?
I think the Buckeyes may have that ace in the hole with which to play.
I like our chances (suprise, surprise).